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Hmm.
Closer than I would have expected, at least for TX.
Folks, if you're reading this, you know what needs to happen.
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Does it really need to be said? If Cruz somehow manages to lose Texas it is all over for him. The same is true if Rubio loses Florida although that looks far more likely.
If the RCP poll averages are accurate, Rubio won’t meet the 20% threshold requirement and will receive ZERO delegates from Texas. Rubio is the one who ought to be really panicked about texas.
Cruz could win Texas by 49 percent and it won’t make a single solitary difference— it will still be all over...
Super Tuesday, March 1st:
>Alabama Primary (50 total delegates/47 bound)—Proportional with 20% threshold
>Alaska Caucuses (28/25)—Proportional with 13% threshold
>Arkansas Primary (40/37)—Proportional with 15% threshold
>Georgia Primary (76)—Proportional with 20% threshold
>Massachusetts Primary (42/39)—Proportional with 5% threshold
>Minnesota Caucuses (38/35)—Proportional with 10% threshold
>North Dakota Caucuses (28/0)—The state does not have a presidential preference poll and all delegates are officially unbound. Caucuses can be flexibly scheduled
>Oklahoma Primary (43/40)—Proportional with 15% threshold
>Tennessee Primary (58/55)—Proportional with 20% threshold
>Texas Primary (155/152)—Proportional with 20% threshold
>Vermont Primary (16/13)—Proportional with 20% threshold
>Virginia Primary (49/46)—Proportional
>Wyoming Caucuses (29/0)—The state does not have a presidential preference poll and all delegates are officially unbound
If Cruz doesn’t win TX hard to see how he plays anything but spoiler if he sticks around.
Advantage Cruz.
But Trump could still pull out a win here.
I am hopeful.
All these polls coming out of TX with wildly different results, have one big thing in common: ALL OF THEM WERE CONDUCTED PRIOR TO CRUZ’S POOR SHOWING IN NEVADA. To really know what is going on in TX, we have to wait for polls conducted after Nevada, and these probably won’t be out until this weekend.
The University of Houston Poll has Cruz over Trump by 15 points in Texas.
For the life of me, I don’t see the appeal of Rubio.
And magic Cruz nor any politician has ever done a damn thing to stop the invasion of illegals at the Texas or USA border.
Trump will build a wall on the Texas and USA Mexico border and have Mexico pay for it. Trump said this in his early speeches. cruz and abbot have not done a damn thing to stop the illegals invasion of Texas and the USA at the Mexico border
Cruz nor any politician has not ever done a damn thing to stop the flood of socialist illegals and Muslim invaders at the Texas USA Mexico border. Cruz is off campaigning for another job while Texas is being overrun by an invasion illegal immigrants that will destroy America. where are his bills or actions to build walls at the Texas border ? Nowhere
Cruz has moved campaign operations to The Alamo. The campaign’s death will be glorious and remembered throughout the ages.
47 delegates are awarded by the statewide total proportionally (unless they get over 50% - not likely from the polls). Then each of 36 districts have 3 delegates, awarded proportionally to any candidate getting over 20%. (50% gets all 3).
From the polls, even if Cruz wins Trump will still get quite a few delegates.
Leading with 29%? It would be better for Cruz to drop out now than to win with a paltry 29%! George W Bush won the primary in TX in 2000 with 88% of the vote!!! 29% is pathetic.
Not sure why all eyes should be on TX when there are other states too, plus TX is not winner takes all.
No way Trump or Rubio can lose in Texas. The only one who can lose is Ted Cruz.
And, just being frank, if he isn’t up by 10+ in his own state, it’s a failure.
It appears here like it’s 29/28/25. Already, there is no other way to interpret that except as a failure.
We need a positive spanish nickname for Trump. El Conquistador, Mucho Grande, ???
Isn’t Texas one of the states where a candidate who gets a majority (over 50%) gets all of the delegates, but if there is only a plurality, the leading candidate and all others get proportional representation? Neither Cruz nor Trump will get over 50% in Texas, so if they’re close, they’ll probably wind up with similar numbers of delegates from the state.
Wouldn’t a one percentage point be statistical dead heat?