Posted on 04/06/2016 3:09:16 AM PDT by John W
Donald Trump’s victories in the Republican primaries may make him seem like a sure winner. But those victories have been achieved by receiving either somewhat less than 40 percent of the votes or somewhat more than 40 percent, but never a majority.
The fragmenting of the Republican vote among many candidates in the primaries made this possible. But victory in the general election for president of the United States in November is going to require a lot more than 40 percent of the votes. And polls consistently show Mr. Trump to be the most negatively regarded of any of the candidates in either party.
In some Republican winner-take-all states, 40 percent of the votes can be enough to get 100 percent of the delegates. This leverage might enable Trump to gain a majority of the delegates needed to become the party’s nominee. But Trump and his supporters want more. They are now talking as if winning a plurality of the delegates ought to be enough to gain him the nomination, despite his failing to get a majority, as required by long-standing rules.
There is a reason why the rules require a candidate for the nomination to receive a majority of the delegates. If you cannot even get a majority of the delegates in your own party, how can you expect to win the November election for president?
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
National review LOL
I guess when it comes to a general election then all we need are republicans, frigging idiots.
National Review runs an anti Trump article?
I’m shocked.
Yet he’s leading by many, many delegates and states. Two weeks until he gets scores of NY delegates!
By Sowell’s logic, more Republicans have voted against Ted Cruz than against Donald Trump. The numbers are all right there in the total votes it took each to get their respective delegates thus far.
A whole lot of Democrats have voted against him too.
Er, Tom. Since you are an economist I presume you can add. Far, far more Republicans have voted against Cruz and even more against Kasich.
Losing all the credibility you built up over the years.
On a related topic-
Kasich only won 1 state, yet people like Larry Sabato are saying he is the one to beat Hillary? I do not know how Cruz or Trump will do, but no way would Kasich do better than either of them.
and every other Republican candidate as well by an even larger margin, due to there having been so many Republican candidates to divide the votes.
Screw math. It’s who wins Wisconsin that really matters.
With this article, Thomas Sowell, a respected conservative, will get the Trump hateraid treatment.
Trump supporters have become unhinged.
Slick Clinton never had more than forty percent of anything...
Per usual, Trump supporters fail to understand that the Republican nominee must be chosen by the majority of Republicans. We are well aware that Cruz has not received the majority of Republican votes so far.
When the delegates we have chosen go to convention we charge them with finding a nominee that is acceptable to the majority of Republican voters regardless of whom they voted for in the primary.
Lol. Even more are not for Cruz.
Especially me
“Reminder: Most Republicans Have Voted against Trump”
In a race with more than two candidates competing this kind of quantitative analysis is meaningless and amounts to nothing but spin.
Especially in light of the fact that there were originally 17 candidates.
A whole lot of Dems re-registered GOP in order to vote for DT, and will re-register before Nov to vote for Shillary.
Cruz took Wisconsin by a large margin.
Reminder. More republicans voted for Trump than Cruz.
You Trumper thumpers can’t have it both ways. It’s been Trump against the rest of the field since the beginning and he’s never been able to get more than 40%. Now that the field is reduced it’s showing that Trump’s support is in the 30-40% range and Mr. Sowell is right: Trump can’t win the general election with 30-40%. Trump will lose but he’ll go back to being a loud mouth billionaire and the rest of us are going to be stuck with the Clintoons again.
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