Posted on 07/05/2024 8:26:10 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Beryl barreled across the Caribbean, made landfall along the Yucatan Peninsula, and is forecast to make landfall in SE Texas.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan
Local NWS Weather Brownsville TX
Hurricane chocolate prep is complete. Popcorn 🍿 is in order for the ABC interview with Pudding Head Joe comng up now.
I can’t bring myself to watch it. Following here.
Rumored medical emergency on AF1 post-interview.
Ooops..wrong thread😆
Hey NN. Here we are again.
Nice speaking to you.
I think I'm ready for hurricane season this year. So....let her roll.
Hiya, blam! Great to see you back for another silly season with generators primed and ready for duty.
Thank you for your tireless efforts!
1000 PM CDT Update
-------------------------------
About 615 MI SE of Corpus Christi TX
Max Sustained Winds...60 MPH
Movement...WNW at 13 MPH
Minimum Pressure...996 MB
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center.
My homeland is in Brazoria County. I’m pretty worried for them right now. Sunday morning will be interesting.
Yes, Brazoria county takes the flooding hits, with these hurricanes, often.
The areas North of Houston, as well ... and, they’ve already had LOTS of rain, recently.
Prayers up, for all.
Was hoping Beryl would’ve made landfall near Harlingen, then traveled W/NW to the Hill Country area, to bring much needed relief to that area (lakes are down, with record lows).
Expected to be a hurricane near landfall in TX...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 91.3W
ABOUT 545 MI...875 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
Living in the Hill Country....
We need Beryl to make landfall just south of Corpus and then head north, staying just west of SA & Austin.
We need rain in the worst way. I’m praying.
Joe Bastardi is targeting Port Lavaca (Port O’Oconnor). That’s the new NHC landing site as well. That said, Joe’s concerned that ‘further up the coast’ is still in play as Beryl is currently tracking NORTH of the predicted lines (though still quite disorganized).
NHC does expect the storm to get her act together before landfall; enough for a 90mph storm.
From this morning’s Discussion page: “It is important to note that the average NHC track error at 60 hours is about 80 miles and the average intensity error is close to one category. Users are reminded to consider these uncertainties when using the forecast information.”
That’s particularly at issue here given that you’ve got a curving coastline being approached by a curving hurricane from an oblique angle. Timing is everything.
Oh, and note my post #32... the part about ‘dawn Monday morning’? The NHC itself is now thinking ‘1PM Monday’ for landfall.
She’s slowing down more than they’d thought before.
Adding the ‘Windy’ link as it’s very detailed and you can switch it up as you want. All in the path of Beryl? Be safe! Be prepared!
https://www.windy.com/?26.412,-85.693,5
Thanks for posting the Windy.com link. I was looking at it yesterday while Beryl was crossing the Yucatan Peninsula.
Good points. Galveston Bay is still within the Cone of Uncertainty. Beryl looked rather ragged last night on satellite. But the GOM waters are warm enough to strengthen the storm.
Thanks for the ‘cane thread(s).
From my perspective, I hope it brings some rain to my area. Seems like there’s a gap in rain coverage. In the last week, there have been storms to my north, and to my south, but only a trace of rain in my yard. Even the weeds are dying.
Stay safe, all!
Amen.
What do you do when your drinking water is full of microbes?
You “Beryl” it on the stove.
alancarp :"Joe Bastardi is targeting Port Lavaca (Port O’Oconnor). That’s the new NHC landing site as well.
That said, Joe’s concerned that ‘further up the coast’ is still in play
as Beryl is currently tracking NORTH of the predicted lines (though still quite disorganized).
NHC does expect the storm to get her act together before landfall; enough for a 90mph storm."
"From this morning’s Discussion page: “It is important to note that the average NHC track error at 60 hours is about 80 miles
and the average intensity error is close to one category.
Users are reminded to consider these uncertainties when using the forecast information.”
" That’s particularly at issue here given that you’ve got a curving coastline being approached by a curving hurricane from an oblique angle. Timing is everything."
" The NHC itself is now thinking ‘1PM Monday’ for landfall.
She’s slowing down more than they’d thought before."
Diana in Wisconsin :" Adding the ‘Windy’ link as it’s very detailed and you can switch it up as you want.
All in the path of Beryl? Be safe! Be prepared!
https://www.windy.com/?26.412,-85.693,5 "
NautiNurse : " Galveston Bay is still within the Cone of Uncertainty.
Beryl looked rather ragged last night on satellite.
But the GOM waters are warm enough to strengthen the storm."
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