Reuters-Ipsos Poll Showing Hillary Up by 6 Pts. Sampled 44% Dem, 33% Rep (Actual Result Trump +2.5%)

The Gateway Pundit ^ | Sep 29th, 2016 | Jim Hoft

[xzins]

The latest Ipsos-Reuters poll has Hillary up 6 points over Donald Trump.

For this poll, Ipsos spoke to 1705 Americans, of whom 752 were Democrats.

ipsos-poll-fraud

That’s 44 percent of the total.

Only 29 percent of Americans identify as Democrats.

Ipsos spoke to 570 Republicans for the poll.

That’s 33 percent of the total.

That’s media fraud.

Prepare for the landslide.

UPDATE: Via Zero Hedge —

Using Reuters’ data, Hillary supposedly has a 6-point lead over Trump. However, if we alter the sample data to reflect what Pew says is the real distribution of democrats versus republicans (i.e. 33% vs. 29%, respectively) and apply the same support levels by party affiliation it results in an 8.5% swing toward Trump who would have a 2.5% lead….very inconvenient.

[Sam Gamgee]

In 2015 Registered Republicans were 39% of the population, and 43% were Democrat.

[NYC-RepublicanCT]

I thin it’ll be D+4 or D+5 tops

[xzins]

1041 x .44 = 458.04

1041 x .33 = 343.53

[sargon]

I think it’ll be D+4 or D+5 tops

For turnout? No way. The GOP is going to beat the Dems at turnout, or at least be almost even. The enthusiasm gap remains massive, and will drive the result.

Vote Trump!

[Sam Gamgee]

So she leads 458 to 343????

[NYC-RepublicanCT]

Whether it’s even or D+5, I don’t see a realistic scenario where Trump loses... popular maybe (as Cali and NY run up the totals) but not EV.

[heights]

You’ve been here Two-weeks, and on every post, you’re just so concerned. If you’re here after the election, which I doubt, maybe then I will believe you...

[dp0622]

that’s disgusting.

please GOD let us win and God forbid we dont, let’s not just go back to the couches.

I know that’s what i want to do, it’ comfortable and safe, but we CANT. we just cant.

[NYC-RepublicanCT]

Is there a limit to how often someone can post? No? Then go bug someone else. Is this some type of immature hazing? Lame

[NYC-RepublicanCT]

It’s also a 100% on-line poll... That alone should disqualify this poll altogether... By the way, I believe the gap is only 4% in a 4-way battle

How is the above being "concerned"? It's an opinion, and discounts this fraudulent poll... Or are you just looking to throw your weight around?

[Dante3]

lol

At the debate Hillary reminded my of a grumpy shopping mall Santa Claus - all she needed was a hat and beard.

[noiseman]

If I were king I would ban publication of any polling data within, say 6 months of the election. Campaigns would still be permitted to conduct internal polling for their own analysis, but within that 6 month window none of it could be made public. That would eliminate the obviously out of control problem of rigging polling assumptions to manipulate public perception.

[noiseman]

And don’t forget that some percentage of dems are going to vote for Trump this time around, while very few Republicans will do the same in reverse.

[Sam Gamgee]

To keep it simple round to 1000. So 33% registered democrats time 84% that will vote Hillary = 277. 29% registered gop times 78% that plan to vote trump = 226. Even if trump gets 27% (to Hillary 20%) of the remaining 380 votes non affiliated it is not enough. Ends up at 36 to 34% in Hillary’s favor.

[NYC-RepublicanCT]

Agreed. Thanks for the stats

[xzins]

???

[TornadoAlley3]

Truth. Truth is Trump will lose. Crooked Hillary will cheat. A pollster is going to broadcast exit polls in detail beginning when polls open and all day until polls close. Media will air it. Clinton will know what states she needs stolen.

[TornadoAlley3]

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/slate_fare/2016/09/slate_and_votecastr_why_we_re_breaking_the_election_day_information_embargo.html

[Let's Roll]

I really hope you are right becuase I am sure the dims will steal 8-10% meaning we need to actually win by 12-15% to avoid endless recounts etc.

Don’t vote absentee and don’t vote early unless it’s the last minute. Make it as hard as possible for them to know how many votes they need to manufacture.

And please don’t vote third party, leave blank or write in Mickey Mouse.

[shhrubbery!]

The oversampling of Democrats is based in large part on the high enthusiasm level for Obama in the last two elections (compared to McCain and Romney). It’s totally not like that this time.

You are correct. The pollsters know the enthusiasm factor for Hillary is bupkus compared to Obama's; but his '08 and '12 Dem turnout numbers are the ones they're using.