Posted on 02/28/2022 8:10:18 PM PST by Mariner
A Russian military convoy that was outside of Ivankiv, Ukraine, on Sunday has since made it to the outskirts of Kyiv, satellite images show.
On Sunday, the convoy was roughly 40 miles northwest of the Ukrainian capital, according to images provided by Maxar Technologies.
Maxar said that roughly 17 miles of roadway is chocked full of the convoy, which consists of armored vehicles, tanks, towed artillery and other logistical vehicles.
The private US company said the convoy was located on the T-1011 highway at Antonov air base around 11:11 a.m local time.
Antonov is roughly 17 miles from the center of the Ukrainian capital.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
The ownership figure in Russia is only 12.3/100 https://wisevoter.com/country-rankings/gun-ownership-by-country/ Arming a militia will be interesting...
Ukrainian hackers got access to a russo-iranian conference and reminded them that they will be held accountable for their aggression against Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/saintjavelin/status/1651994974097899521
‘I’d like thank everyone for an informative discussion. Especially, I want to thank the organizers for inviting Ukraine. To be more specific, for letting the Ukraine Security Service to participate in this event….’
Waiting for the new episode in this show.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1652410760499216389
https://t.me/wargonzo/12226
Face-saving operation?
Sounds like thing are going to Hell in a handbasket
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 28, 2023
Russian forces launched a series of missile strikes against rear areas of Ukraine on the night of April 27.
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) confirmed the appointment of Vice Admiral Vladimir Vorobyov as the new commander of the Baltic Fleet following the transfer of former Baltic Fleet commander Admiral Viktor Liina to the Pacific Fleet.
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree codifying conditions for the further large-scale deportation of residents of occupied areas of Ukraine to Russia.
Russian Defense Minister Army General Sergei Shoigu promoted the Kremlin’s efforts to form a potential anti-Western coalition during a meeting of the defense ministers of Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) member states in New Delhi, India.
Head of the Kremlin-controlled Russian Orthodox Church Patriarch Kirill of Moscow defrocked a Russian Orthodox Church protodeacon who did not support Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Russian forces continued ground attacks near Kreminna and have made an incremental advance northwest of Kreminna as of April 28.
Russian forces are increasing pressure against the T0504 Kostyantynivka-Chasiv Yar-Bakhmut highway.
Russian forces continued routine indirect fire and defensive operations in southern Ukraine.
Russian President Vladimir Putin tasked Russian officials with developing Russia’s domestic drone industry likely as part of the Kremlin’s effort to gradually mobilize Russia’s defense industrial base (DIB).
Russian occupation authorities continue to announce patronage programs with Russian federal subjects.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-28-2023
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 29, 2023
Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin threatened to withdraw Wagner forces from Bakhmut if the Russian military command fails to provide more ammunition to Wagner mercenaries.
Prigozhin also continued his efforts to convince the Kremlin to go over to the defensive in eastern Ukraine.
Prigozhin offered the position of First Deputy Commander of Wagner forces, possibly sarcastically, to former Russian Deputy Defense Minister for Logistics Colonel General Mikhail Mizintsev who was reportedly dismissed from his position on April 27.
Ukrainian forces attacked an oil storage facility in Sevastopol reportedly with a wave of Mugin-5 UAVs on April 29.
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks on the Svatove-Kreminna line.
Russian forces made limited gains in Bakhmut and continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian forces conducted a sea-based missile strike against the command post of the Ukrainian Kherson Group of Forces. Ukrainian officials have so far not confirmed this claim.
The Russian MoD continues to pursue measures to expedite the conscription process and increase the difficulty of evading summonses.
Russian occupation authorities and border area officials have expanded security measures and filtration efforts likely in anticipation of increased Ukrainian partisan activity in support of a potential Ukrainian counteroffensive.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-29-2023
“Putin’s battalions” are very displeased with Germany in general and Bundeskanzler Scholz in particular.
They call on Russians living in Germany to “rise and fight”.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1652575494037028865
LOL! is it Monty Python?
https://twitter.com/WildWater18/status/1652576475197964289
Russian propagandist Mardan says that the conversation of @ZelenskyyUa and Xi Jinping is a “betrayal” of Russia. Why, then, did Xi Jinping disrupt Putin’s work for three days during his visit, Mardan wonders.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1652588847790784513
Both Putin and Xi knows this:
On the morning of March 2, 1969, 30 or so Chinese soldiers crossed the ice onto the island and were confronted by Soviet border guards.
Moscow threatened a nuclear response. Dozens of Chinese cities constructed multi-level underground bomb shelters (repurposed in the 1980s as seedy shopping malls). Soviet threats to launch missiles against China’s own nuclear program, in Xinjiang, finally brought the PRC to the negotiating table. Not until September, when Zhōu Ēnlái 周恩来 and Soviet Premier Alexei Kosygin met at Beijing’s Capital Airport, did tensions ease.
https://thechinaproject.com/2021/03/03/how-close-exactly-were-russia-and-china-to-nuclear-war/
At least Xi understands that Putin will not win the Ukrainian war.
Xi is only maneuvering to get a better outcome regarding the spoils of war.
Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of the PMC “Wagner”, wrote a letter to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, demanding to provide ammunition. Prigozhin gave an ultimatum that if the problem with supplies for his PMC is not solved, he will complain to Putin, and the mercenaries will leave their positions in Bakhmut and retreat.
“I appeal to Shoigu with a request to immediately issue ammunition. In case of refusal, I consider it necessary to inform the Supreme Commander-in-Chief (Putin) about the existing problem in order to make a decision and about the advisability of further presence of the “Wagner” PMC in Bakhmut in conditions of ammunition shortage. <...> The deadline for making a decision is today, April 28,” Prigozhin said.
The leader of the mercenaries said that “ammunition is no longer left for weeks, but for days.” “If the shortage does not stop, <...> part of the units we will be forced to withdraw from this territory, and then everything else will collapse,” Prigozhin said.
According to his prediction, Ukraine's offensive will begin no later than May 15. “We need to stop deceiving the population and telling them that everything is fine with us. <...> I must honestly say: Russia is on the brink of catastrophe,” Prigozhin stressed.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1652367108745965578
The Russian tank unsuccessfully stopped for a smoke break.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1652642195143262210
Xi feels the world wind in his face. The world are customers. Russia is on it’s ass and is not.
Xi is finessing Putin
2/ In my previous post on this topic, I described the rationale for measures of success & failure. I also listed five principles for their development and application. Success in the coming offensives can be measured at different levels and over different timescales.
3/ Progress will be assessed by multitudes of analysts, journalists, politicians and citizens. At the same time, some will quickly jump on short term tactical setbacks instead of waiting a few days to assess the full implications of such incidents.
4/ I propose a set of measures of success for the forthcoming offensives. Some of the measures are tactical, some more strategic or political. Together, they are a linked set of measures that can be used to assess whether the degree to which Ukrainian offensives are successful.
THREAD read more
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1652545700562112517.html
Pavel Gubarev, one of Putin’s henchmen in #Ukraine describes how they “integrated” #Kherson.
…First, there were endless anti-russia demos. Then arrests. Jails were full. We dug up some holes for the rest of ‘em. Problem solved!
https://targum.video/v/2023/04/30/d3ba081c893d6c4c1167304b9c83f003?l=en
Eng sub
The fund is administered by the UK Ministry of Defence on behalf of an Executive Panel, comprising the UK, Norway, Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden. These partners, along with Iceland and Lithuania, have contributed a collective total of more than £520 million to the fund to date.
We have launched Urgent Bidding Round 2 (UBR2) and now invite Expressions of Interest (EOI) from suppliers across the globe for:
Mobility Support - open until 9 May 2023, 23:00BST
In the following sub-capability areas:
Armoured minefield breaching capabilities – mine rollers and mine ploughs full width and track width for Main Battle Tanks – T-72, Leopard 1, Leopard 2. Armoured mine clearing vehicles.
Armoured vehicle launched bridges and launchers in any size.
Medium Girder Bridges: 9m to 31m, with at least Military Load Capacity (MLC) – 70(T).
Logistical support bridge launchers and reusable bridges: 40m to 80m, with at least Military Load Capacity (MLC) – 70(T).
Heavy equipment transporters capable of transporting Main Battle Tanks.
Long range strike - open until 4 May 2023, 23:00BST
Essential requirements:
Missiles or Rockets with a range 100-300km; land, sea or air launch. Payload 20-490kg
Desirable requirements:
Low Probability of Intercept (LPI)
Includes Mission Planning Capability;
Assured navigation (with hardened Global Navingation Satellite System capability) in the face of advanced countermeasures and EM spectrum denial;
Air defence penetration methods to increase probability of successful strike.
Technical Readiness Level of at least 8.
Long range strike
The UBR2 Long Range Strike requirements are now live. Expressions of Interest should be submitted by 4 May 2023, 23:00 BST
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/international-fund-for-ukraine-ifu
Check that your friends have submitted EOIs.
China does better the longer that the Russia-Ukraine war lasts. That allows China to bleed Russia on the terms of the limited logistic and political support that China provides, while keeping the US tied down to aiding Ukraine instead of aiding Taiwan.
AdmSmith: [Russian propagandist Mardan says that the conversation of @ZelenskyyUa and Xi Jinping is a “betrayal” of Russia. Why, then, did Xi Jinping disrupt Putin’s work for three days during his visit, Mardan wonders.]
Ukraine ping
Thanks, AdmSmith. On a side note - fascinating 6-minute video on how a milsurp vehicle dealer who had a business doing rides for civilians and operating novelty-type sidelines like a APC hearse segued into selling some of the contents of his junkyard to Ukraine. One vehicle almost immediately suffered the fate of countless other pieces of military gear, past and present. It was totaled by what appears to be an ATGM or artillery strike.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DxIeXdn86Lg
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