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How Roy Moore Could Actually Win Alabama’s Republican Senate Primary
FiveThirtyEight ^ | Live Blog: Women’s World Cup Jun. 20, 2019 | Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 06/24/2019 10:19:09 AM PDT by Texan4Life

A large primary field may fragment the vote, making it unlikely that a candidate could win a majority and avoid a runoff and making it easier for Moore to advance to a runoff with only the support of his base.

The point is that Moore does have a path — especially a path to a primary runoff if there’s a crowded GOP field. And if he does get there, he would be only one step away from a rematch with Jones.

Moore would still have a decent chance of winning a general election in conservative Alabama, and that is surely a big part of why he’s running again.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Alabama
KEYWORDS: alabama; marajadetroll; primary; republican; senate
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To: marajade

Moore can’t win.


True. No Senate candidate can win with their own party actively campaigning against them. Fortunately, we are not far away from our primary candidates being selected inside the beltway for us by the GOPe and we won’t have to worry about these little details called primaries.


181 posted on 06/24/2019 2:05:17 PM PDT by lodi90
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To: marajade

We aren’t talking AZ but rather AL. Do you think the President
will not support who the people nominate for the next six year term
to serve as US Senator?


182 posted on 06/24/2019 2:05:32 PM PDT by deport
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To: deport

I reiterate: Why would Trump some out in support of Moore when he has already come out against him in the primary?


183 posted on 06/24/2019 2:07:12 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade

For having what in his background ?


184 posted on 06/24/2019 2:10:25 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: DiogenesLamp
Of course I am told Alabama is a crossover state, so Democrats might vote for some other Republican Presidential candidate, but I doubt that would work.

If Alabama is a crossover state, you will get a lot of Republicans who will vote in the Democrat primary next year. Trump will not have any serious primary opponents so his nomination will be a foregone conclusion. Meanwhile, there will be a dozen or so democrats running on the democrat primary and it will be very tempting to cross-over and vote for biggest loser remaining among the democrats.

185 posted on 06/24/2019 2:11:19 PM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (The Obamanation has ended!)
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To: dfwgator

Sen. Jones is a moonbat. He benefitted from fraud and a fix. Whomever the GOP puts up will win.


186 posted on 06/24/2019 2:12:02 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: marajade

You have a nice day. We’ll see what happens as this unfolds.
For what it’s worth I don’t support Moore and never have.


187 posted on 06/24/2019 2:16:41 PM PDT by deport
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To: marajade

McSally was viewed as a flaky RINO McQueeg copycat. She lost Conservative votes.


188 posted on 06/24/2019 2:18:37 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Well I’m not convinced she’ll win against Kelly either even though Trump is on the ballot too.


189 posted on 06/24/2019 2:19:54 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

So did Moore. All they have in AL is conservative voters.


190 posted on 06/24/2019 2:20:30 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: deport

Trump was for Strange last time and the people in AL voted Moore instead.

Moore lost.


191 posted on 06/24/2019 2:23:31 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade

He’s filed 4 or 5 lawsuits against his accusers already and a suit against someone else for defamation though he dropped one suit.
I don’t know if the pending issues over the professors involved in the cyberattacks on his campaign may interfere in these suits.


192 posted on 06/24/2019 2:23:36 PM PDT by piasa (Attitude adjustments offered here free of charge.)
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To: piasa

Even the ones who have filed sworn affidavits? I doubt it.


193 posted on 06/24/2019 2:24:19 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade

That is concerning.


194 posted on 06/24/2019 2:26:26 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: marajade

No, Moore lost the squish vote and the RINOs made sure to deliver their votes to Jones and to suppress the vote overall. A disgusting spectacle.


195 posted on 06/24/2019 2:28:00 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: marajade
Trump was for Strange last time because he took McConnell's word for it because in 2017 he was trying to build support in the Senate.

It was probably some deal like "I'll support your Senate candidates if you speed up my judicial confirmations."

-PJ

196 posted on 06/24/2019 2:28:03 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)
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To: marajade

Trump erred grievously in backing the corrupt Strange.


197 posted on 06/24/2019 2:28:44 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: Political Junkie Too

Proof?


198 posted on 06/24/2019 2:29:10 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

How’s that? Moore lost.


199 posted on 06/24/2019 2:31:12 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade
What, that Trump backed McConnell's pick? That Trump's MO is that he makes deals?

-PJ

200 posted on 06/24/2019 2:33:19 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)
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