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Leaked polling memo ‘shook Democrats in their boots,’ says former Obama adviser.
The Hill via Yahoo ^ | 7/03/2024 | Tara Suter

Posted on 07/04/2024 4:22:44 AM PDT by Roadrunner383

The polling memo from Open Labs, leaked to Puck News, showed how President Biden’s support was sliding following his panic-inducing debate performance Thursday.

The poll also showed Biden’s vote share falling in every important swing state, with Trump holding a roughly 7-point lead in both Michigan and Pennsylvania. And it noted that Democrats other than Biden were outperforming the president in a horse race against Trump.

“However, the poll that really shook Democrats in their boots came from Open Labs, a highly respected Democratic polling operation that works with campaigns and Super PACs,” said Pfeiffer, also a co-host of the popular progressive podcast “Pod Save America.”

“Look, this is just one poll and polling can be very noisy in the aftermath of a major event like the debate,” Pfeiffer wrote. “But it’s hard to find an outfit more respected in Democratic circles, so folks are taking this one very seriously.

(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024election; biden; poll; polling; polls
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Dem internal polling is showing Biden crashing and burning. Media and college university polls go for splashy headlines, but polling from private organizations linked to Dems are showing bad numbers for Biden.
1 posted on 07/04/2024 4:22:44 AM PDT by Roadrunner383
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To: Roadrunner383

Don’t count on Michigan with all the fraud going to be in place and especially the two new house bills that will make it hard to due recounts unless jumping through hoops.


2 posted on 07/04/2024 4:28:04 AM PDT by Engedi
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To: All
link to polling data. Interesting graphs there.
3 posted on 07/04/2024 4:34:05 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
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To: All

FTA-—The Open Labs memo noted
<><>the “largest single-week drop” in Biden’s vote share since late 2021,
<><>as Biden already faced a “challenging” election landscape even before the debate.

Among the key findings
<><>40% of Biden voters in 2020 said he should end his campaign, up from 25% in May.
<><>Biden’s vote share falling in every important swing state,
<><>Trump holding a roughly 7-point lead in both Michigan and Pennsylvania
<><>Democrats other than Biden were outperforming him in a horse race against Trump.


4 posted on 07/04/2024 4:41:22 AM PDT by Liz (This then is how we should pray: Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name . )
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To: Roadrunner383

“...Open Labs, a highly respected Democratic polling operation...”

That’s a contradiction in terms


5 posted on 07/04/2024 4:46:07 AM PDT by SMARTY (In politics, stupidity is not a handicap. Napoleon Bonaparte I)
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To: SMARTY

Nothing related to the DIMocRATs is highly respected...nothing.


6 posted on 07/04/2024 5:04:58 AM PDT by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp??)
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To: SMARTY

The fix =... “nd it noted that Democrats other than Biden were outperforming the president in a horse race against Trump.”


7 posted on 07/04/2024 5:29:00 AM PDT by Pikachu_Dad
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To: mmichaels1970

thanks for the link, mm.

Look at the column “pre-debate.” This outfit had the Rats behind in all the so-called battleground states before the debate. Also losing by a small margin in New Hampshire.

With the debate, they went from bad to worse.

The stuff we’ve been getting from the R pollsters, showing us doing very well, is corroborated. The real internal polls of the parties are the true polls. The public polls of the major media aren’t as accurate. They’re as much for entertainment as for information.

I noticed that Bloomberg stopped publishing battleground state polls a couple months ago. They weren’t as entertaining as they had been.

I’ll close with the following observation: part of Biden’s poor performance in the debate was that the guy knew he was behind in the polls. Biden’s not the tough guy he thinks he is. He cracked.


8 posted on 07/04/2024 5:33:10 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Liz

Thanks, Liz, for nicely summarizing the findings of the poll for us. You are a FR jewel!


9 posted on 07/04/2024 5:33:41 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Pikachu_Dad

Whistling past the graveyard


10 posted on 07/04/2024 5:34:44 AM PDT by SMARTY (In politics, stupidity is not a handicap. Napoleon Bonaparte I)
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To: Roadrunner383

In theory, polls should all produce the same result. In theory.

I have had a small hand in producing polls in the past. We had a rather defined group to poll, with very specific topics. I became very aware of how the phrasing of the question could affect the answer. We wanted the truth, so it was important to ask in a proper way.

We paid for an honest poll and were given one.

Today’s pollsters are mostly political hacks who will provide the answer they are paid for. They cannot only stack the questions, they can maneuver the random polling group by using certain area codes and times of day to call. They also weigh the results ( 50%D- 30%R-20%I). Any result is doable.

Polls, to me, are as reliable as fact checkers.

Dr Jill is shielding Joe from the negativity. Hunter needs his daddy to keep going or a whole lot of Bidens are headed to the slammer. I don’t think the Biden clan has a lot of love for the democrat party or the Obamas. They don’t care about the future of the party, just their own bank accounts.

I have no sympathy for anyone on that side. Their trickery and shenanigans are digging their grave.

It will be comforting to watch the dem party get torn apart by the very groups it created.

EC


11 posted on 07/04/2024 5:43:50 AM PDT by Ex-Con777
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To: Dan in Wichita

blush....t/y.


12 posted on 07/04/2024 6:21:16 AM PDT by Liz (This then is how we should pray: Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name . )
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To: Roadrunner383

Time for Mike.


13 posted on 07/04/2024 6:46:39 AM PDT by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races you do not like.)
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To: mmichaels1970

Whitmer will be the strongest according to this. A late entry by Whitmer will allow her to cruise to an easy victory riding the honeymoon wave with almost no time for scrutiny.


14 posted on 07/04/2024 7:00:30 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: hal ogen

Among their own it is.


15 posted on 07/04/2024 7:00:57 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: Pikachu_Dad

That’s a sentence that really says nothing without data.


16 posted on 07/04/2024 7:24:19 AM PDT by 3RIVRS
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To: Roadrunner383

The DungHill would NOT be reporting this unless it was really serious.
This is how they keep Obama-Holder-VJ-Big Mike’s fingerprints off the message.
They send leaks to their MSM and they spread the message.
The message is they are REALLY scared.


17 posted on 07/04/2024 8:06:10 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: Roadrunner383

“Look, this is just one poll and polling can be very noisy in the aftermath of a major event like the debate,” Pfeiffer wrote.

*************

This really wasn’t a debate. It was more of a debacle, in the true sense of the word.


18 posted on 07/04/2024 8:09:35 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: nwrep

Just the name “Whitmer” makes me think of only one thing, the blue dress and a belly button. That was weird. Didn’t she have any idea what a bad look that was?


19 posted on 07/04/2024 8:23:57 AM PDT by Sequoyah101 (The Government that got us in this mess is not the Government that can get us out of it.)
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To: Sequoyah101

The people whose votes will make a difference don’t know and don’t care. She will crush Trump in Michigan like a can of beer.


20 posted on 07/04/2024 8:51:44 AM PDT by nwrep
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