Posted on 11/08/2022 11:35:14 AM PST by cotton1706
Roughly halfway through Election Day on the East Coast, a leading political prognosticator, looking at early precinct voting patterns, concluded that the Democrats were in serious trouble.
Dave Wasserman runs the non-partisan Cook Political Report, and he was watching the data from states on the East Coast and extrapolating from what he had seen by roughly 1 p.m. EST.
“It’s pretty apparent from precinct-level data in VA and county-level data in FL that Democrats have a turnout problem today – one that’s unlikely to be solved in the next six hours,” Wasserman concluded.
Then he got down to brass tacks, examining turnout in swing states such as Virginia and Florida: “Noon turnout reports in VA Beach -—a majority of Rep. Elaine Luria’s (D) Toss Up #VA02 — show most heavily GOP precincts up to 55-60% of ’21 votes cast, vs. 40-45% in most non-white precincts. Total ballots cast skewing much more R than ’20 in many FL counties, esp. Miami-Dade.”
Wasserman cited recent political history to buttress his claims of genuine trouble for Democrats at the ballot box: “In recent years, R voters have generally enjoyed their largest turnout advantage in the first 2-3 hours of EDay voting. So, it’s possible these gaps will narrow – and these are just two states. But, these are just large differentials for Dems to overcome in the next few hours.”
(Excerpt) Read more at dailywire.com ...
Not to read too much into Guam, but it’s been Dem since 1994.
From what I’ve seen in Nevada you can add them to the “rats in the shitter” list.
“ We need to start referring to getting hammered, is all contexts, as getting Paul Pelosi’d.”
I would be careful with that recommendation…because getting Pelosi’d could also mean taking it where the sun don’t shine.
We could call that getting San Fransisco’d.
The Dems did early voting and mail in and drop off. Don’t be fooled by turnout.
I think Guam is important because it has been under Democratic control for almost three decades—and flipped today.
I don’t think it is a fluke—we may well see more of this kind of thing in congressional districts in various parts of the country.
Let’s look at the numbers in the same race:
2020—Republican only got 21% of the vote against two democrats, finished third (last)
2018—Republican lost by 10%
2016—Republican lost by 8%
2014—Republican lost by 16%
2012—Republican lost by 21%
Summary—the Democrats owned Guam for the last five elections. It flipped to Republican today. It should have been an easy Democratic win.
Who needs turnout when you can sit home collecting welfare, eating your food stamp groceries and mailing in your vote along with your dead grandma’s unsolicited mail-in ballot?
You have to look at apples to apples voting trends.
The Democrats are in trouble—hard data and not speculation.
What has been the growth of turnouts in graveyards? With Covid over the last few years there are a lot of freshly buried Dem votes to resurrect from the underground
They’ll just have to come up with more fake votes.
Why bother going thru all the trouble of going to the polls when other Dems can vote for you.
It’s a good sign until the trucks come in with all the bogus ballots. Fortunately, low Dem turnout might throw the cheaters off (GOP’s in cheating states may win narrowly rather than losing, for once).
Your lips to God’s ears. I hope your right. And I spent a couple of evenings at your club back in the day.
Well explained, bravo.
Dems don’t need a large turnout. Delaying the count is all they need to win.
Democrat turnout is mostly electronic.
whats up?
red wave tsunami?
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