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Hurricane Isabel Is Falling Apart/But Could Re-Gain Strength-Live Thread
NHC
| 9-16-03
| my favorite headache
Posted on 09/16/2003 1:13:54 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache
Hurricane Isabel is falling apart and fast. Re-Con planes have been flying in the storm since midnight and the entire west quad of the storm has disappeared. The eastern portion of the storm has a wind around 110KTS. There is discussion that re-strengthening will occour within 24 hours though so this still remains a threat.
Pressure has dramatically risen as well. Discussion currently is Isabel making landfall in either Northern South Carolina or Southern North Carolina and a due north move after landfall. Thinking is a landfalling Category 2 minimal 3 storm.
TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneisabel; isabel
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To: NautiNurse
With the deterioration of the central core...additional weakening seems likely over the next 24 hours.WooHoo! Great news!
To: NautiNurse
The latest 3 day projection has moved the central crossing point about 20 miles south of Ocracoke, to just above Cape Lookout.
To: Howlin
Ruh roh, head-on into Richmond on that track. And that'll get you wet and windy in Raleigh, too.
The other thing that's worrying me now is what will happen when the storm heads up into northern Virginia and parts north and gets into the Appalachians. As much rain as they've had up there, that's going to cause some nasty downstream flooding over the next few days.
Guess we'd better get extra tent stakes for our booth in Charlotte this weekend...
}:-)4
203
posted on
09/16/2003 8:06:14 AM PDT
by
Moose4
(I'm Southern. We've been refighting the Civil War for 138 years, you think we'll forget 9/11?)
To: CFW
The 10:30 EST visable shows the eye forming back up, and the western side is becoming way more organized.
204
posted on
09/16/2003 8:08:15 AM PDT
by
Nexus
To: NautiNurse
Great news, further deterioration expected over the next 24 hrs.
205
posted on
09/16/2003 8:08:16 AM PDT
by
TBall
To: NautiNurse
That 11AM Discussion is a keeper!!
The translation "well she is weakening, and uh she um might continue to weaken or she um ya know might like get a little stronger" ROFL!!!
Even the Wind Speed Probability chart is schizo this morning. It shows and equal probablility that she will be Cat I or Cat III in 36 hours. IOW because of all the variables, we have no idea what is going to happen to her.
206
posted on
09/16/2003 8:09:23 AM PDT
by
commish
(Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
To: Howlin
On the current track, your best friend might be better off coming down from Lynchburg to Raleigh and visiting you! And if it shifts any further west, well, y'all both should just go take a nice weekend vacation in, uh, Memphis maybe?
}:-)4
207
posted on
09/16/2003 8:09:30 AM PDT
by
Moose4
(I'm Southern. We've been refighting the Civil War for 138 years, you think we'll forget 9/11?)
To: TBall
It looks like wind isn't going to be the problem with Isabel, but the rain is.
To: Nexus
nexus...i see no organization signs from lates satellite....
To: TBall
...the official forecast allows for some
restrengthening.....
They don't have a clue as to what is going to happen. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
To: commish
Yikes...I should have kept reading that last paragraph. They really don't have a good grasp at this point.
To: dfwgator
actually the rain threat will be fairly minimized also..due to the projected speed of the storm at landfall....only a few hours at any one location....this is starting to look like a non-event....especially if trends continue and the weakening continues..which based on satellite pics is definitely happening....actually right now there is very little in the way of heavy rain occuring with Isabel...based on cloudtop temps.
To: commish
Hey, commish, I'm a gull!
213
posted on
09/16/2003 8:14:03 AM PDT
by
Howlin
To: Rebelbase
Your favorite place!
214
posted on
09/16/2003 8:15:11 AM PDT
by
Howlin
To: CollegeRepublican
I bet is that it will weaker by the time it hits land, but your right to always be prepared.
215
posted on
09/16/2003 8:15:31 AM PDT
by
TBall
To: Howlin
There must be an unwritten law that every seafood restaurant label their bathrooms Buoys and Gulls.
To: dennis1x
Nonevent? Apparently you do not live in the huricane watch area. Even if it comes across as a Cat 1, that is still winds in excess of 75 mph, plus a ton of rain on top of saturated ground.
Wouldn't call it a nonevent.
To: NautiNurse
I know! The first time I went to the Angus Barn and went to the bathroom, I was stopped dead in my tracks: I had to THINK about whether I was a heifer or a steer!
218
posted on
09/16/2003 8:20:42 AM PDT
by
Howlin
To: Howlin
Revising my last comment, the crossing just above Cape Lookout is about 45-50 miles south of Ocracoke.
To: Howlin
Hey, commish, I'm a gull! Sorry, and the sad thing is as long as I've known you I KNEW THAT. Not a good morning for the ole noggin so far.
220
posted on
09/16/2003 8:20:49 AM PDT
by
commish
(Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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