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Yet Another poll suggests Trump will lose to Clinton in a general election
Hotair ^ | 03/09/2016 | John Sexton

Posted on 03/09/2016 1:56:08 PM PST by SeekAndFind

Earlier today Ed Morrissey wrote about a new NBC/WSJ poll showing Donald Trump could lose to Hillary Clinton by double digits in a general election. An ABC/Washington Post poll also published today has similar findings:

Should this matchup come about, the current advantage is Clinton’s. She leads Trump by 50-41 percent in vote preference among registered voters, her widest advantage in three ABC/Post polls since September. Among all adults, including those currently not registered, Clinton’s lead swells to 54-36 percent. And the public by 59-36 percent predicts that Clinton would win — up from a 12-point gap on this question in January to 23 points today. (Some political scientists suggest that, early on, expectations outdo preferences, predictively.)

If you’re keeping track, 50-41 is actually a better result for Trump than the NBC poll which has the matchup at 51-38. Still, looking at the details it’s not hard to see why Trump is in trouble. He trails Clinton in almost every personal metric including honesty:

ABCNewspoll

The big one though might be empathy. You may recall that Obama’s re-election race in 2012 became a contest between Mitt Romney the competent manager and Barack Obama the likable, empathetic President. On the question of who really cares about people “like you” Obama always had the advantage. And as it happened a major storm hitting the east coast days before the election gave Obama a chance to demonstrate that empathy for voters.

There’s a reason Hillary is touring the country saying things like, “I believe what we need in America today is more love and kindness.” That’s not a policy it’s a pose. But the important point is she’s doing it because it has frequently worked in the past and will probably work again in 2016.

Trump does a little better when it comes to policy areas, though here again he is trailing on every issue including immigration:

ABCNewspoll2

Now it’s certainly possible that some of the 1,000 respondents to this poll have a detailed knowledge of both Trump’s and Clinton’s positions on each one of these issues. However, I suspect it’s more likely that the majority of respondents are giving a gut response answer based on a few things they’ve heard, i.e. Trump wants to ban Muslims and deport immigrants while Hillary was Secretary of State. Those factoids become the basis of answers to questions about terrorism, immigration and international crisis. And as ABC points out, a majority of Americans don’t like some of Trump’s most discussed ideas:

Trump’s challenged, as well, by the fact that Americans by 63-33 percent oppose his suggestion to temporarily ban Muslims from entering the country, and by 61-36 percent disagree with the mass deportation of undocumented immigrants. Those views are closer among registered voters, but still with majorities opposed, 60 and 58 percent, respectively.

The strength and boldness of these positions obviously appeals to a plurality of GOP voters, but a majority of Americans probably just see them as unkind. And in a general election, unkindness loses to the person talking however ham-handedly about “love and kindness.”

To further the point, where Trump does appear to do well is where he expresses his own version of love and kindness. Maybe you’re thinking he’s not doing that at all but you’d be wrong. When it comes to veterans, who he promises to take care of, when it comes to people who have lost jobs to outsourcing who he promises to help find jobs for again–Trump does express empathy for people and it does draw people to him. In fact, Trump’s frequent focus on trade issues and the need to do better for people struggling in a stagnant economy is probably why he is so competitive with Clinton on the economy in this poll.

This election isn’t a battle of detailed policy positions. Hillary Clinton knows that. At base, what is working (and also not working) for Trump is the same thing working for Clinton. The person elected in 2016 is probably going to be the person who is strong, competent but who really seems to care about the issues (lack of jobs, poor treatments of vets, etc.) that matter to the largest share of the electorate.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: clinton; fakepoll; generalelections; poll; trump
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To: SeekAndFind

I sure do trust an NBC/GE poll.


61 posted on 03/09/2016 2:19:26 PM PST by CincyRichieRich (Stop GOPe /establishment...that is the #1 job of all of us.)
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To: HarleyLady27

The desperation is increasing. We’ve already had ‘Trump will kill no telling how many’ to ‘Trump will start World War III’ to now we have the ‘Trump is Hitler’.

There will be even more as time goes on. Especially after next Tuesday.


62 posted on 03/09/2016 2:21:29 PM PST by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: SeekAndFind
"If you’re keeping track, 50-41 is actually a better result for Trump than the NBC poll which has the matchup at 51-38"

Trump is surging now!

63 posted on 03/09/2016 2:21:38 PM PST by aMorePerfectUnion (BREAKING.... Vulgarian Resistance begins attack on the GOPe Death Star.....)
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To: SeekAndFind

An oldie but a goodie:

Jeb Bush surges to lead GOP pack in new 2016 poll

http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/jeb-bush-surges-lead-gop-pack-new-2016-poll

What happened!!???!!!@


64 posted on 03/09/2016 2:22:29 PM PST by sergeantdave ( If not you, who? If not now, when?)
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To: SeekAndFind

Nothing you post or say will matter. The Trumpees are deep in the pon farr over Donald.


65 posted on 03/09/2016 2:22:59 PM PST by FreedomForce
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To: SeekAndFind

FLASH BACK:

1980...Yet another poll indicating that Reagan will lose to Carter in general election.


66 posted on 03/09/2016 2:24:10 PM PST by Jeff Head (Semper Fidelis - Molon Labe - Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: detective
RE: They had Trump losing New Hampshire and South Carolina.

The WSJ/NBC Poll so maligned by people actually had Trump winning in BOTH South Carolina and New Hampshire.



67 posted on 03/09/2016 2:25:04 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

These poll are done to boost Hillary’s base and to keep them energized. We all know that they are all in her pocket, certainly you don’t expect them to broadcast a poll where Trump would schlong her? The only time the poll would support a Republican is when its someone they feel will lose against her. This is Liberal Logic 101 to use these polls top keep their candidate in the minds of the mindless.


68 posted on 03/09/2016 2:26:34 PM PST by Bringbackthedraft (HILLARY 2016 - SERIOUSLY? What are they thinking?)
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To: SeekAndFind

https://ricochet.com/archives/poll-manipulation-is-old-news/


69 posted on 03/09/2016 2:28:59 PM PST by hoosiermama (Make America Great Again by uniting Great Americans)
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To: kik5150

They are cementing behind Cruz because they KNOW Trump will END their cozy little club of criminal collaboration AGAINST WE THE PEOPLE!


70 posted on 03/09/2016 2:31:02 PM PST by Mollypitcher1 (I have not yet begun to fight....John Paul Jones)
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To: SeekAndFind
The polls are heavily influenced by the frequent Republican debates/Trump-bashings versus the few Democrat debates where Clinton is mostly out of the public eye. When the MSM does cover Clinton, it is favorably.

I expect these polls to change once Trump goes head-to-head with Clinton and she can't hide.

For now, it is useful to the MSM to try scare voters into not choosing Trump with these polls.

-PJ

71 posted on 03/09/2016 2:32:06 PM PST by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Hotair are open borders shills. It’s a funny website. 90% of the comments are trashing the faux conservative writers of the articles.


72 posted on 03/09/2016 2:33:06 PM PST by ObamahatesPACoal ( REINCE PRIEBUS: Yeah, but no...you google Ted Cruz ... and immigration...Those are his words,)
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To: SaveFerris

These polls are laughable in the extreme. Trump will demolish Her Thighness.


73 posted on 03/09/2016 2:33:38 PM PST by huckfillary
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To: SaveFerris

I like her other moniker “Cankles” as well.


74 posted on 03/09/2016 2:35:55 PM PST by huckfillary
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To: huckfillary

Im a Cruz supporter all the way but I call BS on this poll. Trump will win states no other Republican has won since Reagan.


75 posted on 03/09/2016 2:37:45 PM PST by JessieHelmsJr (Tree hugging liberals call it global warming. We call it summertime. FUBO!!! Cruz 2016!!!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I’d be curious how the primary model operates, it could be a valid weighing of the factors or it could be chicken entrails (but direct polls before any real debating has happened are at least equally suspect).

I think Trump on Clinton will be a cathartic moment for America. All those pent up lies, and one merciless Alpha Dog on her back. The polls will zoom up.


76 posted on 03/09/2016 2:39:42 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Okay, so Hillary wins the convention, makes 0bama her running mate. Hillary resigns office due to (ahem) health and 0bama is president again. Wins another term after that. /sarc


77 posted on 03/09/2016 2:45:04 PM PST by SkyDancer ("Nobody Said I Was Perfect But Yet Here I Am")
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s not “yet another” It’s the same WSJ lawn cigar that’s beed posted 4 times today.


78 posted on 03/09/2016 2:45:30 PM PST by moehoward
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To: SeekAndFind

BS


79 posted on 03/09/2016 2:45:42 PM PST by nikos1121 (Go Trump!!!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Just part of the all out war to defeat Trump.

Not buying into in light of that big fact.


80 posted on 03/09/2016 2:46:40 PM PST by dforest
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