Free Republic

Joe Biden's poll numbers are already in deep doo. I've mentioned how in states he should be able to count on as reliably blue, he seems to be losing ground, too, in addition to doing badly in the "battleground states." The states I was talking about were Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Virginia. Now, the numbers for Joe Biden have just gotten worse in a new poll in Virginia. In the last poll I wrote about for Virginia, Biden was up by one, so it was basically already a dead heat. But now, in a new poll — Roanoke College —...

With La Nina conditions evolving in the Pacific and near-record warm waters in the Atlantic, scientists expect the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season to be a busy one. Forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), part of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, release an outlook every year ahead of hurricane season that includes what kind of storm activity they predict between June 1 and Nov. 30. CPC researchers say there's an 85% chance that this year's hurricane season will be more active than normal, with the potential for 17 to 25 named storms (which boast...

WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange is a hero to libertarians. As is Ross Ulbricht, the founder of now-defunct Silk Road, an internet marketplace where you could buy lots of shady things. Where some see traitors and criminals, many libertarians see truth-seeking rebels, courageously engaged in a war against Big Government, defying unjust mandates. This was particularly apparent at the 2024 Libertarian National Convention in Washington, DC, this weekend. In an email sent to press by organizers, “Free Ross Ulbricht” and “Free Julian Assange” were ranked the top topics for Donald Trump’s speech Saturday — over “End the Fed” and other popular...

Contrary to what many political pundits, including this one, thought would happen as soon as Donald Trump became the presumptive GOP nominee, the former president has maintained a slim but steady polling lead over President Joe Biden. As of today, the RCP Average has Trump with a 1.1% overall advantage, with Quinnipiac being the only May poll showing Biden leading, albeit by a mere 1%. By contrast, Biden enjoyed a 5.6% advantage this time in 2020, an election in which Trump never actually took the average polling lead.Still, are there signs that Trump's lead might be softer than we think?...

It seems Joe Biden didn’t like what recent polls were telling him. So he and his staff started claiming they’re fake. Unfortunately for Biden sycophants, the most recent Rasmussen Poll had Trump up by a gob-smacking +12 in a five-way race. Since it is tough to put a positive spin on something like that, and since there is no such thing as a silent Biden voter, this poll had to be wrong, too. One of the most interesting things about this particular poll is that it is included in the Real Clear Politics polling average but not in the FiveThirtyEight...

The freak-out is real. Never Trump Republicans and their fellow travelers on the left cannot accept the trend that former President Trump is gaining support among Latino voters. The worst critics are the strategists and pundits who once made a living off the Republican Party. Trump effectively made them irrelevant in 2016. Professional traditional Republicans held no sway with Trump. He went his own way. For advisers like Ana Navarro, the gravy train was over. She, like others, switched sides and threw in with Democrats to remain relevant in some circles. Grifters are gonna grift. Navarro was a longtime adviser...

There is no way Presidentish Joe Biden will drop out of the race, and I'm here to tell you today why he might. Wait, what? As regular viewers of Five O'Clock Somewhere* know, my friend and colleague Stephen Kruiser and I must have spent 18 months, maybe two years, disabusing people of any wild notion that Biden would pull an LBJ and drop out of the race or be somehow forced out by party insiders. But recent news items have forced me to admit that the impossible is now merely highly unlikely.For your consideration:Ace of Spades: The Torricelli Option Is...

Along with the anticipation of an extremely busy Atlantic hurricane season, AccuWeather meteorologists are greatly concerned that conditions over much of the basin could have a significant number of storms that undergo rapid intensification. Where this occurs as storms approach land could greatly add to the risk to lives and property. Rapid intensification is a term meteorologists use to define tropical storms and hurricanes that quickly gain strength. The threshold is at least 35 mph in 24 hours or less. This can affect how fast a tropical storm becomes a hurricane or a hurricane jumps one or more categories in...

According to FBI records from the National Instant Background Check System (NICS), April 2024 was the fifth highest on record for gun sales and background checks for that month. The month follows a pattern which has developed over the last five years. A gradual drop in sales and background checks from the record-level highs of 2020 and 2021 has become consistent.Even with the drop in sales, the numbers are still at or above the “new normal” established during President Obama’s second term. President Obama was given the honorary title of “the best gun salesman ever.” In the NSSF chart for...

Former President Donald Trump is set to hold a campaign rally in the South Bronx on Thursday, an audacious statement of intent in a borough that hasn’t backed a Republican for the White House in 100 years. Not since Calvin Coolidge won every Empire State county in 1920 and 1924 has a GOP candidate won the Bronx and Trump is unlikely to break that trend — having failed to reach 10% support in 2016 and barely reaching 15% four years ago. “The park only holds a couple thousand people. So this is certainly not going to be a Wildwood. But...

Sitting in a ‘freezing’ courtroom hasn’t kept Donald Trump from securing some red hot fundraising numbers. In fact, stunning new campaign finance data reveals the criminal defendant has been out-raising President Joe Biden even while cooling his heels inside a Manhattan courtroom. Trump and the Republican Party brought in $76 million in April. That’s about 50 per cent more than the $51 million Biden and the Democratic National Committee brought in last month.

President Joe Biden has a new problem cropping up in polling data: more Americans now dismiss even the possibility of voting for him. Among likely voters living in six key swing states, 51% say there’s “not really any chance” they’d vote for Biden, compared to just 46% saying the same thing about former President Donald Trump, according to a May poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College. The trend of more voters vowing never to vote for Biden than Trump extends beyond just one poll, with three polls stretching between November 2023 and April all finding more...

The former Republican governor of Ohio has said he believes there could be a secret plot underway that would see the Democrats replace Biden as the party's presidential candidate before November's election. John Kasich, whose own half-hearted bid for the presidency in 2016 ended in failure, said he believes poor polling data coupled with Biden's poor performance at public speaking events has given Democrats a reason to look for alternative candidate. Kasich, 72, made the assertions on Democrat-leaning MSNBC on Friday night.

No one can predict the future, of course, or if there will even be one. But all of us crystal ball gaze—if we live, it will be in today’s future. So, we make plans and contingencies based on our best guesses of what the short-term and long-term will bring. We do that individually, and we need to do it as a country. The re-election of Joe Biden in November, as improbable and horrifying as the thought is to right-thinking Americans, is far from impossible. All the polls tell us that, currently, Mr. Trump has the edge, but that the election...

We've been covering Joe Biden's polling problems for months now. Aside from matchup polling, there have been multiple polls that have shown him losing support from key Democratic constituencies: young voters, Hispanic voters, and, of course, black voters. In fact, things have gotten so bad for Joe Biden with black voters that CNN is having a hard time wrapping their leftist brains around it. CNN data analyst Harry Enten, for example, couldn't hide his surprise at Trump's impressive gains among black voters compared to Biden. In what can only be described as the understatement of the year, Enten called the...

Former President Donald Trump is surging with a voter bloc Americans might not expect. Black voters are flocking to Trump in huge numbers, while simultaneously leaving President Joe Biden, CNN's average of polls showed. Trump's support among black voters surged to 22 percent compared to 2020, when the 45th president only had the support of 9 percent of the demographic. Biden, on the other hand, saw his 81 percent of black voter support in 2020 dip to 69 percent.

The celestial wonders of April's solar eclipse and the mesmerizing dance of last weekend's aurora borealis captivated millions, yet the cosmos has an even more elusive spectacle in store. Before the year's end, the night sky will unveil an astronomical phenomenon so extraordinary that it eclipses the rarity of both these events combined. A blazingly bright event known as a nova, a light show that happens approximately once every 80 years, is expected to be visible in the coming months. "This could be a once-in-a-lifetime viewing opportunity," NASA said. An animation showing a nova of a white dwarf that is...

A new poll revealed young registered voters trust former President Donald Trump over President Joe Biden when it comes to reducing prices and securing the border, two defining issues of the 2024 general election. The polling released on Thursday by Democratic-aligned public opinion research group Blueprint found most young voters trust Biden over Trump to handle most things, except for two concerns that “may be the defining issues of the 2024 election.” The poll found 52% trust Trump more when it comes to lowering prices and that 53% trust Trump more to secure the border, statistics that gave pollsters pause....

Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT) told MSNBC on Wednesday there was “no question” that the economy under President Joe Biden was “strong” and “doing well.” After MSNBC host Stephanie Ruhle asked Romney during an interview why he was so optimistic about the future of the country, Romney replied, “First of all, America is an extraordinarily resilient country.” He explained, “We just had this extraordinary pandemic, and yet our economy is strong, low levels of unemployment, it’s extraordinary, and it’s not because the president is pulling all the levers in the right way. No, it’s not. It’s because the American people are...

In an interview posted on on Tuesday, Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said that he’s changed his position on third-trimester abortions. This came after he said in an interview that he supports a woman's right to abortion through all nine months of pregnancy. Kennedy made the remarks in an interview with comedians Shane Gillis and Matt McCusker this week. "There's no way you can change my mind by calling me names or criticizing me or by marginalizing or vilifying me. But, you can always change my mind with facts,” Kennedy said. “If you […] show me I'm wrong...