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Data Shows White Supremacists Are Not The Most Likely Mass Murderers
The Federalist ^ | 05/22/2022 | JOHN R. LOTT, JR.

Posted on 05/23/2022 7:44:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Democrats are lying to Americans about the most likely motivations for mass murderers and the prevalence of guns in violent crime.

In his Buffalo, New York speech last week following a mass shooting, President Biden showed he still has only two things on his mind regarding crime: guns and white supremacists.

No one can defend white supremacists. But with violent crime soaring and this latest attack in Buffalo, people want something done. Yet Biden’s agenda won’t make people safer. 

“Look, we’ve seen the mass shootings in Charleston, South Carolina; El Paso, Texas; in Pittsburgh. Last year in Atlanta. This week in Dallas, Texas, and now in Buffalo. In Buffalo, New York,” Biden said. “White supremacy is a poison. It’s a poison. It really is. Running through our body politic. And it’s been allowed to fester and grow right in front of our eyes. No more. I mean, no more.”

Of the 82 mass public shootings from January 1998 to May 2021, 9 percent have known or alleged ties to white supremacists, neo-Nazis, or anti-immigrant views. Many of the anti-immigrant attackers, such as the Buffalo murderer, hold decidedly environmentalist views that are more in line with the Democrat agenda.

Other groups commit mass public shootings disproportionately more than whites do. While non-Middle Eastern whites make up about 64 percent of the population, they make up 58 percent of the mass public shooters. Another 9 percent are carried out by people of Middle Eastern origin, who make up only 0.4 percent of the country’s population. That makes Middle Easterners the most likely ethnic or racial group to carry out mass public shootings.

Blacks, Asians, and American Indians also commit these attacks at a slightly higher rate than their share of the population. Hispanics commit them at much lower rates (11 percent lower) than their share of the population.

Seventy-one percent of mass public shooters have no identifiable political views. But you would never know this from watching TV police dramas or listening to Biden’s constant claim that white supremacists pose the biggest threat of domestic terrorism.

Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas claimed in testimony in April that white supremacy is the top terrorism-related threat to the homeland. But when pressed, Mayorkas couldn’t name a single white supremacy case that his department referred to the Department of Justice for prosecution.

White supremacists with guns are not the threat that our government would have us believe. It’s not just that white supremacy is rare. So too are gun crimes. The number of gun crimes has been falling dramatically, and they now make up less than 8 percent of violent crimes in America. Yet we constantly hear the opposite from politicians who support gun restrictions.

“We can keep assault weapons off our streets. We’ve done it before. I did it when I passed the crime bill last time, and violence went down, shootings went down,” Biden falsely claimed in Buffalo. “We can’t prevent people from being radicalized to violence, but we can address the relentless exploitation of the internet to recruit and mobilize terrorism. We just need to have the courage to do that, to stand up.”

Biden’s focus on guns, and particularly assault weapons, is misplaced. Last Tuesday, Biden again bragged about how wonderful his 1994 assault weapon ban was in stopping mass public shootings, but even studies paid for by the Clinton administration couldn’t find evidence of its effectiveness. 

If the federal assault weapons ban really drove the changes in the rate of mass public shootings, attacks with assault weapons should have become less common during the ban. Then they should have become more common, at least as a share of total shootings, after the ban ended in 2004.

But that isn’t what happened. Comparing the ten years before 1994 to the ten years after, we find that the percentage of mass public shootings with assault weapons rose slightly when the ban was in effect (going from 22.2 percent to 23.5 percent) and then fell in the ten years after the ban ended (23.5 percent to 18.2 percent).

Biden’s “guns first” approach ignores a basic fact: More than 92 percent of violent crimes in America do not involve firearms. In addition, although Biden blames guns for the increase in violent crime, the latest data show that gun crimes fell dramatically.

new McLaughlin and Associates survey of 1,000 likely voters from April 20 to 26th for the Crime Prevention Research Center shows how misinformed people are. People across the country, of all races and incomes, have wildly inaccurate beliefs about how frequently violent crime involves guns.

The average likely American voter is way off, thinking that more than 46 percent of violent crimes involve guns. The people who had the most inaccurate views that the rate of violent crime with guns was the highest were the ones who most strongly supported gun control.

It might not be easy to accept, but based on the evidence, focusing solely on guns and white supremacy isn’t a wise use of resources. 


John R. Lott, Jr. is the president of the Crime Prevention Research Center based in Missoula. His academic research on abortion is discussed in his book “Freedomnomics.”


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: banglist; massshooting; whitesupremacy
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1 posted on 05/23/2022 7:44:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Doi


2 posted on 05/23/2022 7:47:40 AM PDT by albie
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To: SeekAndFind

Some whacko kid who’s all screwed up like the Buffalo nut is not a white supremist. He’s a plain ole killer.


3 posted on 05/23/2022 7:47:50 AM PDT by Sacajaweau ( )
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To: SeekAndFind

Mass shootings started to become a thing, if you want to call it that, when two things started happening- Mass prescription of meds like Prozac, and the end of mental institutions back in the 80s. The meds probably made it seem like the institutions were no longer necessary but that thinking didn’t include those who stop taking their meds and have a psychotic break. What happened next was maybe not expected but probably predictable given the absolutely low occurrence from a statistical perspective. A remnant of a remnant choose this course.

This does not address the gang violence that happens in blue cities like Chicago. That happens for a different reason.


4 posted on 05/23/2022 7:50:17 AM PDT by NicoDon
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To: SeekAndFind
"Many of the anti-immigrant attackers, such as the Buffalo murderer"

I like Lott, but this is just not true. The Buffalo shooter cannot be characterized as anti-immigrant. He did not go out to kill immigrants. He went to kill non-whites. There is a difference.

5 posted on 05/23/2022 7:53:30 AM PDT by thefactor (yes, as a matter of fact, i DID only read the excerpt )
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To: SeekAndFind
Beware of all of these racist white mass shooters:


6 posted on 05/23/2022 7:54:01 AM PDT by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Yet Biden’s agenda won’t make people safer. It is not designed to. It is designed for votes.


7 posted on 05/23/2022 7:58:58 AM PDT by pas
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To: SeekAndFind

Chicago, St Louis, every weekend


8 posted on 05/23/2022 8:01:48 AM PDT by Pollard (If there's a question mark in the headline, the answer should always be No.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Democrats are lying, I just can’t believe that, they have always been so honest.


9 posted on 05/23/2022 8:04:11 AM PDT by euram
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To: Tell It Right

WOW


10 posted on 05/23/2022 8:05:30 AM PDT by SaveFerris (The Lord, The Christ and The Messiah: Jesus Christ of Nazareth - http://www.BiblicalJesusChrist.Com/)
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To: euram

Data is Racist.


11 posted on 05/23/2022 8:11:16 AM PDT by The Antiyuppie (When small men cast long shadows, then it is very late in the day.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Old tactic of trying to paint your political enemy with an unflattering label. No matter that it is a bald-face lie so long as it results in enhancement of their political following. People are dying because they intentionally choose to attack the wrong enemy. Mental health appears to be the main culprit and the left commits the atrocity by misdirecting away from the real truth. Evil incarnate.


12 posted on 05/23/2022 8:11:58 AM PDT by RatRipper (The Biden Adm is leading an attack against US citizens . . . pure evil.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Black Ass Kissing


13 posted on 05/23/2022 8:12:04 AM PDT by bert ( (KWE. NP. N.C. +12) Promoting Afro Heritage diversity will destroy the democrats)
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To: Tell It Right

almost a third if the definition of white is stretched to include hispanics or the police drawing... 28 out of 91.

definitely a problem to get ahead of.


14 posted on 05/23/2022 8:16:07 AM PDT by teeman8r (Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world or something )
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To: SeekAndFind
No one can defend white supremacists

Can't define it either. It's broad term used to vilify anyone who disagrees with the left.

15 posted on 05/23/2022 8:19:57 AM PDT by Altura Ct.
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To: SeekAndFind

Since things like good grammar, math skills and even being physically fit are all now asserted by the Woke to be artifacts of white supremacy I can honestly say that I’ve no problem defending white supremacy.

Why?

Because of the nitwits whose overarching goal is only and always to tear down and never to build up — because of the magical thinking that permeates so much of the Left that all we have to do is get rid of everything that has not produced a perfect society that somehow that society will suddenly, revolutionarily appear — for if they say anything good in civilization itself is white supremacy then it’s something worth defending!


16 posted on 05/23/2022 8:34:31 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: The Antiyuppie

Beat me to it! I was going to say that.


17 posted on 05/23/2022 8:47:30 AM PDT by griswold3 (When chaos serves the State, the State will encourage chaos.)
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To: SeekAndFind

They are simply the only ones the Fake News media will report on.


18 posted on 05/23/2022 9:02:26 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte (11/3-11/4/2020 - The USA became a banana republic.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Data also shows that congress is compiled of scumbag slackers who will do anything for a buck. Or a vote.

Both are true. What's your point?

19 posted on 05/23/2022 9:11:00 AM PDT by LouAvul (Comfort is the enemy of courage.)
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To: bert

If you don’t vote for me, you ain’t black enough!

Trying to make them ‘blacker’!


20 posted on 05/23/2022 9:19:43 AM PDT by TribalPrincess2U
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