[NYC-RepublicanCT]

Whether it’s even or D+5, I don’t see a realistic scenario where Trump loses... popular maybe (as Cali and NY run up the totals) but not EV.

[Sam Gamgee]

To keep it simple round to 1000. So 33% registered democrats time 84% that will vote Hillary = 277. 29% registered gop times 78% that plan to vote trump = 226. Even if trump gets 27% (to Hillary 20%) of the remaining 380 votes non affiliated it is not enough. Ends up at 36 to 34% in Hillary’s favor.