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Could Trump Pull A Brexit-Style Surprise In November?
Investor's Business Daily ^ | 10/17/2016 | John Merline

Posted on 10/17/2016 4:13:58 AM PDT by IBD editorial writer

Anyone who is certain that the presidential polls taken today are solid evidence of a Hillary Clinton victory over Donald Trump in November might want to take a look at what happened in the U.K.'s "Brexit" vote just a few months ago.

In the week before voters decided whether Britain should leave the European Union, all but two of nine polls showed the "remain" side winning. One gave the remain side a 10-point lead, 55% to 45%. Others had remain up anywhere from eight to two points. Even exit polls suggested that the U.K. would decide to stay in the EU.

Final tally: leave 52%, remain 48%.

The results left pollsters, and many others, scratching their heads. "Many are wondering how, in an age of unprecedented information and data, could the majority of polls predict a wrong outcome," is how CNBC put it.

You don't have to go across the Atlantic to find examples of pollsters getting election outcomes wildly wrong. During the Democratic primaries, pollsters were sure that Hillary Clinton would win in Michigan. The Real Clear Politics average of poll results had Clinton crushing Bernie Sanders by 21 points — 58% to 37%. The FiveThirtyEight blog gave Sanders less than a 1% chance of winning.

(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: brexit; clinton; hillary; polls; trump; trumplandslidecoming
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1 posted on 10/17/2016 4:13:59 AM PDT by IBD editorial writer
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To: IBD editorial writer
Count on it.

Monster Vote

2 posted on 10/17/2016 4:17:48 AM PDT by tomkat
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To: IBD editorial writer

Most of the polling is ALL wrong! D+8, D+9, D+16 with no Obama on the ticket! LOL


3 posted on 10/17/2016 4:18:08 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: IBD editorial writer

NJ (14) going trump for sure


4 posted on 10/17/2016 4:18:09 AM PDT by vooch
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To: IBD editorial writer

Was IBD exposed as a Clinton front? I’m sure it was a website with “I” in the acronym.


5 posted on 10/17/2016 4:21:03 AM PDT by Arthur McGowan (https://youtu.be/IYUYya6bPGw)
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To: IBD editorial writer

If the voting in the US was not rigged, Donald Trump would win in a landslide. However, George Soros owns the voting machines in 16 States. Those 16 states are all that Hillary needs to win the electoral vote. It is already a done deal.


6 posted on 10/17/2016 4:21:43 AM PDT by ImNotLying (The Constitution is an instrument for the people to restrain the government...Patrick Henry)
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To: IBD editorial writer

YUP


7 posted on 10/17/2016 4:27:10 AM PDT by KSCITYBOY
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To: IBD editorial writer

You see, from -2 to plus 4 is a solid evidence of a comfortable Clinton victory according to the echo chamber.

Pray America wakes


8 posted on 10/17/2016 4:29:06 AM PDT by bray (Because you would be in jail)
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To: IBD editorial writer
IIRC “Remain” was,even on the *day* of the vote,expected to win comfortably.It was the elites and the Scots who voted “Remain”.”Middle Britain” and the working class voted “Leave”.
9 posted on 10/17/2016 4:31:57 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Deplorables' Lives Matter)
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To: IBD editorial writer

10 posted on 10/17/2016 4:34:15 AM PDT by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: tomkat

Count on it.

Monster Vote>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

He will win HUGELY.


11 posted on 10/17/2016 4:36:42 AM PDT by Candor7 ( Obama fascism article:(http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html)
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To: IBD editorial writer
In Britain,those supporting Brexit were insulted by just about every prominent person in the country...including the leaders of every major Party.Americans supporting Trump have been insulted in the filthiest ways by top Rats including BillyBob (imagine *him* calling *us* “rednecks”) and the Community Organizer-In-Chief.The result is,very probably,that many Trump supporters won't openly admit it...even to pollsters.
12 posted on 10/17/2016 4:37:19 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Deplorables' Lives Matter)
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To: tomkat
For what its worth: My husband and I were on a 2 week European cruise just prior to and during the Brexit vote. Obviously we met many Brits, Irish and Scots. We asked them their opinion of Brexit and to a person, before they left for the cruise, voted to Leave but felt that the Stay vote would win based on the polling. Lets not let the polls keep us home on election day. It was so much fun watching the BBC after the vote. Their reporters were stunned at the outcome. Please God, let it be the same here.
13 posted on 10/17/2016 4:44:07 AM PDT by bella1 (Je suis deplorable)
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To: IBD editorial writer

Trump is going to crush the Hildabeast on November 8. People are fed-up with Washington, DC as usual. They see the horrors of Obamacare, unemployment, bad economy, high levels of welfare/EBT, open borders, Islamic terrorism, the attack on our Constitution, families less safe, and on and on and on.


14 posted on 10/17/2016 4:44:33 AM PDT by From The Deer Stand
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To: IBD editorial writer

LOL. Anyone who believes the polls showing Hillary leading may want to take an ear in each hand and pull, for starters. If they do and wipe the crap outa their eyes they can see the “polls” are as full of crap as they are.


15 posted on 10/17/2016 4:45:15 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: KavMan

The latest WSJ was closer to D +24.


16 posted on 10/17/2016 4:45:55 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: wastoute

Really where do you folks get this info? D+24? Lol. Why not D+40?

It was D+7 of D+9, depending how you classify the soft D and R support


17 posted on 10/17/2016 4:49:27 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!l)
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To: ImNotLying

Those type of electronic voting machines are no longer used.


18 posted on 10/17/2016 4:50:09 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: IBD editorial writer

Personally I think the Hillary campaign and her liberal media enablers are overdoing it with the “Hillary has the race in the bag. It’s over. narrative.” There is virtually no enthusiasm on her side as it is, if the democrat base thinks the race is over, they may just not bother voting like they would if they thought the race was a tie. However every Trump supporters I know is marking the days on the calendar like counting down until Christmas for a chance to cast a vote for Trump (and against Hillary) and the polls mean nothing to them.


19 posted on 10/17/2016 4:50:56 AM PDT by apillar
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To: ImNotLying

The libtards can’t claim a victory for Hillary by fraud in the Soros states. If trump wins by ten to fifteen every where else it will be pretty obvious what happened. CW II starts. Hillary ends up on meat hook. Not gonna happen, IMHO. Fraud only works when it is close. Sure, Venezuela and Sadaam’s Iraq are out there but those folks had quit trying by then. Americans ain’t gonna sit still for obvious fraud at this juncture.


20 posted on 10/17/2016 4:51:13 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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