Posted on 04/07/2016 4:33:06 PM PDT by Jim Robinson
Edited on 04/07/2016 4:48:52 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]
According to Politico's delegate counter (http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/delegate-count-tracker) there are 882 delegates left.
If this s true, here is the delegate math to elimination:
Cruz currently has 517 delegates so he needs to win 720 more (81.6%) of the remaining delegates to reach the 1237 magic number. So Cruz can only afford to lose a maximum of 162 delegates or he is mathematically eliminated.
Trump currently has 743 delegates so he needs to win 494 more (56%) of the remaining delegates to reach the 1237 magic number. So Trump can afford to lose up to 388 delegates without being mathematically eliminated.
Fact Cruz has lost delegates at a much higher rate than Trump throughout this primary.
It appears to me that Cruz is more than twice as likely as Trump to be mathematically eliminated.
Cruz will probably control 70 of the 112 delegates.
++++
Giving Cruz control of the GOPe’s precious Rules Committee???!!!
Strong words. Hope you are right.
Either Cruz has always been a gopE Trojan horse, or he’s selling his soul to the gopE to win. And in the process screwing all those voters who put him in office. That is enough for me to NEVER vote for him. I don’t think I’m the only one who feels that way.
Nope. Trump lost WI because he is bitter and petty.
He wantonly attacked Walker . then put out a childish statement .
you are willing to sacrifice all of our stars on the alter of trump.
I am not. While Trump should be at the top of the ticket , Cruz as VP is our best shot at checking some Trump’s basest instincts.
There is more here than Trump -v- Cruz.
Not one second more. If you haven't noticed, the Republican party has capitulated on EVERY conservative principal for the last 30 years. That's why we are at this cross roads as a nation.
Because of rule 40b Trump and Cruz can not be eliminated.
Nobody is talking about being completely eliminated from the race. The subject of this thread is when a candidate is mathematically eliminated from winning before the first ballot, which requires winning 1237 delegates PRIOR to the convention.
That would happen when there are fewer delegates remaining than the amount a candidate needs to reach 1237. It will happen to Cruz in twelve days.
Many more feel the same way about Trump.
They are just not as vocal, because they do not want offend fellow freepers.
You forgot the /s
I hope
I haven’t seen any evidence of that. They certainly don’t vote in the caucus. And the Cruz supporters I know, both here, and in real life, are so seething with irrational hatred for Trump and Trump supporters that they don’t give a damn who they offend.
No expletive deleted way!
I wouldn’t vote to put Cruz on my city school board.
He’s politically dead to me.
He’s a freshman Senator twit, just like Obama was.
No accomplishments, no special abilities, nothing...
Oh wait, he has that Liberace Fred Haney from Green Acres thing going with his voice.
So there is that.
What conservative bill has Cruz lead through the senate that passed?
(50 states + 6 territories)*2 = 112
I could care less.
You numbers are so small, it wouldn’t make a difference.
Thank you.
Well, I just re-read Jim’s first post in this thread, and nowhere in it did he say anything about BEFORE the convention. And, again, there is no “path to elimination” if no candidate gets 1237.
I think Cruz is in the same boat as Rubio and Bush. This is their last chance at holding political office.
you wont see it , cause they aint talkin.
The GOPe are making deals with Kasich and Rubio right now, to give their delegates to Cruz in exchange for positions in the cabinet.
Everyone I know that voted for Carter in 1976 said they were voting against Ford for pardoning Nixon. This may blow up in their faces.
ok. Pin all on double 0. got it.
noo.. actually in the election between Seward and Lincoln— Seward on the first ballot got only about 74 percent of the total needed for a majority which would equate in this election to Trump getting 922.. Seward was over 25 percent short of getting the majority..
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