Posted on 02/20/2016 9:21:50 PM PST by smoothsailing
February 20, 2016
by sundance
In August of 2015, against considerable backlash, we stood firm on a fundamental position that Senator Ted Cruz did not have a pathway, a roadmap, to victory in the 2016 GOP presidential primary.
Despite the fundamentally sound reasoning for our prediction, which was entirely based on congressional district by district analytics, our position drew an immense amount of criticism and even a quick response from the Cruz campaign itself (Brian Phillips).
Unfortunately, tonight’s South Carolina results vindicate a massive amount of historical research. There simply is no pathway to victory when you rely almost exclusively on “proselytizing as an electoral strategy“:
(link)
It’s not personal, it is simply a factual reality. The Ted Cruz Road Map is non-existent; and beyond the SEC primary states there is little to no organization at all. Nothing in the state of Florida. The campaign is NOT what most people have been led to believe it is.
We strongly urge people to do their own research and to connect their own dots. The campaign will NOT stop sending you donation requests, that much is certain.
Yep. that’s me. A crybaby. I cried when Obama got elected and now I will cry when Trump gets elected because I know that collective IQ of the country is now that of a glue sniffing crack head.
We might elect two low class scumbags in a row. thats reason enough to throw a tantrum.
So glad you enjoyed drinking the Trump Koolaid. But I wont follow your cult.
Now go back and await word from your prophet Trump.
They bought Reagan who IMHO was equally conservative. However I think it is in Ted's delivery. He has not learned the almost Spartanesque efficient use of the English Language to get his point across, he is too wordy, unless he is under-fire and on point. You then add his Faith/Religious component to that and it is a a turn off because he comes across as preachy. I like those that have Faith and are quiet and live it, it is so subtle, and beautiful quiet frankly.
It always is.
I like how you parrot the talking points of the rabid left.
Aha ! They’d approve him just to be rid of him!
His next election in Texas will handle that issue.
‘In all seriousness, I wonder if Ted will now, finally, after all this, fire his sleazeball campaign manager Jeff Roe.’
Hiring Roe was Cruz’ first, and perhaps biggest, mistake. If you’re going to run as a Bible thumping half-politician, half-preacher, you don’t hire a campaign manager whose claim to fame is dirty tricks. Doing so is a self-destructing time b o m b. The leopard doesn’t change its spots, and as soon as Roe reverts to form, Cruz is tainted.
Besides, Roe is not good at national campaigns. His specialty is state-wide, so that by the time the dirty tricks cause a backlash, the election is already in the rear view mirror.
Yes Reagan was conservative but he was the “great communicator” and very likeable. He like Trump also already had great name recognition and his accomplishments were many at the time of his campaign for President. Reagan was a quiet Christian, humble in his faith.
I hate to see people try to compare Ted Cruz to Reagan because they are not alike in any way.
Yes the corruption in the Republican party runs just as deep as the Democrats.
Well Lindsay Graham if you remember was running for President a month or so ago and how did that work out for him?
I expect Trump will likely run the SEC table. GA and AL are all in for Trump. I’m speculating Jeff Sessions endorses Trump just before the SEC for bump going in. After that who’s going to stop him? Rubio? I don’t think so. Cruz will be a footnote at that point.
I keep hearing about how great Cruz would be in the Supreme Court and I agree that this would be a great place for him. But we would need to get him there first. Even if Trump were to nominate him, the senate would need to confirm. And I’m told that everybody in the senate hates his guts - or so I’m told.
The right thing to do is to obey the Constitution, not to try an end run around it. It is, after all, the LAW of the LAND!
What say we have Trump explain the constitutional basis for that ethanol mandate he's so enamored of.
The MAJOR ISSUE is Cruz is ineligible and so is Rubio. They are BARRED by the Constitution feom running for president. You try a DIVERSION TACTIC which has nothing to do with the issue at hand. Stuff it!
Santorum and Huckabee are poster children for why Iowa simply doesn't matter. All that time, money and effort that gets put into that cranky, unpredictable state every four years. I just don't get it. When was the last time a caucus victory in Iowa ever mattered? Hell, even Ronald Reagan couldn't win there.
We just spent almost an entire year talking about Iowa and it's dozen or so delegates. Trump just won 50 delegates last night and hundreds of delegates will be at stake on March 1. Yet we are really only going to have about 10 days to campaign for them - after wasting an entire year yapping about Iowa and their finicky farmers and evangelicals.
Can we just take Iowa and put them to the back of the list. Let the Iowa Caucuses in 2020 happen in June.
If you want to live by that sword, then you need to be ready to die by it.
Ah, so you follow Alinsky’s rules. Shows you true leanings, doesn’t it.
Even though they were ideological opposites, they liked each other personally. Their families socialized quite a bit, they traveled together (you haven't seen the photo of the two of them on the elephant in India?), they both enjoyed opera and attended together frequently. In fact, a modern opera was even written about their friendship.
I sincerely doubt their friendship had any impact on their voting records, but I'm sure Ginsberg is absolutely gutted.
Also: Scalia introduced Kagan to shooting, and they went hunting together on occasion.
Come to think of it, one of my very good friends is a lefty. A Bernie supporter. We socialize all the time; we just don't get into politics.
I know Alinsky's rules and recognize when they're being used. I'm not above answering them in kind.
It’s gotten harder and harder to maintain friendships that cross ideological lines but I still have a few myself. Attitudes have hardened considerably, though, to the point that politics just aren’t discussed.
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