Posted on 09/22/2016 1:26:58 PM PDT by Ravi
1.8 million Floridians have already requested absentee ballots. I'm assuming turnout will be around 9 to 9.5 million voters. This is already about 20% of final turnout. With this in mind, Republicans thus far lead with requests. We don't how they will vote but we can make some assumptions. These are hardened voters. Make your own judgments based on that. Still waiting for a few more counties to report.
(Excerpt) Read more at countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com ...
Very good sign. Primary voters were also heavier R.
how does this compare to previous years?
This particular metric only goes back to 2014. No information from 2012/2008/2004.
For 2014, TOTAL absentee ballot requests: GOP-1,062,526; DEM-1,004,752; Others-501,000
So this is not a precise apples to apples comparison but still instructive.
Marco Rubio’s campaign may be helping this along a bit too on the GOP side. I am not saying this as a fan of Rubio.
Every swing state is up primary R voters since 2008 and 2012. Quite a lot of enthusiasm.
Democrats are always jumping for joy seeing these kinds of stats for all the states, because they emphasize this and tend to do real well. If these kinds of numbers persist, and continue similarly in other states, they are really going to get desperate and depressed.
I will not vote for Rubio
but he will win
The question is how many of those Republican and Independent absentee ballot requests are actually Democrats engaging in vote stealing?
I wonder how many of those Dem absentees are dead.
Zero. Next question.
Saint Lucie County Supervisor of elections has already in the past thrown an election for a dem.
She is dirty and i expect it this election too.
A good sign, but don’t read too much into it. I remember being very confident in 2012 because Romney’s early ballot stats were SOOO much better than McCain’s. And he lost every state I was tracking.
LOL Don’t compare Romney who had no movement behind him to TRUMP
How many are sent to:
1. NYC
2. Philly
3. Europe
4. Mexico
5. Puerto Rico
6. Belize
7. APO
8. Chicago
I found this:
“As a result, while the number of absentee ballots cast by Florida Republicans in 2008 beat the Democratic number by some 15 points, this year that gap narrowed dramatically to fewer than 5 points. In fact, the total number of absentee ballots cast in Florida so far is more than 2 million, up 8.7% from 2008. That brings the early-voting total in Florida (in-person and absentee ballots) to almost 4.5 million — more than in 2008. (In 2008, Florida had 11.2 million registered voters; this year it’s 11.5 million, so the total early-voter share of the state electorate is still about the same, around 38%.) In all, Democrats have cast almost 250,000 more early votes than Republicans have, and that number could climb when all the outstanding absentee ballots have come in. Obama likely ends up with an early-vote lead in Florida of about 5 points.”
How many to dead voters?
Trump will FL easily.
In early voting alone. Its over.
Hillary is done.
Tens of thousands, ....obviously, from the crowds she’s not drawing,....next question.
Romney was probably on his way to winning, until the disastrous second debate. So it is not surprising that the early ballot stats were favorable, yet he underperformed. It doesn’t mean these types of analysis are without value. It just means that Romney was an awful candidate who snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.
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