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Hurricane Isabel Is Falling Apart/But Could Re-Gain Strength-Live Thread
NHC | 9-16-03 | my favorite headache

Posted on 09/16/2003 1:13:54 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache

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To: dennis1x
hey dennis, take a look at the most recent high resolution visable shot. The center of circulation is shifting back to the center of the storm, and blue can be seen again in the eye. I'm not saying it's anything drastic, but a bad sign indeed.
221 posted on 09/16/2003 8:20:49 AM PDT by Nexus
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To: NautiNurse
"Buoys and Gulls"

At the annual fish and game banquet in my home town in B.C., they had Setters and Pointers.

;^)
222 posted on 09/16/2003 8:20:50 AM PDT by headsonpikes
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To: Howlin
Revising my last comment, the crossing just above Cape Lookout is about 45-50 miles south of Ocracoke.
223 posted on 09/16/2003 8:20:50 AM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: NautiNurse
speaking of bathroom signs. one seafood place here says inboards and outboards.......
224 posted on 09/16/2003 8:21:11 AM PDT by JFC
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To: dennis1x
hey dennis, take a look at the most recent high resolution visable shot. The center of circulation is shifting back to the center of the storm, and blue can be seen again in the eye. I'm not saying it's anything drastic, but a bad sign indeed.
225 posted on 09/16/2003 8:21:11 AM PDT by Nexus
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To: NautiNurse
"Buoys and Gulls"

At the annual fish and game banquet in my home town in B.C., they had Setters and Pointers.

;^)
226 posted on 09/16/2003 8:21:11 AM PDT by headsonpikes
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To: ContemptofCourt
well....actually Isabel wont be a cat 1 much longer at this rate....and if you read my posts rain threat will be minimized due to the very fast speed at landfall....also minimized currently by very little heavy rain around the core......

Isabel is rapidly falling apart.....yes the NHC is always the last to weaken storms...but she is weaker than their current report.
227 posted on 09/16/2003 8:21:23 AM PDT by dennis1x
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To: Howlin
the Angus Barn

ROFL! I think I just stood outside and waited for someone else to go in or out.

228 posted on 09/16/2003 8:23:58 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: My Favorite Headache
I think the storm will continue to weak and turn north based on the cold fronts which it will intercept. Lows in Illinois last night were in the 40's.
229 posted on 09/16/2003 8:23:58 AM PDT by 1smallVoice (Clinton brought us Bush)
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To: Nexus
nexus....im looking...trying to use my imagination..but all i see is lots and lots of dry air....



http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/03_ATL_13L.ISABEL_ssmi_ir1km_full.html
230 posted on 09/16/2003 8:24:01 AM PDT by dennis1x
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To: JFC
inboards and outboards.......

We have a fishing pier here with the same. Got a kick out of listening to a mother explaining to her young son which one he should use.

231 posted on 09/16/2003 8:30:08 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: commish
I knew you knew! I myself am on a Sudafed ride this morning!
232 posted on 09/16/2003 8:30:11 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: dennis1x
A few hours of heavy rain here in Central Maryland WILL cause flooding like we saw in Chester, PA yesterday. It is not a non-event.
233 posted on 09/16/2003 8:32:49 AM PDT by CollegeRepublican
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To: Howlin
Hey, while you were here you missed Edwards' announcement this morning in front of the mill where his daddy worked, and down the street from the post office where his momma worked. You know, the place where he learned the value of work, how your word is your bond, etc. etc.

Just thought you'd like to know.

234 posted on 09/16/2003 8:33:23 AM PDT by Miss Marple
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If Isabell continues to weaken it will be a major disappointment for the 'This is the Apocalypse because of Bush's stance on Israel' nutballs.
235 posted on 09/16/2003 8:35:16 AM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: My Favorite Headache
The 11 AM report indicates more good news on all fronts -- unless you're an employee of The Weather Channel, in which case, you are deeply saddened.

Since Sunday morning, peak sustained winds have dropped from 160 mph to 105. Central pressure continues to rise steadily. And clearly, the long-awaited turn in direction has taken place.

Over the last 30 hours (Monday, 5 AM to today, 11 AM), Isabel has moved 3.0 degrees north while moving 2.2 degrees west. Compare that with the 30-hour period before that (Sunday, 11 PM through Monday, 5 AM), during which time it moved 1.8 degrees north while moving 5.3 degrees west.

As recently as yesterday, The Weather Channel was conjuring up visions of 30-foot storm surges, and an epic coastal catastrophe. I would submit that they knew then that they were crying "wolf," and that a substantial weakening was inevitable. Even if it does hit the coast (and I still have my doubts), Isabel will be closer to a nuisance than it will be to a cataclysm.

Quit drinking TWC's Kool Ade!

236 posted on 09/16/2003 8:36:05 AM PDT by southernnorthcarolina (Only YOU can prevent TWC alarmism.)
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To: southernnorthcarolina
As recently as yesterday, The Weather Channel was conjuring up visions of 30-foot storm surges, and an epic coastal catastrophe. I would submit that they knew then that they were crying "wolf," and that a substantial weakening was inevitable. Even if it does hit the coast (and I still have my doubts), Isabel will be closer to a nuisance than it will be to a cataclysm.

I think that's part of the reason, but mostly I think the forecasters are reluctant to adjust their forecasts based upon personal pride. So I suspect that the discussion taking place are biased toward previous discussions, instead of looking at the current scenario objectively.

237 posted on 09/16/2003 8:38:48 AM PDT by NittanyLion (Go Tom Go!)
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To: dennisw
Bump.
Appreciate your tagline.
238 posted on 09/16/2003 8:39:06 AM PDT by Spirited
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To: southernnorthcarolina
but now theyll switch to the catastrophic rain event angle....it never ends...
239 posted on 09/16/2003 8:43:38 AM PDT by dennis1x
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To: Miss Marple
News out of Little Rock, Arkansas, that Wesley Clark will join the dwarfs RAINS on Edwards' formal announcement of his own candidacy. I smell a conspiracy for Hillary to grab the brass ring via Clark since he is a big time FOH (friend of Hillary).

Storms are a literary device signaling eminent horrendous events, you know. LOL

240 posted on 09/16/2003 8:44:14 AM PDT by Carolinamom
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