Posted on 03/16/2016 6:09:58 AM PDT by 11th_VA
It's over folks. Trump is going to get AT LEAST 550 of the remaining winner take all delegates.
That leaves 349 proportional delegates to be picked at. If he gets 1/3 of those, that's another 116.
so 666 (are you kidding me?) additional delegates will put him over the top easily.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
On to Hillary
That was a deliberately concocted number. Don’t fall for it.
Well with dimwitted buckeyes okay but the rest of the nation can’t be lumped in with them. Bet Kasich doesn’t draw flies anywhere else at least from conservatives and thoughtful independents.
How does the winner-take-all primary work? Californias primary is a winner-take-all system by Congressional District. The Presidential candidate who wins any given Congressional District will receive all 3 delegate appointments for that district. In addition, 10 at large delegates are awarded to the presidential candidate receiving the largest number of votes statewide.
OK - So CA is a closed Primary (no RAT games), still think the Donald will do very well there, 100 delegates out of 172 at least ... but that does make it closer ..
Based on the math and the states it is long shot is that Trump is stopped.
Don’t let your denial blind you to reality that Trumps best states are in front of him and it is going to be very hard to stop him.
I wouldn’t be overconfident too soon.
Cruz has the organization to get most, if not all, of the caucuses.
Trump just eeked out a .2% victory in Missouri, a winner-take-all, open primary last night.
And you know the GOPe, allied with traitor Cruzand Leftist Kasich, has more to throw at him.
Kasich
Pro TPP
Pro Syrian ‘refugees’
Pro AGW
Pro NAFTA
Pro Sanctuary cities
Pro 0bamacare
Pro Common Core
IIRC, he said he could run as a Democrat.
I should have used 597 - 40 (giving Utah to Cruz) = 557 + 116 = 673 ... but I just did a ‘seat of the pants’ estimate. Thru that out as bait :)
These absentee candidates really bothers me.
Cruz has begun hemorrhaging due to his recent embrace with the GOPe. What support he had will shift from underneath him like the seashore at high tide. That Heidi hug last night was a strong indication that he knows what is coming. He even looked like he did a couple of shots before he went out to talk to the folks.
I have been pulling for Cruz, but I have to admit that after last night, with Kasich making it clear that he intends to be a spoiler, I don’t see any way for a Cruz victory, and I know that I don’t want to get to a contested convention where it’s a certainty that both Cruz and Trump will get screwed. I woke up this morning thinking that a Trump/Cruz ticket may be the key. It would help to alleviate some fears of Cruz supporters who think Trump is all over the place on policy, and it would bring unity to what’s been a nasty, brutal primary season. Plus, it would be the ultimate “up yours” to the establishment pricks like Mitch McConnell and John Boehner. I’d love to see Cruz at a rally announcing this unity ticket saying “they told me that if I’d just apologize to Mitch McConnell, they’d line up behind me and give me their full support. Well, Mitch, I’m sorry you got your feelings hurt when I told the truth about your dishonesty, but I won’t apologize for telling the truth to the American people.”
Hillary will either be retired due to medical reasons or dead before the convention. She lost the FBI lottery. With her aides being deposed in May, she is fast running out of wiggle room. Add the forthcoming details of her pay-to-play scheme while SoS to the tune of two billion dollars and she’s dead meat.
Voters may be confused over the classified email mishandling. They won’t be confused by the bribery and tax evasion details.
He’s not winning it on the first ballot either—and so he’s not winning it at all.
I think you’re counting your chickens here before the eggs have even been laid. If you will.
That hag isn’t going anywhere. What is your thinking,she has throat cancer or what?
His best states are in front of him? He will do better nowhere than he did in the south. He may do well in NJ and NY, but the states out west and in the plains? I don’t think those are his best states. We will see.
Yeah at this point uniparty Cruz and uniparty Kasick are only in it to stop not uniparty Trump. So that Ryan or Jeb can be the GOPe nominee.
No. Kasich is a deal breaker for me!
Trump/Cruz 2016
I agree.
I agree. If Cruz were VP he could, as president of the Senate, overrule the super majority rule and things could get moving again. That rule serves to protect the ruling class.
Ahh come on. He is still strong with the base in Texas. Serving in the Senate is not a beauty contest judged by fellow Senators. Go along in DC is a terminal disease. It's what got us in this mess. Going along, will not FIX IT.
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