Posted on 08/29/2019 8:20:02 AM PDT by rktman
(QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY) -- If the 2020 presidential election were held today, 54 percent of registered voters say that they would vote for former Vice President Joe Biden, while only 38 percent would vote for President Trump. Matchups against other top Democrats show:
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders topping Trump 53 - 39 percent;Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren ahead of Trump 52 - 40 percent;California Sen. Kamala Harris beating Trump 51 - 40 percent;South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg leading with 49 percent to Trump's 40 percent.
Looking at all of the matchups, President Trump is stuck between 38 and 40 percent of the vote. These low numbers may partly be explained by a lack of support among white women, a key voting bloc that voted for Trump in the 2016 election. Today, white women go for the Democratic candidate by double digits in every scenario. Though it is a long 14 months until Election Day, Trump's vulnerability among this important voting group does not bode well for him.
(Excerpt) Read more at wnd.com ...
How is 648 out of 1422 registered voters only 34%?
Uh, 99%+ actually—honest:
This is the typical pre-election “polling” that shows the Republican can’t win. If not enough Republicans are discouraged, the polls “tighten.” Only in the end to the polls show the race as even.
This is just leftist political theater.
Socialists
National polls are worthless due to the electoral college, the polls have to be done state by state.
Has someone alerted “President” Hillary Clinton about this?
Oops! I guess they did tell her back in 2016 that Trump was going to lose.
HaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHa!
Can’t stop laughing.
As badly as Hillary?
The don’t want the registered voters to actually vote. They would rather vote for them.
All poll threads should be forbidden until after the election.
Internals show Trump losing among white voters toBiden Sanders anD others. FRAUD POLL
Yes, yes (rolling eyes)....
There is no path to victory for ANY Dem, short of a complete economic meltdown or some other black swan event before next November.
Same old play book... keep repeating lies hoping they will become reality.
Here’s the reality folks... just 4 first term elected presidents have not been re-elected that ran for re-election in the last 120 years, and of those 4, 3 were voted out PURELY on economics.
There is ZERO path to the white house for ANY Democrat.
Trump is on target to win re-election by the biggest margin since 1984, PERIOD.
No it won’t be 49-1 like 1984 of 1972, but 2020 is lining up to be a repeat of 1972, with a 1984 economy at his back.... Democrats have gone off the deep end. There is ZERO path for them to victory.
Absolute high water mark for D’s is about 15 states or so plus DC.... Depending on WHO the nominee actually is, they could end up not even getting 10 stats plus DC.
Trump will win every state he took in 16.
Trump will get most, if not all states where he got 45% of the vote or higher, but lost.
Trump will take the battle to states where he got 40% or more, and don’t be surprised if he picks off one or two of those as well.
There is ZERO path for the Dems and the smart ones know it.
The D’s candidates objective is purely to keep the base engaged enough so that their white house drubbing doesn’t turn into a full scale route up and down the ballot.
The only question I have at this point is how many seats will the GOP pick up in the Senate and House.... The real question in my mind is, can the GOP retake the house in 2020... and I would submit to you, that if they GOP doesn’t shoot itself in the foot, (which sadly the establishment GOP is very adept at doing) Trump very well may get at least 2 years with the congress completely in GOP control.
Oh no. I’m completely demoralized. Whatever shall I do. I guess I will give up watching any other news until 2020 and I will not vote for anyone. Because these polls have such a reliable track record looking forward. I guess the tide has turned, and all of America is completely against president Trump.
Is this really how dumb these fake news composers think we are? Have they learned no lessons from 2016? Are they writing these stories for the recently born?
Hillary beat him too. How did that work out?
Sounds like a DC multiverse kinda poll.
All poll threads should be forbidden until after the election.
______________
Forbidden at least until 2 to 3 wks before the election.
That’s the time frame when some pollsters actually try to get it right. Before then, it’s all lies and nonsense.
Remember when polls were used to measure public opinion rather than influence it? Long time ago now.
You are on target with your lengthy analysis.
Here it is in more simple terms.
Look at each state’s election returns from 2016 and add 7.5 to 10% for Trump.
That’s worst case scenario.
From the article they conduct surveys in more than a dozen states. I wonder which ones they chose beside CA and NY.
This is QUINNIPIAC - so all the data they include in making their determinations is a little questionable.
They don’t lie, maybe, but they are clever at adapting their questions for a certain outcome and by carefully choosing their sampling demographics.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.