Posted on 10/29/2020 6:37:02 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
After 2016, it’s hard to have a lot of faith in the polls, so the question is, how do we assess the state of the race? In 2016, most state polls were as bad as national polls, and cherrypicking specific polls isn’t a great option either, as it lends itself to confirmation bias.
So, in many ways, the best thing we can use to judge the state of the race is to analyze early-voting statistics. According to Gallup 62 percent of Democrat and 28 percent of Republican voters plan to vote early this year when they otherwise have been only within a few points of each other. So, what can we say about the state of the election based on early voting statistics?
Writing at UncoveredDC, bestselling author Larry Schweikart looked at some early voting numbers.
Schweikart noted that despite the Democrats’ early lead in early voting, both in vote-by-mail (VBM) and in-person early voting (IPEV), they peaked around October 16 and Republicans have been catching up—big time. In Florida, for example, GOP votes are “on a pace to be well ahead of 2016, when Hillary Clinton entered election day with an 88,000 lead in the Sunshine State.”
Things are also looking good in North Carolina. According to Schweikart, “While Democrats lead by 301,000 (and this is also falling rapidly), the black vote currently is at 20% of all turnout, behind the black share of all 2016 turnout of 21.89%—itself a drop off from 2012. When Barack Obama won the state in 2012, the share of the black vote was 23%, but he won by only one point.” Polls have also suggested that Trump has increased his support from the black community since 2016.
Schweikart also sees good news for Trump in Virginia
(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...
What’s really interesting is what news is coming out of Virginia.
This is all ADULT content - there are no minors or anything on the video ... GTV - which is like YouTube for China...
There are more posted on the side... his face is not distorted - others are - plus the private area of Mr. Rock Star is blurred out ... but he is smoking crack!
Chinese Patriots who hate the Communist Chinese Party.
SCOTUS has permitted the Pennsylvania “voters” an additional 3 days after election day to mail in ballots without postmarks.
The fix is in.
Based upon the SCOTUS ruling, the penchant for Democrat voter fraud, and the polls, Biden will take Pennsylvania.
“Based upon the SCOTUS ruling, the penchant for Democrat voter fraud, and the polls, Biden will take Pennsylvania.”
And nobody will say anything. I hate republicans.
There is going to be a whole lot of Democrats crying on Election Day.
Lots of laughter for Republicans.
I just entered “Bobulinski” into my Windows MSN news app. Among the top 20+ results there’s one from Yahoo, which is a National Review article, a couple from NY Post, FoxNews and WSJ. The only commie network to show is Newsweek which is pimping a ridiculous story that “Tony Bobulinksi’s Tucker Carlson Interview Has QAnon Supporters Thinking He’s Conspiracy’s Leader”
Unreal.
They are trying to get the fix in, but the President is going to win PA by such a large amount that his vote count will exceed the proposed fraud.
Once the fraudsters realize the President has an easy victory in the state, they will just hide away the phony ballots and wait for a better opportunity another time.
Even criminals do risk/reward analysis.
With that ruling, if the Dems don’t take Pennsylvania, I would be disappointed in today’s Dem party.
I believe they thought they had it in the bag in 2016 so much they took a breather.
That is why the media is trying to flood the world with bad news about COVID. They hope to scare all of us ‘old folks’ from voting at the polling booth.
I think they said they had to be postmarked. I will have to check.
If it’s clear the President won the election with or without Penn then I can see them “Standing Down”, but if the election hinges on Penn then they will manufacture whatever they need no matter how ridiculous. Who is going to challenge them, the Republicans? Media?
All Their Elections Belong To Us!
Actually, I agree—but we are looking at an electoral landslide this time, and it will be obvious to the insiders early in the night (though they may lie about it for hours).
The state to watch early is NH. If the President flips it (from 2016) then it is game, set, match.
The place to find out first on election night is here, btw:
https://www.decisionusaonline.com/
This is why the Dimms are so desperate to extend the count to as many days after the election as they can. They need to know how many votes they have to stuff to win. Shameful.
No postmark is required. That is why the decision plays well into the Democrat skullduggery.
Never underestimate voter fraud in Pennsylvania.
It is truly treasonous.
Not if the win is big enough. And the SC has said it will revisit the issue of late ballots after the election. So, no, the fix isn’t in.
It will go to the SC which we now control. But it isn’t going to come down to one State nor will PA be close enough to steal.
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