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Mugabe's downfall imminent, say rivals
The Times ^ | January 16, 2003 | Jan Raath

Posted on 01/15/2003 3:42:09 PM PST by MadIvan

THE leader of Zimbabwe’s opposition party predicted the imminent collapse of Robert Mugabe’s regime yesterday in a lengthy public statement affirming that two top officials from the ruling Zanu (PF) party had offered him the President’s resignation.

Morgan Tsvangirai said that Mr Mugabe’s lieutenants had “all virtually abandoned him and maintain an appearance of loyalty out of fear. The machinery around Mugabe is now collapsing fast and leaking heavily.”

He claimed to have received reports from people close to Mr Mugabe that the 78-year-old leader had told his family to “get ready for life after his 23-year-old dictatorship”.

Zimbabwe was “grinding to a halt”, Mr Tsvangirai said. Its commercial agriculture was in ruins. The country’s fuel supply would dry up at the end of the month and there was no money to buy more.

“Mugabe does not know where the next litre of diesel or petrol is coming from,” he said.

Mr Mugabe’s “greatest nemesis” was the economy, which “refuses to bend to all his dictatorial formulae. He cannot use on the economy the same weapons he is using to subvert democracy and crush human rights. He cannot rig it, he cannot shoot it, he cannot intimidate it and, although he raped it, the economy continues to land fatal blows that Mugabe cannot block.”

Mr Tsvangirai, leader of the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), issued the statement to rebut a stream of denials from Mr Mugabe and Zanu (PF) that two of the regime’s senior members had secretly offered him a deal to save Zimbabwe from its deepening emergency.

A barrage of party statements blamed the British Government for reports in The Times and other media outlets, calling them “wicked, malicious and mischievous” and “the work of the enemy bent on destroying Zimbabwe”.

However, Mr Tsvangirai announced that “for the record, Zimbabweans and the international community need to know” that in December, Colonel Lionel Dyck, a respected former Zimbabwe Army officer, took a message to him from Emmerson Mnangagwa, who ranks third in the Zanu (PF) Politburo, and General Vitalis Zvinavashe, Commander of the Zimbabwe Defence Forces.

He said that they “wanted to hear my views on the way forward now that Robert Mugabe had, in Dyck’s words, long indicated that he wanted to retire, was being restrained by Mnangagwa and Zvinavashe and could only be allowed to do so at such a time deemed appropriate by the two men and many others in Zanu (PF).”

Colonel Dyck had made clear that the initiative stemmed from “the realisation that he (Mugabe) has lost all capacity to govern”.

Mr Tsvangirai said that he had told Colonel Dyck that the MDC was “prepared to assist in the necessary transitional arrangements to enable Zimbabwe to move forward”, but made “categorically clear that this does not mean participating in the formation of a government of national unity or some underhand pact with Zanu (PF) . . . We will never be party to any political arrangement that seeks to sanitise Mugabe’s violent illegitimacy.

“If we are to avoid bloodshed, and achieve the change we have been trying to secure over the past three years, there is no other way other than through constructive dialogue,” Mr Tsvangirai said.

Brian Raftopoulos, a member of the Crisis in Zimbabwe think tank, said that Mr Tsvangirai’s statement would inflame the long-suppressed debate inside Zanu (PF) about Mr Mugabe’s future.

“Tsvangirai has very cleverly challenged them to deal with the situation,” he said. “He is putting pressure on them to deal with it, and for people inside the party to come out in the open.

“There are increasing indications that these discussions on succession are taking place. There will be more leaks and more pressure. There is a real sense now that he is battling. Zanu (PF) has never been so vulnerable. It gives the public a sense of hope again.”

On Tuesday Mr Mugabe said that he would “never, never, never” go into exile. But the state press reported his speech under the ambiguous headline: “I am not retiring yet.”


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: africawatch; downfall; mugabe; rhodesia; zimbabwe
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One can only hope that Mugabe will be dead in short order. He deserves no less.

Regards, Ivan


Flag of Rhodesia

1 posted on 01/15/2003 3:42:09 PM PST by MadIvan
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To: *AfricaWatch; Clive; Cincinatus' Wife; backhoe; SunnyUsa; Delmarksman; Sparta; ...
Bump!
2 posted on 01/15/2003 3:42:41 PM PST by MadIvan
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3 posted on 01/15/2003 3:43:43 PM PST by Support Free Republic (Your support keeps Free Republic going strong!)
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To: MadIvan
Make that a "GOOD NEWS ALERT" ...

he he he, If we can watch chavez, Mugabe and saddam go in the same month, it'll be as cool as the end of "The Godfather". :-)
4 posted on 01/15/2003 3:45:34 PM PST by WOSG
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To: MadIvan
Well, it's summer and the harvest, such as it is, is coming. I have a strong hunch this is going to get very much worse before it gets better.

The EU can help by rescinding its anti-GM grain policy. If it does not the U.S. can't help the Zimbabweans and it's going to be a tough sell to make the U.S. out to be the bad guy when the starvation sets in, even in Brussels and Paris.

5 posted on 01/15/2003 3:46:50 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: MadIvan
Well this would be very good news indeed. No one could be worse.
6 posted on 01/15/2003 3:47:34 PM PST by Bahbah
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To: MadIvan
Once the associates of a dictator whose rule rests only on fear decide he is a goner, his days are numbered.
7 posted on 01/15/2003 3:48:21 PM PST by aristeides
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To: aristeides
Stalin might disagree.
8 posted on 01/15/2003 4:00:31 PM PST by weikel
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To: aristeides
It will be interesting to see whether Mugabe is able to recognize the working end of a gun when it's pointed at him. Time to run - and quickly, Mr. Mugabe, while you still have an opportunity.

I wonder if Saddam is watching this play out?

9 posted on 01/15/2003 4:02:57 PM PST by toddst
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To: weikel
What do you think happened to Stalin in 1953?
10 posted on 01/15/2003 4:03:46 PM PST by aristeides
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To: aristeides
He hung on for a long time though despite people who wanted him gone in the inner circle( other than Molotov and Beria he changed inner circle members fairly often).
11 posted on 01/15/2003 4:04:58 PM PST by weikel
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To: weikel
For a dictator, the trick is to make your underlings fear and mistrust each other more than they do you.
12 posted on 01/15/2003 4:12:12 PM PST by Argus
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To: WOSG
he he he, If we can watch chavez, Mugabe and saddam go in the same month, it'll be as cool as the end of "The Godfather". :-)

Let's throw Castro in there as well.

13 posted on 01/15/2003 4:15:32 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: MadIvan
Good riddance to bad rubbish.
14 posted on 01/15/2003 4:20:42 PM PST by Ciexyz
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To: Argus
That was Hitler's method he'd appoint a bunch of people to the same job that way he wouldn't have to deal with any day to day stuff( he hated paperwork I won't say I disagree there) but all important decisions would go to him for arbritration.
15 posted on 01/15/2003 4:21:59 PM PST by weikel
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To: MadIvan
Mugabe's downfall imminent, say rivals

One can bloody well hope so.

16 posted on 01/15/2003 4:26:38 PM PST by Mr. Silverback
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To: Mr. Silverback
He deserves the Ceaucesceu treatment.
17 posted on 01/15/2003 4:27:59 PM PST by Inkie
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To: MadIvan
Could be very good news.

Could also be a very dangerous time.

The two are not mutually exclusive.

Mugabe could decide to turn his last days into a Gotterdammerung or a Ragnorok.

The "war veterans" and the "Green Bombers" could find themselves hungry, angry, abandoned and without any restraints.

It could also be payback time.
18 posted on 01/15/2003 4:53:32 PM PST by Clive
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To: MadIvan
Most likely he will be given a welcome in another country, as Amin was given years ago. SICKENING
19 posted on 01/15/2003 5:17:32 PM PST by OldFriend
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To: Ciexyz
This might be the beginning of a new world. Thanks to the Internet news about tyrants that are spreading rapidly, many folks are becoming well informed. And, hopefully, folks are learning. We can only hope.
20 posted on 01/15/2003 5:21:04 PM PST by maxwellp
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