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Iran is beginning to understand the Abraham Accords - analysis (Trump planted tree is bearing fruit)
Jerusalem Post ^ | 0403/2022 | SETH J. FRANTZMAN

Posted on 04/03/2022 5:38:40 AM PDT by bert

Iran was surprised to see the recent Negev Summit where Israel hosted the foreign ministers of the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco and Egypt. It is now examining how strong this new alliance might be.

Iran was surprised to see the recent Negev Summit where Israel hosted the foreign ministers of the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco and Egypt. While Tehran has been shouting about the Abraham Accords since the beginning, accusing Arab states of betraying the Palestinian cause and threatening them against working with Israel, it appears that the Islamic Republic now understands that this new era of peaceful diplomacy is actually happening and it can’t prevent it.

In a recent article at Tasnim News, which reflects the views of the IRGC, the Iranian media said that the Gulf states have become closer to Israel because they see the US leaving the region. The US withdrawal from Afghanistan was one aspect of this new shift.

“Last year's US withdrawal from Afghanistan woke up the well-to-do sheikhs on the southern shores of the Persian Gulf and raised the question in their minds: what to do after the US? Who is going to save security for countries that are mostly lacking in strategic depth and are on the verge of collapse?” Iran’s answer is that the Gulf states are shifting to Israel for support.

Iran’s media acknowledged that the recent meeting was the first time that the foreign ministers of these countries have all gone to Israel together, which is historic. “The Zionists chose the meeting place of the ministers of the four Arab countries with the foreign minister of the Zionist regime in the Sdeh Boker area in the Negev desert, the area where David Ben-Gurion, the founder and the first prime minister of the regime, built a house for himself and his wife.”

Iran monitored these developments closely. They understand that the countries also have some concerns about it and its nuclear deal. “It is clear that this meeting was held against Iran and provoked by the Zionist regime.”

Tehran also followed closely another meeting where Egypt hosted Israel and the UAE, in which Iran says that regional defense cooperation against “drones, missiles and other hazards were on the agenda of the three leaders.” It reads reports that this could mean shared air defense technology, including Israel’s advances in laser technology. Recent reports in Gulf media have said Morocco wants Israeli air defense systems.

Iran has taken account of efforts to form what is called an “Arab NATO… with the participation of Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE.” No such Arab NATO has come into being, however, and Iran continues to use the Houthis in Yemen to target Saudi Arabia and the UAE. “Eventually, escalating tensions in the Persian Gulf and attacks on the Aramco…led Qatar, Jordan and Egypt to oppose the formation of such a coalition, preventing the United States from forming such an alliance.”

Former US “President Donald Trump and his unprecedented pressure on Arab countries to normalize relations with the Zionist regime led the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan to agree to" do so, Tasnim said.

NOW IRAN wonders if this new era will mean these countries will work successfully with Israel. “Will the Zionist regime be large enough to lead this coalition against Iran or any other country? The leaders of small Arab countries do not seem to have thought enough about this question….Can an alliance with the Zionists, who are far weaker in all aspects of power than the United States, be able to bring security to those who are willing to impose such a cost on their country in foreign policy?” This shows that Iran predicts more security risks for the Gulf.

Iran is now examining how strong this new alliance might be. “The United States and the Zionist regime, by intimidating the leaders of rich Arab countries and making Iran look bigger, intend to throw the Arab countries into a big trap that they themselves have been avoiding entering for two decades.”

Tehran says it will not turn a blind eye to this coalition. That could mean new Houthi attacks on the Gulf. Iran also points to Hamas having waged war against Israel in May 2021. “the Islamic Resistance [Hamas] fired more than 12,000 rockets at the occupied territories.”

Iran notes that none of the countries that are now working with Israel have been historically against the Jewish state. “Normalizing relations with these countries will not bring much for the Zionists, especially since [Israel]’s neighboring countries are not willing to normalize relations with the Zionists.” This refers to Lebanon and Syria where Iran has influence.

The Islamic Republic praises the recent terror attacks on Israel in Beersheba and Hadera, claiming that “five Zionists” were killed in one of the attacks. “These operations have shocked and confused the Israeli security services.”

Iran concludes that “if the calculations take into account Hezbollah in Lebanon and the advanced missiles, as well as the drones that the resistance group has, the exact weight of the Arab-Zionist NATO that is likely to be formed will be determined.” Tehran is hinting here that it will seek to use proxies to attack Israel in the coming months.


TOPICS: Egypt; Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; Syria; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: abrahamaccords; abramsaccord; afghanistan; azerbaijan; bahrain; egypt; erdogan; hamas; hezbollah; houthi; houthis; india; iran; iraq; irgc; israel; jordan; kurdistan; lebanon; morocco; negevsummit; oman; pakistan; qatar; qudsforce; receptayyiperdogan; sethjfrantzman; syria; turkey; uae; unitedarabemirates; waronterror; yemen
-----Former US “President Donald Trump and his unprecedented pressure on Arab countries to normalize relations with the Zionist regime led the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan to agree to" do so, Tasnim said----

This is the money quote that acknowledges credit where credit is due and belies some of the other points raised by Iran. President Trump created an alliance now widely being compared to NATO.

The referenced recent Negev summit Created fear for the IRGC adequate to produce this response that is sort of a rambling mishmash of spin.

This is perhaps the most important article published today, anywhere. It is historic in nature in that Iran formally notes the existence of an extremely capable and deadly new foe.

Although it doesn't say so, the article acknowledges that while the Biden administration is screwing with a dead nuclear treaty, it is trying to play a game that is long over. By Trump's design, the Abram Accord allowed America to step aside while the now assimilated Arabs and Israel take control of the existential Iranian threats

1 posted on 04/03/2022 5:38:40 AM PDT by bert
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...
Iran continues to use the Houthis in Yemen to target Saudi Arabia and the UAE. “Eventually, escalating tensions in the Persian Gulf and attacks on the Aramco…led Qatar, Jordan and Egypt to oppose the formation of such a coalition, preventing the United States from forming such an alliance.”
Thanks bert.

2 posted on 04/03/2022 5:56:13 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: bert

Iran is afraid of anything resembling peace. Totalitarian regimes need enemies, threats, and chaos to keep people distracted and justify their iron grip.

May God continue to protect and bless Israel.


3 posted on 04/03/2022 6:05:29 AM PDT by TheWriterTX (Trust not in earthly princes....!)
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To: bert

Thanks for posting.

Did I miss it, or did the liberal media pretty much ignore the summit and its historic significance?


4 posted on 04/03/2022 6:17:31 AM PDT by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: nuconvert

In my view, the American media is still trying to play the game that is already over


5 posted on 04/03/2022 6:19:47 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Promoting Afro Heritage diversity will destroy the democrats)
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To: nuconvert

Perhaps the most powerful tool that the propaganda media has is its power to ignore. Recently I learned of a highly educated person who had never heard of Hunter Biden’s laptop before this week. I’m quite sure they have never heard of the Abraham Accords.


6 posted on 04/03/2022 6:39:45 AM PDT by Freee-dame
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To: Freee-dame

“highly educated person who had never heard of Hunter Biden’s laptop before this week. I’m quite sure they have never heard of the Abraham Accords.”

Karens & Kevins only read what the Important Media writes. And therefore they KNOW EVERYTHING IMPORTANT TO KNOW. /S

“At least there are no Mean Tweets anymore. Gawd, how awful.”


7 posted on 04/03/2022 6:57:40 AM PDT by drSteve78 (Je suis Deplorable STILL)
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To: bert

When the House of Saud falls, so will the UAE and Bahrain. Anyone who thinks Egypt or Morocco will stick with this after the end of Saudi Arabia is crazy.

The “Abraham accords” were clumsy attempt to bring Saudi into an Israel-tolerating Arab pact, and the gambit failed.


8 posted on 04/03/2022 7:02:43 AM PDT by Jim Noble (Who saves the nation breaks no law)
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To: Jim Noble

Dream on. Your anti Arab, anti Islam BS is detrimental to America

Saudi is now and has been for all it’s existence a strong American ally Oh and don’t come with your 9/11 drivel. It’s BS


9 posted on 04/03/2022 7:06:32 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Promoting Afro Heritage diversity will destroy the democrats)
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To: dennisw; Cachelot; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; Lent; GregB; ..
Middle East and terrorism, occasional political and Jewish issues Ping List. High Volume If you’d like to be on or off, please FR mail me.
10 posted on 04/03/2022 7:10:29 AM PDT by SJackson (nations that are barren of liberties are also barren of groceries, Louis Fisher)
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To: bert

The Democrats and the media would rather see a world war than a Trump brokered peace.


11 posted on 04/03/2022 7:20:21 AM PDT by Spok (Winston, how many fingers am I holding up?)
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To: Jim Noble

Or not


12 posted on 04/03/2022 7:57:11 AM PDT by Nifster (I’m see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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