Posted on 10/29/2020 11:10:03 AM PDT by bort
I just posted shocking numbers out of North Carolina that show that white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are way over-performing in early voting. http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3899468/posts
Now check this out from Colorado and Virginia:
Colorado--
In 2016, per exit polls conducted by CNN, white voters cast 78% of all votes in Colorado. Breaking this 78% white vote down: whites with a college degree cast 45% of the total votes in 2016, while non-college whites cast 33% of Colorado votes.
In 2020, as of today, whites have cast 87%(!) of all the early votes. And this 87% broken down by education: 39% of white early voters have a college degree, while 48% are non-college educated.
In sum, in Colorado, the white share of the early vote electorate is currently 9 points higher than in 2016, and non-college educated whites went from being 8 points behind in voting in 2016 to 9 points ahead in 2020 early voting.
Virginia
In 2016, per CNN exit polling, 67% of all voters in VA were white. Broken down by education, college-educated whites were 38% of the VA electorate, while non-college whites were 29%.
In 2020, currently 78%(!) of the early vote electorate is white: 35.6% college-educated whites, 42.5%(!) non-college whites. Let that sink in: white, working-class voters are up from 29% in 2016 to 42.5% of the VA early vote electorate as it stands today.
In sum, the white vote in VA is way up, the white working-class vote is way up, while the college-educated white vote is down. That is good news for Trump and down-ballot races in CO and VA.
Folks, the polls are not picking up this surge of white voters, and especially the surge of working-class white voters. Yes, VA and Colorado are in play.
i lived in Fayetteville 2013-2014... 5 kinds of weather in one day every day!!!
Yea, it’s Trump’s fault! He did move out the dept of the interior.
Good luck. I would think twice about going to med school in today’s climate but i hope your studies go well!
I’m aimed at med school *because* of today’s climate.
And thanks!
But you are needlessly tormenting yourself. No one will know the outcome until the votes are counted.
What these threads do is extrapolate the current numbers based on history. It won’t bring you the surety that you seem to be wanting.
Based on the numbers, Trump (based on 2016) has turned the corner and is set up for victory.
So take comfort from the numbers.
“In 2020, as of today, whites have cast 87%(!) of all the early votes.”
How is that known? Nobody is standing near the boxes writing down the race of voters as they drop off their ballots.
Are they checking the envelopes for “honkey” cooties?
“It is beyond anything I have ever seen.”
Have you read Saint Faustina’s description of Hell?
Some southern states are court ordered to record race on voter registrations.
“Some southern states are court ordered to record race on voter registrations.”
Great googly moogly.
“Some southern states are court ordered to record race on voter registrations.”
But wait a minute. Colorado is not a Southern state. And I don’t remember putting down my race...
I ran a congressional campaign. Voter files from the state have this information. So do commercially available voter files.
Interesting.
Maybe they’re the same people doing opinion polls...
“Voter files from the state have this information.”
What state?
I will not be surprised if CA turns RED.
I wonder if they mean “non-Hispanic whites.” Colorado is 87% white when Hispanic is not treated as a separate category.
Go to TargetSmart website on early voting. They have all the data you need. Campaigns have access to all kinds of voter information, including race, sex, and race.
ping- got it,thank you much
you should see me when my favorite teams make the playoffs!
What Man from Oz describes as a ping I would describe as a bookmark (going back to read later). I use “ping” as a shout out to others that I think might like to read a thread, and I have nothing else to say except “Hey, over here!”
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.