Fewer COVID Patients in Hospitals, ICUs and on Vents in Almost Every Region in Ohio

The Ohio Star ^ | 12/30/2020 | Jack Windsor

[EBH]

Governor DeWine or Chief Medical Officer Dr. Bruce Vanderhoff spend a portion of press briefings discussing the issue of hospital capacity, often warning Ohioans that if cases continue to climb, hospitals around the state will be overrun and care for other non-COVID patients may be crowded out.

Consequently, The Ohio Star dug into the data to unearth the trend in statewide hospital capacity and in each of Ohio’s eight Hospital Preparedness Regions.

Based on numbers found on the COVID Dashboard, between December 1 and December 15 cases dropped statewide by 23%, hospitalizations dipped 1% and deaths decreased 35%.

The percentage change was not calculated beyond December 15 as the Ohio Department of Health (ODH) has repeatedly advised that numbers take about two weeks to settle – except for numbers reported on the Hospital Key Indicator page, which updates daily.

According to the data found on the state website (specifically under the “Key Metrics” tab, then “Hospitalizations” in the drop-down menu) total utilization statewide per inpatient beds, ICU beds and ventilators, is as follows:

[hinckley buzzard]

i get daily updates for Cleveland, a city of about 400,000. For weeks on end, we get maybe 100-200 hundred new cases per day, and zero deaths to maybe one once a week. That’s all. i wonder if it is any different in other cities here, Cleveland has no reason to be an exception.

[SaxxonWoods]

Hi. Can you elaborate on how you identify the beginning and end of the 72 days cycles?

Thanks.

[bdfromlv]

Every year in the US 250,000+ patients are killed by medical mal-practice causing doctors, hospitals and insurance companies money, how much lower will that rate be this year when all of it can be Covid related.

[gas_dr]

There is a pretty standard curve to this when you see day over day rises of greater than 1.10 it’s an exponential growth. Then I look for the inflection point to demonstrate the peak is approaching. Then look for the fall.

Wish I could take credit for it. The math prof in Israel nailed the mathematical model

[DoodleBob]

I would love to see a plot of regional per capita case and fatality levels against regional temperature deviations from the respective historical monthly average.

As I wrote elsewhere, lest anyone think otherwise, we are seeing, broadly, a SEASONAL RISE in cases and fatalities, and likely not a "surge" or a "new strain of the virus."

The majority of deaths in most countries can be attributed to causes that feature a distinct seasonal pattern. The figure depicts the relative monthly frequencies of nine selected causes of death in the United States for women and men combined for the years 1959–2014. The reported number of counts in parentheses in the title of each panel is the actual number of deaths.

Viruses gonna virus. Even non-viruses gonna non-virus.

If my hypothesis is right, a mild winter in regions may be helping regional case and fatality levels.

[FreedomNotSafety]

DeWhine isn’t near as good as Desantis but he has been ok. Except for the incessant moralizing. He made a lot of proclamations but never gave them much if any force. He made moves to protect the nursing homes which prevented a NYC like death count.

I know many people in Ohio and the virus seems to be running its course. I now know many people who have had it. The nursing homes were inoculated last week.

[SaxxonWoods]

Thanks, that helps. I’m on the right general tract at least.

[Norseman]

Ohio’s cases were trending upward until about Dec 12-13. Since then, they’ve peaked and are headed downward (in terms of new cases per day.)

So the Governor was right to be concerned in mid-December and the newspaper is right now in pointing out that the peak has passed.

Sometimes there are no bad guys in the story.

[Norseman]

>>If you look at the trend it appears that Ohio regionally is at herd immunity.<<

Hardly. They might be approaching herd immunity, but being “at herd immunity” implies that no new cases are arising because everyone who has it is surrounded by those who already have immunity. When they’re over it, it’s done with.

That’s clearly not the case yet in Ohio.

[Wuli]

I wonder, besides Cincinnati, what other major Ohio cities are in the “region six” on the map. It was the one region registering Covid-19 patient increases between dec 15 and dec 29.

[MinorityRepublican]

We should had told the elderly (anyone above the age of 65) and other people in high risk groups to mask up 😷 and to socially distance.

For the rest of us? Let ‘er rip. That’s how you end the pandemic by developing herd immunity in the population.

[cymbeline]

“the numbers are spiking all over the country! “

One of my daughters works for Duke Hospital. She says they are operating normally.

[xrmusn]

We should had told the elderly (anyone above the age of 65) and other people in high risk groups to mask up 😷 and to socially distance.
= = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =
Maybe SUGGESTED would be a better statement.

I am well over 65 (in ‘fact’ I got an ID ‘saying’ I am 63 when they had suggested ‘house arrest’ for all over 65) and continue working everyday, going about my normal routines as to shopping etal, don’t wear a mask (do have a viable reason not too BUT would probably rebel against it anyway) have ‘always’ practiced distancing- IT used to be called “ANTI SOCIAL BEHAVIOR” if one wanted to keep all at ARMS length.

If we are going to do this, lets do it right...DEMAND masks be disposed of like the Doctors & Nurses do (That is what ‘they’ tell us ...’masks must be good Drs and Nurses wear them - then give that know it all smirk ..of course when you point out HOW the Drs & Nurses handle them you get the blank stare)

Maybe some entrepreneur can come up with a 6 foot style hula hoop that we can all wear-THAT will keep you 6 foot apart don’t worry, all the doors and aisles can be adjusted (I BETTER NOT GIVE THEM ANY IDEAS)

[Daffynition]

[MinorityRepublican]

I agree with you, suggested would be the better statement here. Everyone should be free to make their own decisions. That said, the actions of our government is just prolonging the “pandemic”. Look at California right now. They’ve been locked up for so long now they are getting overwhelmed with their medical system now that the virus is finally establishing a foothold in their population.

[Grampa Dave]

We should had told the elderly (anyone above the age of 65) and other people in high risk groups to mask up 😷 and to socially distance.

Most of us older ones did that.

The last thing most of wanted is what has happened to our younger relatives, friends and people we don’t know.

[Grampa Dave]

Geez, you are still alive and with only one head after your vaccination?

This might be of interest to you. Happy New Year!

American interest wanes in getting COVID-19 vaccine. Why?

Americans may be realizing that the daily Covid Fear Porn is not happening where they live:

The latest evidence for this appears this week in the Journal of the American Medical Association, and it shows that skepticism toward the vaccines is on the rise among Americans of all stripes.

Regardless of age, race or sex, U.S. adults were significantly less likely to say they’d get vaccinated in late November and early December than they were in early April.

Unlike other surveys that measured Americans’ sentiments about COVID-19 vaccines at a single point in time, this one has tracked changes in the same group of more than 8,000 people since the early days of the pandemic.

Clinical trials suggest the vaccines from Pfizer, BioNTech, Moderna are safe and highly effective. But that good news couldn’t stem a nearly 18 percentage-point drop in Americans’ willingness to be vaccinated, the authors of the JAMA report said.

Excerpted:

https://theindependent.com/news/national/american-interest-wanes-in-getting-covid-19-vaccine-why/article_7cd917c8-ae34-5af4-b813-67198c827478.html?mode=comments

[EBH]

yeah but....

Cleveland Clinic shutdown outpatient stuff for a few weeks.

And I know Southwest General in Middleburg closed their ER for a day or two just to catch a breathing rest for staff.

[jmacusa]

Things are starting to ebb down ward here in southern NJ. In Ocean County where I live and work there is a very large senior citizen population and those folks make up about 99% of all the Covid cases.

We’re still getting them but things seem to be calming down a bit.

[xrmusn]

Ought to introduce them here.

When people get tired enough of looking like complete idiots MAYBE then they will stand up and say WTF....

(Don’t see any masks either)...
I still like the hula hoop approach, much more cumbersome and no way of ‘avoiding’ one another, like I said, door and aisles can be adjusted, starting a whole new ‘cottage industry’...

Sorry if I am sounding too ‘cavalier’ here but in 1957 while a member of the USN, we set sail for Asia in the middle of the Asian Flu World Pandemic...no panic, no masks, no chicken little just the WORLD going about its business as usual with a little glitch.