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Yes, Virginia and Colorado are in play for Trump
October 29, 2020 | bort

Posted on 10/29/2020 11:10:03 AM PDT by bort

I just posted shocking numbers out of North Carolina that show that white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are way over-performing in early voting. http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3899468/posts

Now check this out from Colorado and Virginia:

Colorado--

In 2016, per exit polls conducted by CNN, white voters cast 78% of all votes in Colorado. Breaking this 78% white vote down: whites with a college degree cast 45% of the total votes in 2016, while non-college whites cast 33% of Colorado votes.

In 2020, as of today, whites have cast 87%(!) of all the early votes. And this 87% broken down by education: 39% of white early voters have a college degree, while 48% are non-college educated.

In sum, in Colorado, the white share of the early vote electorate is currently 9 points higher than in 2016, and non-college educated whites went from being 8 points behind in voting in 2016 to 9 points ahead in 2020 early voting.

Virginia

In 2016, per CNN exit polling, 67% of all voters in VA were white. Broken down by education, college-educated whites were 38% of the VA electorate, while non-college whites were 29%.

In 2020, currently 78%(!) of the early vote electorate is white: 35.6% college-educated whites, 42.5%(!) non-college whites. Let that sink in: white, working-class voters are up from 29% in 2016 to 42.5% of the VA early vote electorate as it stands today.

In sum, the white vote in VA is way up, the white working-class vote is way up, while the college-educated white vote is down. That is good news for Trump and down-ballot races in CO and VA.

Folks, the polls are not picking up this surge of white voters, and especially the surge of working-class white voters. Yes, VA and Colorado are in play.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: belongsinchat; colorado; notnews; vanity; virginia
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To: MrChips
Did I hear the Fayetteville rally was postponed because of weather? Too bad, if so. It was blustery this morning, but I live 45 minutes from there and the weather, now, is fine.

i lived in Fayetteville 2013-2014... 5 kinds of weather in one day every day!!!

61 posted on 10/29/2020 1:39:12 PM PDT by latina4dubya (when i have money i buy books... if i have anything left i buy 6-inch heels and a bottle of wine...)
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To: Whatever Works

Yea, it’s Trump’s fault! He did move out the dept of the interior.


62 posted on 10/29/2020 1:42:03 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: calenel

Good luck. I would think twice about going to med school in today’s climate but i hope your studies go well!


63 posted on 10/29/2020 1:42:48 PM PDT by Mom MD
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To: Mom MD

I’m aimed at med school *because* of today’s climate.


64 posted on 10/29/2020 1:54:36 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: Mom MD

And thanks!


65 posted on 10/29/2020 1:54:57 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: latina4dubya

But you are needlessly tormenting yourself. No one will know the outcome until the votes are counted.

What these threads do is extrapolate the current numbers based on history. It won’t bring you the surety that you seem to be wanting.

Based on the numbers, Trump (based on 2016) has turned the corner and is set up for victory.

So take comfort from the numbers.


66 posted on 10/29/2020 1:58:29 PM PDT by carton253 (Jesus is everything.)
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To: bort

“In 2020, as of today, whites have cast 87%(!) of all the early votes.”

How is that known? Nobody is standing near the boxes writing down the race of voters as they drop off their ballots.

Are they checking the envelopes for “honkey” cooties?


67 posted on 10/29/2020 2:05:16 PM PDT by dsc (Do not pray for easy lives; pray to be stronger men.)
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To: golux

“It is beyond anything I have ever seen.”

Have you read Saint Faustina’s description of Hell?


68 posted on 10/29/2020 2:07:04 PM PDT by dsc (Do not pray for easy lives; pray to be stronger men.)
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To: dsc

Some southern states are court ordered to record race on voter registrations.


69 posted on 10/29/2020 2:08:56 PM PDT by jjotto (Blessed are You LORD, who crushes enemies and subdues the wicked.)
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To: jjotto

“Some southern states are court ordered to record race on voter registrations.”

Great googly moogly.


70 posted on 10/29/2020 2:13:24 PM PDT by dsc (Do not pray for easy lives; pray to be stronger men.)
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To: jjotto

“Some southern states are court ordered to record race on voter registrations.”

But wait a minute. Colorado is not a Southern state. And I don’t remember putting down my race...


71 posted on 10/29/2020 2:15:30 PM PDT by dsc (Do not pray for easy lives; pray to be stronger men.)
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To: dsc

I ran a congressional campaign. Voter files from the state have this information. So do commercially available voter files.


72 posted on 10/29/2020 2:19:26 PM PDT by bort
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To: dsc

Interesting.

Maybe they’re the same people doing opinion polls...


73 posted on 10/29/2020 2:20:12 PM PDT by jjotto (Blessed are You LORD, who crushes enemies and subdues the wicked.)
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To: bort

“Voter files from the state have this information.”

What state?


74 posted on 10/29/2020 2:24:05 PM PDT by dsc (Do not pray for easy lives; pray to be stronger men.)
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To: Mrs.Liberty

I will not be surprised if CA turns RED.


75 posted on 10/29/2020 2:24:10 PM PDT by Cool Guy
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To: bort

I wonder if they mean “non-Hispanic whites.” Colorado is 87% white when Hispanic is not treated as a separate category.


76 posted on 10/29/2020 2:34:04 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: dsc

Go to TargetSmart website on early voting. They have all the data you need. Campaigns have access to all kinds of voter information, including race, sex, and race.


77 posted on 10/29/2020 2:34:41 PM PDT by bort
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To: Man from Oz

ping- got it,thank you much


78 posted on 10/29/2020 2:53:01 PM PDT by CarolinaReaganFan
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To: carton253
But you are needlessly tormenting yourself. No one will know the outcome until the votes are counted.

you should see me when my favorite teams make the playoffs!

79 posted on 10/29/2020 3:00:13 PM PDT by latina4dubya (when i have money i buy books... if i have anything left i buy 6-inch heels and a bottle of wine...)
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To: CarolinaReaganFan; Man from Oz

What Man from Oz describes as a ping I would describe as a bookmark (going back to read later). I use “ping” as a shout out to others that I think might like to read a thread, and I have nothing else to say except “Hey, over here!”


80 posted on 10/29/2020 3:28:52 PM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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