Posted on 08/28/2016 4:43:29 PM PDT by dontreadthis
[…] We’re in unprecedented, unchartered territory,” said Florida Chamber president and CEO Mark Wilson. “Nobody’s been polling these people, nobody’s been marketing to these people.”….
The “Monster Vote“ is the name attributed to the largest voting bloc in U.S. history. The voters who have/had given up on the political process because it seemed futile to vote for a rigged system where nothing ever changes. –Outlined Here–
However, we first noted the surfacing of the Monster Vote in relation to the political outsider Donald Trump toward the end of 2015. It was, and is, a rather controversial theorem because the voting bloc would make all media polling completely irrelevant.
Throughout the latter part of 2015 and into the first quarter of 2016 we put our research antenna on high alert to see if the indications were real. We paid a statistician to model the data we collected. We made predictions which, if the bloc was accurate, would stun the professional political class.
Trump rally illinois 4
Tracking social media, geographic “non-media polling” and alternate media matrices led us to believe Trump would dominate in the presidential primary. The predictions modeled the results with uncanny accuracy. Gobsmacking accuracy.
A few months later the New York Times began quietly evolving it’s electoral modeling. Washington Post political writer Bob Costa began talking about something that he too was noticing which tracked with our own research. Large numbers of the electorate who never engaged in the political process before were becoming increasingly visible.
Throughout this entire year there have been indications the “Monster Vote” is very real, but you have to look carefully to see them – and, obviously, you must inoculate yourself from conformational bias. 400,000 donations to Trump less than $200 in June was one such example. The social media app Zip App is yet another. 2,000,000 views of an innocuous Trump facebook video within 24 hours is another.
It’s a tenuous discussion because everyone wants to belittle anyone talking about it (looking at you Rush Limbaugh), and simultaneously those holding Cold Anger intensity don’t talk about it – everyone just goes about their business, yet everyone seems to know.
Well, the left-leaning Tampa Bay Times has just dropped a big bit of data which seems to also confirm the existence of this phenomenon:
“More than 25% of the inbound mail-in or absentee ballots in the upcoming primary, have NEVER VOTED BEFORE“:…
[…] “This is huge,” said Marian Johnson, senior vice president of political strategy for the Florida Chamber and one of the foremost experts on Florida campaigns and politics. “I can envision election night when the votes are counted that certain people win that nobody thought had a chance, and that being attributed to this trend.”
As of Thursday morning, more than 855,000 primary ballots had been cast by mail. More than a quarter of those votes came from Floridians who had not voted in the last four primaries and another 20 percent from people who voted in just one of the last four primaries.
In other words, these are not “likely voters” surveyed by most pollsters or targeted by sophisticated political campaigns. The trend applies to Democrats and Republicans alike and across the state, said Johnson, who was shocked when she first spotted the trend developing weeks ago.
“The first thing I did was go back to my data people and said, ‘Are you sure you ran this right?’ “
They had. The data crunchers looked at who requested mail ballots and who is returning them, and categorized each voter by a zero, one, two, three or four — depending on how many of the last four primaries they voted in.
[…] We’re in unprecedented, unchartered territory,” said Florida Chamber president and CEO Mark Wilson. “Nobody’s been polling these people, nobody’s been marketing to these people.” (read more)
florida coc trump poll♦ Remember, even in honest scientific polling – the poll methodologies are based on “assumptions”, or inputs into the collected poll samples in order to make them representative of the anticipated turnout.
♦ Thanks to Donald Trump, historic turnout trends are obsolete. Additionally, historic demographics and party affiliations are also obsolete. As a consequence any poll data that is relying on obsolete sample methodology is going to be significantly inaccurate.
If the current ballot data reported in Florida (which does indeed line up with the changes in the Florida voter data-base) extends even remotely similar to the other states throughout the nation, the prior prediction graphic below might even be understated:
Lol sorry, Dems went from 2M to 1.2M from 2008 to 2016.
Even worse news.
We are Trump.
What you are missing is that supporters of Mrs. Bill don’t really like politics and don’t go to rallies or post bumper stickers. They just have a sneaking feeling that Mrs. Bill is “on their side,” and they vote accordingly, erroneous as they are.
Love the fact that so many people KNOW how rigged everything is.....it has been destroying the Natural Family and particularly minority families (and killing them) since FDR. We haven’t had Rule of Law since 1812. (Judge Napolitano).
Now——if we just realize that everyone like Rush Limbaugh, who has been allowed great power for decades (to no avail)——is part of the Hegelian Dialect......he is on the Right but the globalist payrole-—to release the valve (the anger) as we get cranked up into BOILING WATER so it will be TOO LATE FOR REVOLUTION. (Where is the internet takeover outrage???) They control ALL INFORMATION and we are DONE-—just like what the SS did in Germany.
Come on, Rush BREAK AWAY-—I know they may kill you like Brietbart, Clancy, Hastings and Crichton or destroy you like they did Bill Cosby if you DARE go off their allowed “talking points” but TRY!!!!!!!!!!!
Come on, Rush-—you KNOW the Federal Reserve should have been abolished DECADES ago-—and you “act” like all this unconstitutional “null and void” stuff is PERMANENT-——even treasonous TREATIES-—that can be NULL AND VOID TODAY!!!!!!!! They are ANTITHETICAL to the Constitution which makes them NULL AND VOID ON PASSING!!!!!! and the people who voted for all the treason need to be in PRISON.
We need 4 on the Supreme Court put in prison for Treason-—proven in their own anti-Constitutional statements—and we need it done NOW-—along with Clinton and Obama in prison NOW.
Well——If we had EVERYONE like Rush and Levine stating the TRUTH 24/7-——we could take this country BACK-
—we need at least SOME of the MSM PRESS because of all the dumb, brainwashed sheeple.
Florida is having a primary vote this coming Tues for congress and all the other offices. The vote they already had was for president only.
In fact Hillary and her media syncophants already act like she has it in the bag.
All positive!
For months, my red "Make America Great Again" Trump cap has been a MAGNET drawing people to me...in supermarkets, the bank, doctors' waiting rooms, the post office, restaurants...you name it.
It's been gratifying and great fun, also, to wear it.
Approaching me with "thumbs up" and "V for Victory" signs have been a black guy with 2 little kids in his cart in WalMart.....likewise in WalMart a woman Desert Storm veteran pulling back her blouse to show me her Trump tee shirt.....in Publix, a New York City rabbi shopping with Florida relatives he was visiting.....three men employees in orange aprons clustering around me in my local Home Depot......my electrician, plumber and other workmen coming into my home......the butcher and the store manager in another supermarket approaching me with "I like your hat!".....my regular post office lady who gave me a flag on a stand that furls and lights up when you press a button and you hear the Star Spangled Banner played in all its glory.....well, as the poet said, "let me count the ways", which describes just part of the positive reaction from Ground Zero here in the Sunshine State.
The Power of the Red Hat attracts Trump supporters wherever I go. Buy one and wear it.....you'll see for yourself.
Mr. Trump will win all Florida's 29 electoral votes in a tsunami!
Leni
Funny, I have used that term “Clinton Crime Family” a few times for online comments, cant really remember where right off, but 2 or 3 others besides twice I know of on Discus my comments were deleted, I assume because of that phrase.
He's already looking for a bigger venue for his upcoming ILLEGAL ALIEN speech and has consistently had huge crowds at all his events.
Hillary needs to have students duck--walked in to fill a high school gym - the whole high school wouldn't hold those who would show for Trump.
If you’re the author of it, that’s fantastic. The phrase “Clinton Crime Family” should be on the lips of all Americans!
No not original author... First time I saw it was F/R though, Yes the perfect phrase and their minions are working hard to delete it where they can.
I’m in Jacksonville, which is rather conservative, and have seen a few Trump signs and bumper stickers. No Hillary signs whatsoever. Bernie had a few, but don’t see them anymore since his candidacy ended.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.