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How Roy Moore Could Actually Win Alabama’s Republican Senate Primary
FiveThirtyEight ^ | Live Blog: Women’s World Cup Jun. 20, 2019 | Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 06/24/2019 10:19:09 AM PDT by Texan4Life

A large primary field may fragment the vote, making it unlikely that a candidate could win a majority and avoid a runoff and making it easier for Moore to advance to a runoff with only the support of his base.

The point is that Moore does have a path — especially a path to a primary runoff if there’s a crowded GOP field. And if he does get there, he would be only one step away from a rematch with Jones.

Moore would still have a decent chance of winning a general election in conservative Alabama, and that is surely a big part of why he’s running again.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Alabama
KEYWORDS: alabama; marajadetroll; primary; republican; senate
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To: marajade
I notice that you never respond to the substance of my posts to you, you only pivot to your next point.

-PJ

201 posted on 06/24/2019 2:35:03 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)
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To: Texan4Life

Moore wouldn’t shake anything up, he will be a Senator, that is all. He needs to be defeated so we regain the Seat.


202 posted on 06/24/2019 2:39:42 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: marajade
Trump was for Strange last time...

A very poor decision on Trump's part.

203 posted on 06/24/2019 2:40:59 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (The Electoral College is the firewall protecting us from massive blue state vote fraud.)
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To: Fresh Wind

Moore lost too. So we’re just supposed to support him this time around again to lose?


204 posted on 06/24/2019 2:42:05 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade

Would Strange have won once the dirt on him came out?


205 posted on 06/24/2019 2:45:23 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (The Electoral College is the firewall protecting us from massive blue state vote fraud.)
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To: Fresh Wind

I don’t know anything about Strange other than he at least had won one state wide race before.

Moore had not accomplished that.


206 posted on 06/24/2019 2:46:17 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade
I don’t know anything about Strange...

Why not?

207 posted on 06/24/2019 2:49:06 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (The Electoral College is the firewall protecting us from massive blue state vote fraud.)
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To: Fresh Wind

Does it matter? Is Strange running this time? I haven’t heard he was.


208 posted on 06/24/2019 2:51:25 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: Nifster
Plus I’m pretty sure you don’t live in Alabama

Neither does Mitch "Cocaine" McConnell.

He just has a microphone and checkbook that is bigger than mine.

209 posted on 06/24/2019 2:53:38 PM PDT by ptsal
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To: Texan4Life
Anyone Republican, regardless of any shenanigans that occurred, that can't beat liberal like Doug Jones should have the sense not to run.

The objective is to end up with the most conservative candidate that is electable.

210 posted on 06/24/2019 3:03:07 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: DiogenesLamp

And how much damage can be done by leaving Jones in the senate. If he loves this country, if he wants to keep judges getting approved, he will not run. It’s a selfish act.


211 posted on 06/24/2019 3:05:25 PM PDT by McGavin999 (Border security without a wall is like having a Ring doorbell without a doorw)
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To: marajade

The entire reason that special election was moved up a year was because of the appointment of Strange by the corrupt ex-Governor in exchange for not moving forward in indicting him. When the Governor (Bentley) finally had to resign, the new Governor Ivey had to move the election ahead a year because the people were outraged at this corrupt appointment. Strange was a no-go from jump street and should not have even run in the special election. I’m baffled as to why Trump was not apprised of this situation.


212 posted on 06/24/2019 3:05:43 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

I thought Ivey had a choice not to have it.


213 posted on 06/24/2019 3:06:46 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: faucetman

I don’t care if Moore can win. I want someone that WILL win.


214 posted on 06/24/2019 3:08:37 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: fortheDeclaration

The hysterical reactions to his candidacy proves otherwise.


215 posted on 06/24/2019 3:08:53 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: DoughtyOne
Moore came within a very thin margin of winning last time.

Any conservative that wasn't inept would have beaten in liberal in Alabama but double digits.

Moore is as bad a candidate as Hillary Clinton.

216 posted on 06/24/2019 3:10:39 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: DiogenesLamp

LOL

You would back a dumb@ss like Akin.


217 posted on 06/24/2019 3:11:03 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: marajade

Um, you do know that Roy Moore had to run statewide for Chief Justice ? He did so twice and won both times. Luther Strange had also run statewide three times. He lost for Lt Governor in 2006 (hence making him a “loser”) before he won Atty General in 2010 and 2014. Strange was also something Moore was not, and that was corrupt.


218 posted on 06/24/2019 3:11:49 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Chief Justice is political appointment.


219 posted on 06/24/2019 3:12:54 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade

That you don’t know who Strange is matters enormously. Why do you think the AL GOP voters so easily nominated Roy Moore over a Presidentially-endorsed Strange ? If you don’t know that story, you’re not going to be in a position to make informed comments on this subject.


220 posted on 06/24/2019 3:13:57 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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