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These pollsters were right in 2016 and 2020 — and they think Harris has already lost her mojo
NY Post ^ | 09/03/2024 | A.G. Gancarski

Posted on 09/04/2024 6:42:28 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Most polls show Vice President Kamala Harris leading in the swing states that will decide the election. But two Southern state pollsters are bucking the trend — and they’ve got former President Donald Trump up big.

The polling by InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar in seven battleground states finds Trump on a path to 296 electoral votes — suggesting that Harris has already lost her momentum.

Matt Towery of Georgia-based InsiderAdvantage found Trump ahead in Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina (and down by 0.4% only in Georgia).

He noted that both he and Robert Calahy of Trafalgar (which handled Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan) were both in the top three pollsters in the ‘16 and ‘20 cycles because their methodology allows them to “pick up some Trump vote that some of the other pollsters might not be able to get.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2020; harris; poll; polls; pollsters
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To: ChicagoConservative27

IIRC Trafalgar was off in 2020 and in a few others after predicitng some stunners.


21 posted on 09/04/2024 7:35:48 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Reeses

Probably because they nailed it, they stopped polling that way.


22 posted on 09/04/2024 7:36:33 AM PDT by philippa
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To: kvanbrunt2
And I’m still trying to figure out why so many women are for killing babies

Some females are branching out into killing husbands by 1) enraging their men into a crazy state, then 2) dialing 911 and letting the government quick divorce them about 10 minutes later. There are videos on the internet of this.

23 posted on 09/04/2024 7:47:31 AM PDT by Reeses
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To: KC_Conspirator

HARD TO POLL MACHINES SET UP TO ADD OR CHANGE VOTES.


24 posted on 09/04/2024 8:13:14 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: imabadboy99

“All he has to do is cut the margin of loss in that demo - he doesn’t have to win them.”

You are absolutely right; however, this is the general age group of the pro-abortion cohort who would pull the lever for satan himself to keep the killing of the unborn legal in this country. Sick!

I am not sure how Trump can address the problem of how to reach this type of woman. (I am a grandmother and therefore a woman myself; I am disgusted with the many women who believe the lie that mothers murdering their own unborn children is OK.) Like the Pharaohs in Egypt before the Passover occurred, I fear their hearts are completely hardened. I don’t think we should give up on trying to change their minds, just being realistic.


25 posted on 09/04/2024 8:20:02 AM PDT by stonehouse01
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To: ChicagoConservative27

26 posted on 09/04/2024 8:35:10 AM PDT by Right_in_Virginia ( )
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To: Bon of Babble

https://www.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/jim-mclaughlin-donald-trump-kamala-harris/2024/09/03/id/1178933/

‘Jim McLaughlin to Newsmax: Media Polls Undersampling
Republicans”

Article details below the headline...


27 posted on 09/04/2024 8:36:15 AM PDT by txrangerette (Make America Great Again)
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To: stonehouse01

I’m not a dr. but i wonder if the chemicals in birth control have caused brain changes in many women since the 60s. It would make sense.

Like these anti-depressant drugs with their nasty side affects.


28 posted on 09/04/2024 8:44:53 AM PDT by imabadboy99
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To: Gay State Conservative

We will never know the extent because the records were destroyed by corrupt officials.


29 posted on 09/04/2024 8:46:47 AM PDT by JayGalt (Fight! Fight! Fight!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

doesn’t matter when the necessary cheats are in place.


30 posted on 09/04/2024 9:10:25 AM PDT by BigFreakinToad (Remember the Biden Kitchen Fire of 2004)
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To: Gay State Conservative
More than thousands...

After 2020, I learned that, historically, the Census Bureau polled and predicted the total votes for president, going back many US election cycles.

This estimate was not predicting for whom votes would be cast but simply how many would vote for president.

Their track record for the total number of votes was amazingly close - until the 2020 presidential election, where some 4.5 million or so votes were counted over the Census Bureau estimate.

31 posted on 09/04/2024 10:24:10 AM PDT by citizen (Put all LBQTwhatever programming on a new subscription service: PERV-TV)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I’m confused. Wasn’t it lessjo?


32 posted on 09/04/2024 4:46:03 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (I pledge allegiance to the flag of the USofA & to the Constitutional REPUBLIC for which it stands. )
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