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If you don't want to read it on Facebook, it's posted on a site called Medium.com

It's a long, but very rational analysis arguing for serious "social distancing" to slow the spread of the corona virus to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed with serious life threatening corona virus cases.

1 posted on 03/17/2020 10:42:50 AM PDT by Perseverando
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To: Perseverando

Defective math. This is what happens when one takes great liberties in assuming variables that are not assumable while ignoring numbers that ARE available - then reading in assumptions.


2 posted on 03/17/2020 10:47:53 AM PDT by TheBattman (Democrats-Progressives-Marxists-Socialists - redundant labels.)
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To: Perseverando

And this assumes everything is in bubble. No factors for new cures (which will slow the spread by healing quicker), social distancing, vaccines that will be in production soon (a lot sooner then 18 months), heat of summer, etc...


3 posted on 03/17/2020 10:49:07 AM PDT by BushCountry (thinks he needs a gal whose name doesn't end in ".jpg")
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To: Perseverando
I am all for social distancing.

I do not care much for most people in the first place and would rather be around my dogs.

4 posted on 03/17/2020 10:49:26 AM PDT by eartick (Stupidity is expecting the government that broke itself to go out and fix itself. Texan for TEXIT!)
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To: Perseverando

I’m not good at math - did that person factor in the fact that they think that 86% of people don’t even know they have it? Haven’t been tested so haven’t been counted? if that is true- it’s likely i think to lower the death rate?


5 posted on 03/17/2020 10:49:46 AM PDT by Bob434
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To: Perseverando

This is the same argument that Cuomo made on national t.v. this morning followed by POTUS and his whole team making the very same points. 15 days of.stay the F home. The but flu bros will be here shortly to poo poo any mathematical sense or logic because IT’S JUST FLU /S people will not social distance until forced to by local law enforcement or the national guard and if people keep it up martial law will be declared and the Army and Marines will enforce marital quarantine. Better to nip this now while we have hospital capacity than later when we have troops and.K rails in the highways like Italy.


6 posted on 03/17/2020 10:51:05 AM PDT by JD_UTDallas ("Veni Vidi Vici")
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To: Perseverando

You might want to apply the proverbial grain of salt.
The link to this article has been shared many times in the last few days on FR and I felt obliged to check into the bone fide of Medium.com.
Medium was started by the cofounder of Twitter, Ev Williams, who gave 800K to the left in the last election, mostly to Hillary. I wouldn’t discount some well sugared spin.


7 posted on 03/17/2020 10:51:27 AM PDT by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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To: Perseverando

Scramble the order of the letters a little bit in “pandemic” and it becomes “Dem panic”.

A good deal of the business of running about with hair on fire is the result of poor reasoning skills and an overload of emotional freight. Cooler heads prevail, and the doomsday scenario becomes a little less so. We CAN take steps to protect ourselves, meanwhile, the entire medical profession and the pharmaceutical firms have just a little more time to come up with a long-tern fix.


9 posted on 03/17/2020 10:55:11 AM PDT by alloysteel (Freedom is not a matter of life and death. It is much more serious than that..)
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To: Perseverando

Assumptions: if a kitten can breathe at sea level and at a thousand feet and pretty good at ten thousand feet then it should do okay at 100,000 feet. Scientific extrapolation.


10 posted on 03/17/2020 10:55:30 AM PDT by SkyDancer ( ~ Just Consider Me A Random Fact Generator ~ Eat Sleep Fly Repeat ~)
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To: Perseverando

It’s all bull sh!t. Move along.


13 posted on 03/17/2020 10:59:14 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn....)
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To: Perseverando
The latest is that common areas (counters, tables, etc) can support the virus for 5 days. Touching these items spread the virus. This is why they are closing areas a lot of people visit. Schools, restaurants, bars, etc.

Practice social distancing and do not touch anything!

15 posted on 03/17/2020 11:01:25 AM PDT by Lockbox
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To: Perseverando

Charlatan alert.

Click bait charlatan art bell stuff.

They always start by talking about themselves.


16 posted on 03/17/2020 11:01:53 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: Perseverando

This report was released to the British Gov’t yesterday and so believe to our CDC as well.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf


17 posted on 03/17/2020 11:02:30 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: Perseverando

Doubling every 4 days is the worst I have seen. Doubling every three days is off.


18 posted on 03/17/2020 11:02:41 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Perseverando

I posted a link to medium yesterday and someone promptly said this information was “debunked”. That terminology raised my hackles


20 posted on 03/17/2020 11:04:10 AM PDT by griswold3 (Democratic Socialism is Slavery by Mob Rule)
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To: Perseverando

Ya want ‘social distancing’? How about a new law requiring EVERYONE to eat at least one bulb of raw garlic each morning, allows only monthly showers and no deoderant allowed!

OK, so that pretty much covers all the Jihsdis.


21 posted on 03/17/2020 11:06:40 AM PDT by A Formerly Proud Canadian (0 once was blind but now I see...)
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To: Perseverando
For those of you not taking action, or believing the pandemic to be “over hyped”, you can make fun of me as much as you want now or when this is over. You can make me the subject of memes and post it everywhere. I will pose for the picture. I am not trying to convince you, but I do feel compelled to share information that I deem critical to all of us, which is why I am posting this at all.

That's all you need to read. A sanctimonious a$$hole who is going to declare himself right no matter what happens.

"Disagree with me at your own peril."

25 posted on 03/17/2020 11:07:48 AM PDT by FirstFlaBn
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To: Perseverando

Nine “I”s in the first paragraph


29 posted on 03/17/2020 11:09:23 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: Perseverando

More of a “Me and Mine are mindlessly panicked so regular precautions can’t no way work for us so we need to get totally off the grid or....WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!” type thing.

He assumes much with no evidence - just assumptions/presumptions/modelling based on models where the disparity in different data being fed to the models varies by up to 300% and makes assumptions based on others who weren’t exercising a lot of the precautions until it was too late.


34 posted on 03/17/2020 11:13:22 AM PDT by trebb (Don't howl about illegal leeches, or Trump in general, while not donating to FR - it's hypocritical.)
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To: Perseverando

Thanks for posting this.


36 posted on 03/17/2020 11:14:13 AM PDT by Prolixus (In all seriousness:)
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To: Perseverando
I am taking my own precautions, lots of vitamin C and measured D3. Several prominent medical professors and doctors have said on air that we should social distance, stay home and get plenty of sunshine ortake vitamin D and C. I have known for 15 years that D and sun are proof against seasonal flu and colds. I have not had one in that 15 years. Incidentally I have discovered in the process that sun/D3 are effective medication for depression and manic depression, far superior to Xanax.
43 posted on 03/17/2020 11:19:20 AM PDT by arthurus ( covfefev bier)
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