Posted on 09/22/2020 8:40:40 AM PDT by chiller
Trafalgar Group, a Georgia-based polling firm known for its ability to correctly sample hard-to-reach, conservative Trump voters, shows President Trump with leads in the key battleground states of North Carolina, Florida and Michigan.
During the 2016 presidential race — widely predicted wrong by the mainstream polling establishment —the Trafalgar Group was the only pollster within the RealClearPolitics polling aggregator to show candidate Donald Trump defeating rival Hillary Clinton in Michigan. Their polls in 2016 also showed Donald Trump winning Pennsylvania — again, they were nearly alone in projecting Trump's narrow victory there — and thus taking the White House.
"Cahaly's success continued in 2018, most conspicuously in Florida," Bevan wrote. "He was one of the few pollsters whose data showed Ron DeSantis beating Andrew Gillum in the Florida gubernatorial race and Rick Scott besting incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson in the Senate race. Cahaly's firm, the Trafalgar Group, has emerged from the last two political cycles as one of the most accurate polling operations in America."
Cahaly last week posted a North Carolina poll showing Trump with a slight lead over Biden, though most other pollsters in the RCP average had Biden ahead:
(Excerpt) Read more at justthenews.com ...
Dems tend to live in the nation that is their Twitter feed. This is why they’re always shocked when reality barges in and rattles their safe space.
Ballot harvesting is the issue.
Bookmark
They really should watch FOX in the evenings to understand America.
Mail in ballot registrations have the party affiliation on the outside so they can destroy the ones from republican areas, and create enough in dhimmicrats areas. If the vote totals for Trump are off the charts unprecedented, are we supposed to believe there was unprecedented totals for Biden when the enthusiasm gaps are chasms. There is energy and excitement everywhere for Trump and crickets for Biden
it certainly is, and will be made illegal with a new congress, nationwide , I predict.
IBD/Tipp has decided to join the dark side this season
That would be good.
Hoping there’s enough conservative ground action before then to prevent the “count until the Rats win” e.g., Al Franken
With this far out to go before the election, Trafalgar with their accurate polling in the 2016 presidential election as well as the 2018 midterm congressional elections have earned their credibility. With that, no other polling firm should even be considered as valid for 2020.
.@NateSilver538 I’ll take that bet. I’ll wager $10k to the COVID-19 relief charity of the winner’s choice that @trafalgar_grou
Long John Silver is a Democratic Party hack and propagandist.
“MORE SHY voters than ‘16“
You got that right. In many cities speaking out in favor of Trump can result in loss of friends and family, loss of employment, and physical violence.
I speak out all the time but I have a mean face, 6 foot tall and 240 lbs (should be only 210 lbs but oh well) so I am fairly safe from random one-on-one violence.
Any agency which does such marking should be sued. There is ZERO need to have such marking on the outside.
I don’t see how these pollsters even reach people. We get so many robo calls, we rarely answer the phone. We let the answering machine get it. If a recording or the caller ID indicates it’s a poll, I’m not interested.
Not everyone shuns the pollsters, like you. I recognize a couple of caller ID’s and answer and give them truthful preferences.
I want pollsters to know I’m supporting Trump. On the other hand, I’ll be quite pleased shy voters give DjT a huge election night drubbing...so overwhelming that post election vote counting won’t make a damn difference.
Did they mention the other battleground States in their article?
past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Definition of give (someone) a drubbing
: to beat (another team or person) easily The other team gave us a drubbing.
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