Posted on 10/29/2020 11:10:03 AM PDT by bort
I just posted shocking numbers out of North Carolina that show that white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are way over-performing in early voting. http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3899468/posts
Now check this out from Colorado and Virginia:
Colorado--
In 2016, per exit polls conducted by CNN, white voters cast 78% of all votes in Colorado. Breaking this 78% white vote down: whites with a college degree cast 45% of the total votes in 2016, while non-college whites cast 33% of Colorado votes.
In 2020, as of today, whites have cast 87%(!) of all the early votes. And this 87% broken down by education: 39% of white early voters have a college degree, while 48% are non-college educated.
In sum, in Colorado, the white share of the early vote electorate is currently 9 points higher than in 2016, and non-college educated whites went from being 8 points behind in voting in 2016 to 9 points ahead in 2020 early voting.
Virginia
In 2016, per CNN exit polling, 67% of all voters in VA were white. Broken down by education, college-educated whites were 38% of the VA electorate, while non-college whites were 29%.
In 2020, currently 78%(!) of the early vote electorate is white: 35.6% college-educated whites, 42.5%(!) non-college whites. Let that sink in: white, working-class voters are up from 29% in 2016 to 42.5% of the VA early vote electorate as it stands today.
In sum, the white vote in VA is way up, the white working-class vote is way up, while the college-educated white vote is down. That is good news for Trump and down-ballot races in CO and VA.
Folks, the polls are not picking up this surge of white voters, and especially the surge of working-class white voters. Yes, VA and Colorado are in play.
Please use the correct terminology. It’s not “college educated” it’s “college indoctrinated”.
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Word.
Good point.
I don’t think so Tim.
Nevada might be close, also.
“...but I know the left is fueled by hatred. It is beyond anything I have ever seen. So sad.”
It is sad but you know fear is what fuels the hatred from the Left.
This is somewhat data driven opinion with a healthy dose of wishful thinking. Trump and his team know more than anyone what the legitimate numbers look like and they are piling on everywhere they can in order to have an election night lead that is ridiculously insurmountable. Dems and networks forced to concede and if they don’t he’ll declare victory anyway.
A less optimistic view is that we know Dems plan to cheat before during and after Nov 3 and we must buffer the Trump lead.
The silent majority is hopefully now “silent but deadly”.
Thanks for this post
No, not in Virginia.
Those whites are immigrants (Latinos, south Asians, Middle East Muslims) quite a few of them illegals, who are solidly democrat.
Their huge numbers in northern Virginia overwhelm the rest of the commonwealth votes.
bookmark
Saw an ad last night here in Southern California (San Diego county). No hope for DJT win in California, but will help Issa get over the line.
Those jobs should’ve been eliminated under a Republican House and Senate starting in 2016.
However, they were too busy kissing Bob Mueller’s ass, to give a crap about defunding the public sector.
Trump could’ve vetoed the budget, but people like Collins and Murkowski would’ve voted to overide.
We need a Congress that is willing to cut spending.
Black turnout is the key to VA. It will be stunningly low—we know this based on early voting.
I think it is more likely that the President wins VA than CO.
Some anecdotal evidence from the deep blue NOVA ‘burbs. Many signs for the Republican House and Senate candidates. You will never see a Trump sign but the Gade and Managa signs are everywhere.
I have not seen anything like this in 30 years of living here.
There up in Virginia until fairfax county spoils the party
I want to thank you for representing our cause in the face of such hostility.
I just posted shocking numbers out of North Carolina that show that white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are way over-performing in early voting.
why is it safe to assume that this means votes for Trump and not Biden? Trump is in Fayetteville, NC today... Doesn’t that mean it’s too close in NC? i keep coming here to look for rays of light, but i am not seeing it as clearly as i hope to—by now—4 days before the election...
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Trump won working-class white voters big time in 2016. They are his BASE. They are coming out in HUGE numbers in 2020. That is great news.
NC has a contested Senate race, contested House races, a contested Gov. race. Redistricting map will be drawn by the next Gov., which could impact 3 or 4 congressional seats in NC, Lindsey Graham is right across the border. This is the kill-shot, and Trump will lift up down-ballot candidates. Lots of reasons to come to NC.
I feel stupid for asking, buy why do people “ping” a post?
Ft Bragg and 45 minutes later the Fayetteville Airport!
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