Posted on 05/02/2016 6:26:21 AM PDT by xzins
The data compiled here on Breitbart News comes from PredictIt, a betting market that creates an almost free market interpretation of what might happen in a given political election.
The Texas senator had been above 50 cents— But, after the (Kasich) deal, Cruz has crashed and despite two desperate measures—the announcement of his vice presidential pick Carly Fiorina and the Pence endorsement—has not recovered.
Almost instantly after the Pence deal, Trump took a commanding lead over Cruz. While at one point on April 24 the markets had Trump under 40 cents, by midday April 25, the markets—in response to the Cruz-Kasich deal—had corrected themselves to have Trump at over 60 cents. Since then, the markets have only benefited Trump with just small upticks for Cruz that undo themselves moments later when he announced Fiorina as his running mate and when he received the tepid backing of Pence, Indiana’s governor.
Trump, with new polling showing him well over double digits ahead of Cruz in the Hoosier State, has now skyrocketed way ahead of the Texas senator there—and is widely expected by financial analysts to win the state on Tuesday. Heading into Sunday, Trump was close to 75 cents—and he is now over 90 cents projected to be the winner.
“The markets have really been ahead of the polling and ahead of the pundits,” Rothschild said. But your best bet for accurate and reliable political predictions, it turns out, is actually the marketplace.”
It appears as though Cruz is headed for an epic defeat on Tuesday in Indiana, If Cruz loses in Indiana, it is widely expect that Donald Trump will win the GOP nomination for the presidency outright before the Republican National Convention in Cleveland in July—and that neither Cruz nor anyone else including Kasich will be able to stop him.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
The deductive thinker quote hit me yesterday...I think you also posted the one I saw.
It is true. Trump responds so often to people asking about this or that at the convention or in the fall campaign, and he returns to saying that he wants to close the primary campaign deal first. He doesn’t get easily sidetracked.
[Correct me if I’m wrong...maybe it’s only the media...but does it appear to you that Fiorina is in the driver’s seat?]
Yup! Ted Cruz, America’s principled cuck-servative.....
It made him look small and weak. Bad bad move.
How, how, how does this woman help him in any state's primary? How does she help him in Indiana, where so many manufacturing jobs have been lost to outsourcing/offshoring? (At least that's what I hear, Hoosiers, please help me out if I'm missing something.)
And especially, how does Carly Fiorina's presence on the ticket or anywhere in the campaign help him in California, where she totally ran amok ruining Bell Labs, Lucent, and almost HP, putting so many Americans out of work?
And now she and Ted expect people to believe that she GAF about their state of being?
One would think that she's actually the most unpopular woman in California, outside of the country clubs. [Thurston Howell voice] "...and I'll have you know, not just ANY country club, I mean the most EXCLUSIVE country clubs in the state, from San Diego to Sacramento! [/Thurston]
Cruz/Carly will lose in Indiana tomorrow, I'd wager by more than most of the polls are showing just because of the stupid hsit he's been saying this week.
And they are going to be mauled in California in a couple of weeks. Totally, with no mercy and no remorse, mauled by the voters.
That's when things will get really ugly in the Cruz campaign, the personal grudges and suspicions, (**coughcoughHeidiandCarlybigproblemcoughcough**) and the recriminations begin after what's about to happen in California.
Indiana is just prologue, and the really wonderful thing to be coming out of this is that the masks are all coming off. No need to name names, everyone who's paying attention knows the score.
I think my numbers are conservative where they have to be, but I’m ignoring recent polling that should be causing me to give more delegates to Trump.
If Trump landslides in Indiana tomorrow, then it’s all over.
The momentum/inevitability thing will at that point overcome opposition possibly even in Nebraska.
Ted Cruz has a screw losse in his head. He is far from the sharpest knife in the drawer. He has, and continues to self inflict wounds on himself. His nasty “New York Values” comments cost him, not only the massive loss of New York State, but the massive loss in Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Maryland, & Delaware, as well.
Tomorrow he will lose the state of Indiana...because thousands of Indiana voters are deserting his failed, madhouse, lunatic, campaign and the people around and in it. End of story. On to victory, Donald J. Trump!!! In a word....Ted Cruz is just simply not living in the “real” world!!! When he utters “Good Morning” to someone...he ticks them off!!! And...that’s a “ditto” for Carly Fiorina too!!! A vote cast for Ted Cruz is a totally thrown away, useless vote!!!
“Heidi Cruz Confronts Fiorina For Sleeping With Lyin’ Ted Cruz”
Saw this article this morning... don’t know if it is true. I saw that it was on Twitter
Has anyone else read this?
Now I know what a Republican suicide bomber looks like. He's willing to blow up the general election for our side.
How did Cruz get so radicalized?
-PJ
“She’s got the microphone, she drives the agenda, she appears to be the main representative of the campaign.”
Trump had it wrong - it isn’t her face, its her VOICE and the incredible condescension that she has for everyone. What it must have been like to work for her....
I believer Boehner calling Cruz names was also by design of the GOPE to support the Cruz campaign. They were trying to get Cruz some of his outsider cred back, and they thought hated Boehner could do it.
The problem is that no one gives a rat’s a$$ about Boehner anymore, and no one trusts the GOPE and Cruz campaign beyond trusting them to try to screw over the base.
Aside from Texas, Cruz has only won three primaries: Oklahoma, Idaho and Wisconsin. All his other victories have come through caucuses, conventions and other inside-baseball methods in which party apparatchiks control the process.
In terms of primaries (whether open or closed) in which the people get to actually vote, Trump leads Cruz by 24-4. Soon to be 25-4 after the results come in tomorrow night.
This really isn't close at all.
Did you hear Rove on Wallace’s show yesterday. He was hitting Trump on his foreign policy speech, and was trying to get America to go along with this:
“How can he say he doesn’t want wars, but then turn around and say he will kill ISIS?”
So, so weak. If Rove is really that stupid, you wonder how anyone ever won with him as a guide.
Dear Karl...a limited duration reprisal campaign is NOT a war. You go in. You beat the hell out of them. You leave.
You DO NOT stay to ‘build a nation’ and see thousands of your own get killed.
Are they really this stupid?
My guess is a lifetime of winning through his intellect (he sure ain't stupid) and debate by the rules.
He felt he succeeded in his short Senate career by being a stop gap against RINOism and thought this could translate to a win because his vision comported with American voters' vision.
But he fell prey to his history and strengths and his code of "rules". Each contest and each lost drove him closer to that which he felt most comfortable - the [debate] rules, and that became his focus. Screw those ignorant establishment-disaffected voters; he'd just win by playing to the delegate [read, debate] rules.
To this date he hasn't even figured out that the American anti-establishment voter doesn't give a damn about his rules and his crazy campaign. Each day that passes, he further embalms his future. And there is no Rush Limbaugh, iCarly, Pence, Graham, McConnell et al that can save his candidacy. He is done.
The big 'meltdown' starts tomorrow...
Chris Wallace, son of Mike “60 Minutes” Wallace. Dyed in the wool closet liberal and sapper.
Who is dumber....Rove or Wallace?
I guess I’d ask which one is making the most money by being a lying duplicitous bastard. :0)
People no longer feel that there are any "rules," let alone any rules that favor honest living. That's why there is a visceral rejection of Cruz' tactics.
-PJ
Do you mean Ted “Quixote” Cruz. :)
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