Posted on 01/15/2003 3:42:09 PM PST by MadIvan
THE leader of Zimbabwes opposition party predicted the imminent collapse of Robert Mugabes regime yesterday in a lengthy public statement affirming that two top officials from the ruling Zanu (PF) party had offered him the Presidents resignation.
Morgan Tsvangirai said that Mr Mugabes lieutenants had all virtually abandoned him and maintain an appearance of loyalty out of fear. The machinery around Mugabe is now collapsing fast and leaking heavily.
He claimed to have received reports from people close to Mr Mugabe that the 78-year-old leader had told his family to get ready for life after his 23-year-old dictatorship.
Zimbabwe was grinding to a halt, Mr Tsvangirai said. Its commercial agriculture was in ruins. The countrys fuel supply would dry up at the end of the month and there was no money to buy more.
Mugabe does not know where the next litre of diesel or petrol is coming from, he said.
Mr Mugabes greatest nemesis was the economy, which refuses to bend to all his dictatorial formulae. He cannot use on the economy the same weapons he is using to subvert democracy and crush human rights. He cannot rig it, he cannot shoot it, he cannot intimidate it and, although he raped it, the economy continues to land fatal blows that Mugabe cannot block.
Mr Tsvangirai, leader of the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), issued the statement to rebut a stream of denials from Mr Mugabe and Zanu (PF) that two of the regimes senior members had secretly offered him a deal to save Zimbabwe from its deepening emergency.
A barrage of party statements blamed the British Government for reports in The Times and other media outlets, calling them wicked, malicious and mischievous and the work of the enemy bent on destroying Zimbabwe.
However, Mr Tsvangirai announced that for the record, Zimbabweans and the international community need to know that in December, Colonel Lionel Dyck, a respected former Zimbabwe Army officer, took a message to him from Emmerson Mnangagwa, who ranks third in the Zanu (PF) Politburo, and General Vitalis Zvinavashe, Commander of the Zimbabwe Defence Forces.
He said that they wanted to hear my views on the way forward now that Robert Mugabe had, in Dycks words, long indicated that he wanted to retire, was being restrained by Mnangagwa and Zvinavashe and could only be allowed to do so at such a time deemed appropriate by the two men and many others in Zanu (PF).
Colonel Dyck had made clear that the initiative stemmed from the realisation that he (Mugabe) has lost all capacity to govern.
Mr Tsvangirai said that he had told Colonel Dyck that the MDC was prepared to assist in the necessary transitional arrangements to enable Zimbabwe to move forward, but made categorically clear that this does not mean participating in the formation of a government of national unity or some underhand pact with Zanu (PF) . . . We will never be party to any political arrangement that seeks to sanitise Mugabes violent illegitimacy.
If we are to avoid bloodshed, and achieve the change we have been trying to secure over the past three years, there is no other way other than through constructive dialogue, Mr Tsvangirai said.
Brian Raftopoulos, a member of the Crisis in Zimbabwe think tank, said that Mr Tsvangirais statement would inflame the long-suppressed debate inside Zanu (PF) about Mr Mugabes future.
Tsvangirai has very cleverly challenged them to deal with the situation, he said. He is putting pressure on them to deal with it, and for people inside the party to come out in the open.
There are increasing indications that these discussions on succession are taking place. There will be more leaks and more pressure. There is a real sense now that he is battling. Zanu (PF) has never been so vulnerable. It gives the public a sense of hope again.
On Tuesday Mr Mugabe said that he would never, never, never go into exile. But the state press reported his speech under the ambiguous headline: I am not retiring yet.
Regards, Ivan
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The EU can help by rescinding its anti-GM grain policy. If it does not the U.S. can't help the Zimbabweans and it's going to be a tough sell to make the U.S. out to be the bad guy when the starvation sets in, even in Brussels and Paris.
I wonder if Saddam is watching this play out?
Let's throw Castro in there as well.
One can bloody well hope so.
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