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2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden - Latest Fox News Poll
Real Clear Polling ^ | 19 June 2024

Posted on 06/20/2024 2:42:03 AM PDT by zeestephen

Fox News - 6/14-6/17 - 1095 (Reg. Voters) - 3.0 (Margin of Error) - Biden 50 - Trump 48

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolling.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: foxnews; poll; polling; polls
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To: hcmama

[Last week, Fox released their swing state polls showing Trump ahead everywhere and tied...in Virginia.
This poll shows Biden with a 45% approval rating and his support surging with independents—the very people you would expect to be Trump’s winning margin in the swing states

It makes no sense at all.]


Past tendencies are no indicator of current or future results. But assuming the samples are consistent, I think we’ve persistently seen a Trump effect in polling. When Tom Bradley, LA’s mayor, ran against George Deukmejian for CA governor, the polls showed him winning with a healthy margin.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect

It was posited that some survey respondents felt embarrassed about not wanting to put Bradley, who was black, in the governor’s mansion, so indicated they would vote for Bradley even though they actually intended to vote for Deukmejian.

If such a phenomenon actually exists, something similar may be at work here. There might be people embarrassed to say they’re voting for Trump, so say they will vote for Biden. That may be how Biden polled 8 points ahead close to the 2020 election, but only won by 4.


41 posted on 06/20/2024 4:32:06 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: zeestephen

within the margin of error from previous polls. And more importantly, only Pennsylvania matters.


42 posted on 06/20/2024 4:36:13 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: Gay State Conservative
In 2020, Biden's entire 7 million vote lead came from California and New York state.

In the other 48 states and the District of Columbia, Trump beat Biden by 37,000 votes.

Might be a good time to spin off CA and NY as independent countries?

43 posted on 06/20/2024 4:37:04 AM PDT by zeestephen (Trump "Lost" By 43,000 Votes - Spread Across Three States - GA, WI, AZ)
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To: zeestephen

Richard Baris pointed out that this particular FoxNews poll is the only poll he has seen where the most important issue for voters was “protecting Democracy.” People vote their pocketbooks.


44 posted on 06/20/2024 4:44:06 AM PDT by bort
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To: zeestephen

I believe it too. Because polls are to help us swallow the results in November.

They don’t realize how many people actually prefer to wallow in denial. How on the day after, people will start saying “just you wait!” and looking forward to the next election.

And denial will continue even after their free speech and their guns and their jobs are gone. Have nothing and be happy — after all, what can one do, without a spine?

But right now people have no idea how bad it will get; they don’t WANT to know.

We judged the people of Germany during the 1930’s, and here we are.


45 posted on 06/20/2024 4:52:36 AM PDT by Buttons12 ( Enough about the problem. What about the solution? )
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To: zeestephen

The Leftwing Faux Snooze will never show President Trump leading their demented one in one of their polls.


46 posted on 06/20/2024 4:56:24 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (When did WE decide to make America a UN 5-Star Asylum Paradise for Socialist losers?)
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To: Sir_Humphrey

Yeah and plenty around here root for a loss instead of getting with the program and supporting Trump...right?


47 posted on 06/20/2024 4:58:55 AM PDT by MagaMatt (Sapere aude.)
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To: zeestephen

let’s see - rapprochement bet Putin and NoKos, Saudis switch from petrodollar to yuan, we are projected at a $2 trillion DEFICIT - and Joe’s numbers go up? that doesn’t align.


48 posted on 06/20/2024 5:00:35 AM PDT by avital2
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To: MagaMatt

Don’t know what you’re talking about. I voted Trump in ‘16, 20 and will do so again in ‘24. Why would I vote for somebody I want to lose?


49 posted on 06/20/2024 5:26:37 AM PDT by Sir_Humphrey (The “only Trumpers” are just as damaging to the conservative cause as are the “never Trumpers”)
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To: Maris Crane

Not quite. If you look at the fine print at the bottom of the poll information, you’ll see the respondents were from a jury that was recently dismissed in New York, then the data was extrapolated out to . . .


50 posted on 06/20/2024 5:31:20 AM PDT by MCSETots ( )
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To: zeestephen

Fox has always had the worst polls.


51 posted on 06/20/2024 6:06:42 AM PDT by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races you do not like.)
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To: zeestephen

Fox News has been polling a Trump-Biden election
about once a month since August 2023.

;;;;;;;;;;;;

It will be interesting to see what the next couple
of polls show. Life goes on for the living as the
rest be dead and gone.


52 posted on 06/20/2024 6:08:34 AM PDT by deport
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To: Liz

And get a load of this-——”deep thoughts w/ Kamala.”

https://x.com/CitizenFreePres/status/1803584355694006741

Bump


53 posted on 06/20/2024 6:09:48 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Apparatchik

“These national polls are meaningless beyond giving a sense of what the general public’s momentary opinion of the candidates is.”

Not necessarily, but Fox polls are always meaningless. Always.


54 posted on 06/20/2024 6:11:27 AM PDT by odawg
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To: zeestephen
It's a National poll of warm bodies. The number of voters from each state varies by population so kalifornikator gets 10-11% of the vote because of their population size but we all know that it's electoral college votes are going to the demonRATs, so these National polls are click bait {and I just bit}.

If kalifornikator turned red for even a single major election, the shift in the US gummint would be so profound, that half of the cable tv news channels would shut down including npr.

55 posted on 06/20/2024 6:24:53 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE ALL MOOSELIMB TERRORISTS, NOW.)
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To: zeestephen

I’m calling it now as;

Biden - 400,000,000*

Trump - a few

* I know the US population is only 300,000,000. dems are through pretending. Get ready for living in the age of “we all know that the game is crooked but it’s the only one in town.” Is it possible for a country to join the 4th world? That’s where the dems are leading our country.


56 posted on 06/20/2024 6:24:58 AM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult (“History doesn’t repeat itself but it often rhymes” - Possibly Mark Twain.)
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To: Hillarys Gate Cult

Sorry, I meant the the US population is 330,000,000.


57 posted on 06/20/2024 6:26:30 AM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult (“History doesn’t repeat itself but it often rhymes” - Possibly Mark Twain.)
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To: zeestephen

When our current crop of 10 million new immigrants get mass
Amnesty, the Republicans will never win the White House, the
Senate, or the House of Representatives again.

/////////

Been happening in the space of time since Columbus sailed in
1492. The natives got rounded up and placed upon reservations.
In another 50 yrs or so we’ll have humans living in outer space.
Ain’t life grand? Enjoy your three score and ten as best you can.


58 posted on 06/20/2024 7:23:16 AM PDT by deport
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To: Liz

Blacks + Latinos + Women > 40%


59 posted on 06/20/2024 7:29:45 AM PDT by 38special (The government is ruining our country!)
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To: zeestephen

If anybody thinks these poll numbers are even close to true raise your hand. 🙄


60 posted on 06/20/2024 7:52:45 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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