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Exclusive-Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
Reuters by way of Yahoo ^ | 07/23/2024 | Jason Lange

Posted on 07/23/2024 11:21:56 AM PDT by thegagline

Vice President Kamala Harris opened up a marginal two-percentage-point lead over Republican Donald Trump after President Joe Biden ended his re-election campaign and passed the torch to her, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.

The poll, conducted on Monday and Tuesday, followed both the Republican National Convention where Trump on Thursday formally accepted his party's nomination and the Biden announcement on Sunday he was leaving the race and endorsing Harris.

Harris, whose campaign says she has secured the Democratic nomination, led Trump 44% to 42% in the national poll, a difference within the 3-percentage-point margin of error.

Harris and Trump were tied at 44% in a July 15-16 poll, and Trump led by one percentage point in a July 1-2 poll, both within the same margin of error. ***

The most recent poll showed 56% of registered voters agreed with a statement that Harris, 59, was "mentally sharp and able to deal with challenges," compared to 49% who said the same of Trump, 78.

(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 00000000000001bs; fagline4biden; fagline4harris; fakenews; gobacktodu; happyhooker; harris; nevertrumpingtroll; poll; polls; reuters; thefagline; trump; voted4biden; voted4hillary; zotthistroll
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To: thegagline

the last 3 polls by this firm of Trump against Biden were

Trump 43 Biden 41
Trump 40 Biden 40
Trump 41 Biden 39

during a time in which the average of all polls was

Trump 48 Biden 45

So this is fairly in line with their previous polling with Harris maybe picking up a little support nationally.

First of all, we don’t elect presidents nationally. So Harris running up the numbers in California will pad her national poll numbers a little bit, but wont effect the electoral college one iota.

Second of all, this particular firm was way out of line with all other pollsters to begin with. I am not not one of those people (like most liberals) who only like polls when they show my candidate winning. But it is important to look how a pollster compares to the “average” to see if they are way out of line “consistently”. Now even if they are out of line “consistently” even then, I wouldn’t ignore them, I would simple compare them only to themselves (to previous polls) to see movement.

In this case we don’t have any data to compare with only past data of Biden vs Trump from this polling firm. But I can extrapolate from those polls and say that this result is fairly consistent with their previous polls and really shows no real movement in the race. Which has been the case all year.

So Trump was winning before, Trump is still winning now. Averages matter and not individual polls. And only polls of the swing states matter and not national polls.


81 posted on 07/23/2024 12:01:54 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: thegagline

“And if you don’t like this candidate…

We have others!”


82 posted on 07/23/2024 12:04:29 PM PDT by Orosius (“Wake America Up Again )
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To: murron

Its just not a slam dunk for sure..they are going to say ANY attack on Harris is racism..they are going to do everything in their power to cheat..we have to go after Harris for her RECORD, she wants to raise taxes in 2025..she hates Israel, she threw 1900 young black men in prison for weed..this is what Trump needs to bring up


83 posted on 07/23/2024 12:05:26 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Bob Wills is still the king
Agree...This is why Vance is a valuable addition to the ticket. Name calling and a lack of focus on Rat failures to protect borders, citizens, the economy and American family values is asking for big trouble.
84 posted on 07/23/2024 12:06:20 PM PDT by PerConPat (The politician is an animal which can sit on a fence and yet keep both ears to the ground.- Mencken)
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To: thegagline

This is the MI6/CIA poll the Satanist Rats have been waiting for.


85 posted on 07/23/2024 12:06:21 PM PDT by Trumpisourlastchance
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To: thegagline

Hardcore liberals (socialists) will vote for just about anything even if it happens to be some dog catcher. I know some otherwise nice people, but when it comes to voting and party affiliation to them being a liberal is the next best thing to slice bread and they much rather die before voting for Trump.


86 posted on 07/23/2024 12:06:34 PM PDT by Saintgermain ( )
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To: 1Old Pro

Exactly. Very strange that polls, before him dropping out, showed Trump beating Harris. Then all of a sudden something changed.


87 posted on 07/23/2024 12:06:34 PM PDT by matt04 ( )
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To: thegagline

Sure she is...

They are projecting in hopes the dull minded will believe it
and think they should follow suit.

That woman is an unadulterated US grade A number one idiot.


88 posted on 07/23/2024 12:08:34 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (I pledge allegiance to the flag of the USofA & to the Constitutional REPUBLIC for which it stands. )
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To: thegagline; LS

Larry, any thoughts?


89 posted on 07/23/2024 12:09:05 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
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To: gloryblaze

“The Prosecutor vs The Felon”, it’s all over the news this will be her attack against Trump


90 posted on 07/23/2024 12:10:47 PM PDT by baclava
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To: Sarah Barracuda

The last Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Trump and Biden TIED. Gives you a pretty good idea of the validity of that source.


91 posted on 07/23/2024 12:10:49 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

AGREED.

WE HAVE TO RUN AS IF WE ARE DOWN 10%

GET ALL YOUR FRIENDS AND NEIGHBORS TO VOTE,EARLY FOR REPUBLICANS.

VOTE,DEMOCRATS OUT !!!

WE NEED TO GET TO BIG TO RIG !!!!!


92 posted on 07/23/2024 12:12:39 PM PDT by Pearfect (Ou can't beat the competition lock them )
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To: thegagline

Polls are not to report opinion, but to shape opinion.

Expect these polls, especially the left-wing polls (Reuters, Wash Post, NT Times, Gallup, Fox [yes, Fox], etc.) to show a Harris surge to depress Trump voters and get democrats stirred up.


93 posted on 07/23/2024 12:12:41 PM PDT by oldbill
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To: thegagline

Trump leads Harris by 19 points in ages 18 through 34, according to a recent Quinnipiac poll.


94 posted on 07/23/2024 12:13:01 PM PDT by circlecity
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To: thegagline

Well I thought (as of a week ago) the one thing Americans agreed on was she is a cackling idiot.

So, whoever they are picking for this poll are the same type who wear masks in their car. They’d say the sky is green if told it was.


95 posted on 07/23/2024 12:14:08 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: oldbill

REMEMBER WE HAVE TO BEAT the democrats AND the media !!!!


96 posted on 07/23/2024 12:14:13 PM PDT by Pearfect (Ou can't beat the competition lock them )
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To: Political Junkie Too

The isn’t even about the November election.

This is about securing for her the nomination.

They needed this is shut all the people who oppose the coronation up.

“See, she’s the best chance to beat Trump”


97 posted on 07/23/2024 12:14:34 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: thegagline
I and a good many others knew this would happen.

The ONLY reason the Lamestream media showed polls of Trump winning in a landslide was to help the elites push Biden out of the race.

All future polls will show Kamala within the margin of error in order to cover for the 2024 Steal.

98 posted on 07/23/2024 12:15:13 PM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: OHPatriot

“I suggest the media just PUSH these polls right back up their A@@ where they pulled them from in the first place.”

Reuters-Ipsos is as bad as you get. We don’t believe Reuters. Why believe their polls?


99 posted on 07/23/2024 12:16:52 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: thegagline

This will be easy for Harris to achieve because they turning up the fraud machine to full blast. And they spent the last 4 years heavily perfecting it. They learned from their mistakes.


100 posted on 07/23/2024 12:19:07 PM PDT by Revel
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