Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why Is Iran Expected to Attack Israel? What to Know About the Crisis.
NYT ^ | 08/07/2024 | Hiba Yazbek

Posted on 08/07/2024 7:12:29 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

A week after the killing of a top Hamas leader in Tehran and a top Hezbollah commander in Beirut, Lebanon, the Middle East is on edge. Fears of a broader regional war have been mounting amid vows of revenge from Iranian leaders that have left Israel in a state of deep uncertainty.

Why is an Iranian attack expected? Iran has vowed to avenge the death of Ismail Haniyeh, a senior Hamas leader who was killed in Tehran after he and other leaders of Iranian-backed militant groups attended the inauguration of the new Iranian president. Israeli leaders would not confirm or deny whether their country was behind the breach of Iran’s defenses, but Iranian leaders and Hamas officials immediately blamed Israel and vowed retaliation. Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas in Gaza and an architect of the Oct. 7 attacks on Israel, was selected as Mr. Haniyeh’s replacement.

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, issued an order for Iran to strike Israel directly, according to three Iranian officials briefed on the order.

And Iran’s foreign ministry spokesman, Nasser Kanaan, said on Monday that “Tehran is not interested in escalating the regional conflicts, but it is necessary to punish” Israel.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; Iran; News/Current Events; US: New York
KEYWORDS: attack; crisis; hibayazbek; iran; irgc; islamofascism; islamofascists; ismailhaniyeh; israel; koranimals; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes; qudsforce
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-39 next last
How strong is Iran or a paper tiger?
1 posted on 08/07/2024 7:12:29 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Amir

https://t.me/beholdisraelchannel/37123


2 posted on 08/07/2024 7:15:25 AM PDT by combat_boots
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

The ONLY question at this point is..

Does Iran have nukes?


3 posted on 08/07/2024 7:15:33 AM PDT by uranium penguin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: uranium penguin

“Does Iran have nukes?”

It has the ability and the material to make several nukes.

I believe it has missiles able to reach Israel carrying a nuke.

However, Israel has about 350 nukes I believe, and Israel is quite likely to be able to stop Iranian nuclear tipped missiles from reaching a major Israeli city.


4 posted on 08/07/2024 7:23:48 AM PDT by Brian Griffin (Ask Congress to send middle class property/income tax cap amendments to the states.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

If I’ve learned anything since 9/11, I expect the attack will come to America rather than Israel.


5 posted on 08/07/2024 7:24:39 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27
In a straight-on land-sea-air battle, Iran would get annihilated by Israel.

But Iran can lob more missiles, drones, and artillery shells at Israel than Israel's Iron Dome system can shoot down.

Expect another April Iran attack, but with more missiles and less deliberate forewarning.

April's Iran missile attack was a face-saving operation and they telegraphed as much of it as they could so that the actual effect was to make Israel expend a lot of counter-missiles at them.

This time the purpose will be to hit Israel, so there will be more security around the launches.

6 posted on 08/07/2024 7:25:55 AM PDT by Yo-Yo (Is the /Sarc tag really necessary? Pray for President Biden: Psalm 109:8)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

interesting take


7 posted on 08/07/2024 7:26:58 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

It amazes me that NYT readers need to understand “why” Iran will strike Israel. The real question is “when” and “how.”


8 posted on 08/07/2024 7:27:14 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Or what if Iran simply does not attack?


9 posted on 08/07/2024 7:27:57 AM PDT by PGR88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: uranium penguin

https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/history-russias-anti-ballistic-missile-abm-system


10 posted on 08/07/2024 7:29:34 AM PDT by Brian Griffin (Ask Congress to send middle class property/income tax cap amendments to the states.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27
How strong is Iran or a paper tiger?

Strong in a regional sense.

I sort of suspect Russia, China and whoever is running the Whitehouse have pressed the Iranians to refrain from significant actions until after November.

11 posted on 08/07/2024 7:35:56 AM PDT by fso301
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

Quite interesting how all this is happening just prior to our election....as well Dems have learned well there’s nothing to stop their shenanigans...they can set up any trap of their choosing to carry out their plans - using anything and anyone. They love, covet and create the chaos.


12 posted on 08/07/2024 7:36:39 AM PDT by caww (O death, when you seized my Lord, you lost your grip on me......)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Yes, she gives away for free to what Trumps usually has to pay for.... He stands above her but she is on her knees worshiping power.


13 posted on 08/07/2024 7:36:59 AM PDT by Jumper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jumper

Opps how did that post here in 13


14 posted on 08/07/2024 7:37:36 AM PDT by Jumper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Iran doesn’t want to escalate - it will be strategic pinprick strike just to say they defend their honor.


15 posted on 08/07/2024 7:37:41 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Brian Griffin

it does not have to be a missile...
And they don’t have to have the ability to produce “in house”

Have they sourced something from the Norks? Bought a “lost” one from someplace?

Fishing boat in a major port? At the border with something in the back?

No need to think BIG and missile. Or even a massive explosion.

Does not take a lot of imagination that they use as sourced nuke, detonate and then anounce they are a nuke state.


16 posted on 08/07/2024 7:38:32 AM PDT by uranium penguin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: uranium penguin

WIKI

the US’s W47 of the UGM-27 Polaris weighed only 330 kilograms (730 lb). This meant that much smaller rockets could carry these new warheads to the same range, greatly reducing the cost of the missile, making them far cheaper than bombers or any other delivery system. When Nikita Khrushchev angrily boasted that the Soviet Union was producing new missiles “like sausages”, the US responded by building more ICBMs of their own, rather than attempting to defend against them with Zeus.

Safeguard was a two-layer defense system. The long-range Spartan missile would attempt interception outside the Earth’s atmosphere. The missile’s long range allowed protection of a large geographic area. If the Spartan failed to intercept the incoming offensive missile, the high performance and high speed but short ranged Sprint missile would attempt an interception within the atmosphere. Both missiles used nuclear warheads, and they relied on destroying or damaging the incoming warhead with radiation rather than heat or blast. The Spartan carried a weapon with a 5 megatons of TNT (21 PJ) yield; the Sprint in the 1 kiloton of TNT (4.2 TJ) range.

Remote Sprint Launchers were established around the MSR main complex in order to place missile launchers closer to their intended targets, and thus reduce the flight range to the targets. Four sites were completed, and they still remain there, 10 to 20 miles (16 to 32 km) around the MSR complex in Nekoma, North Dakota.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Safeguard_Program


17 posted on 08/07/2024 7:38:48 AM PDT by Brian Griffin (Ask Congress to send middle class property/income tax cap amendments to the states.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: uranium penguin

That isn’t the only concern. If they’re just waiting for their partners including Lebanon and Syria to get prepared it will still be messy. The Iron Done success rate is 85-90 percent. If they send a ton of missiles at the same time it’ll still be horrible.


18 posted on 08/07/2024 7:41:39 AM PDT by TermLimits4All ("If you stand for nothing, you'll fall for anything.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

Very good post.

Israel could be hurt badly by Iran if it was limited to conventional drones and missiles but would survive as long as other Arab armies stayed out of it, imo.


19 posted on 08/07/2024 7:44:52 AM PDT by laplata (They want each crisis to take the greatest toll possible.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: uranium penguin

“they don’t have to have the ability to produce”

They have produced many kilograms of highly enriched uranium.


20 posted on 08/07/2024 7:46:19 AM PDT by Brian Griffin (Ask Congress to send middle class property/income tax cap amendments to the states.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-39 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson