Posted on 02/11/2016 6:57:32 AM PST by SeekAndFind
California has something of a migration problem. Yes, the state's population growth rate has been hovering just under 1% for a few years with natural increases and international net migration staying just strong enough for the state to continue growing, but California's consistent net domestic out-migration should be concerning to Sacramento as it develops state policy. As the adage goes, people vote with their feet and one thing is clear, more people are choosing to leave California than come.
First, a note about population growth. A state's population grows (or shrinks) based on two major components: one, natural increase - i.e. the difference between births and deaths - and two, net migration - i.e. difference between people moving in and out of the state. Within the migration category is domestic migration and immigration (i.e. international migration). Unfortunately for California, most of the categories are trending in the wrong direction for the state. While remaining positive, natural increases have been trending downward over the last decade-plus. Moreover, the state's domestic migration has consistently been negative. And even international migration, again while still positive, has been stagnant for some time.
By understanding who these net domestic out-migrants are, we can get a better sense as to why more people are leaving California than coming to the Golden State. Using the Census Bureau's March Supplemental Current Population Survey, we can get an approximation of just that. Between 2004 and 2015, roughly 930,000 more people left California than moved to the Golden State -just three years saw net domestic in-migration. The biggest beneficiaries of California's net loss are Arizona, Texas, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington.
California is bleeding working young professional families. Approximately 18% of net domestic out-migrants are children (ages 0 to 17), while another 36% are those between ages of 40 and 54.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearmarkets.com ...
Your son is right. And San Diego is one of the more conservative California cities. At least, it used to be.
City government has become slightly more liberal, but the county is conservative. Still Navy and Marines active duty and retirees.
I have a nephew that lives in Antioch, CA. Despite the fact that he's a tattooed twenty something, he sends his son to a Christian school. I commented on sending his son to Christian school and he said he would never send a child of his to Antioch ghetto schools.
Incidently, he's had his car stolen, his house broken into and his guns stolen and they spray painted filth on his walls while they were there, his car (after it was recovered) someone tried to break in ruining the door locks on each side and someone tried to rob him punching him the face giving him a black eye. And that's just within the last 6 months.
Why does he continue to live there? His ex with whom he shares a child, will not leave so he stays. He has equal custody but can't take the child away from the mother. He longs to leave and move to Missouri where he has family but can't.
I know that’s very true in the East County.
Here in Dallas there is another rash of New York license plates.
I know the charts are saying CA but I just have not seen so many as the NY plates.
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It’s too bad he is in that position. I bet sending his son to a private school takes a nice chunk of change, but he is doing the right thing.
My nephew’s wife is a public school teacher in CA. Her daughter who is extremely bright is being bullied by other kids in her class because she skipped a couple of grades. The school doesn’t have an accelerated program, so they will be sending her to a private school next year.
For the life of me, I just don’t understand how my nephew’s wife can teach in a CA public school.
But she is retired and the high taxes and fees, marijuana grows and drugs, unrelenting influx of illegal aliens and criminal street people, degenerating culture, and her fears of her personal and economic safety finally got to her.
She was a lifelong Liberal, but in the past few years has turned increasingly conservative and now supports Trump. She can't wait to get out of California - a place she used to love and never wanted to leave.
There are fewer and fewer places to flee to nowadays and we can thank the Liberals and their policies for it.
I think that's what happened to Trump too. Some people are saying they don't trust him because he was a social "liberal" but I think as a person ages, reality sets in and they get wiser.
Not everyone fleeing California is a liberal. Many (even most, it could be argued), are right leaning Americans who are seeking to relocate to someplace they recognize as being America.
I’m one such person.
We voted for prop 187 in 1994, which would have prevented this. Federal courts overturned it, illegals started voting, we started losing more of the state to the left, and more illegals came, and more of them started voting, and it just got worse and worse. If it wasn't for silicon valley, this state would be bankrupt.
This is why amnesty is issue number 1. Lose on that, the entire country goes this route.
I’ve been asked to interview for some senior positions in Cali over the past 3 months. I always ask if I can work remotely as my specialty requires significant travel. When they reply ‘no’, I then turn them down and tell them why - High cost of living, high taxes, over government.
Their loss not mine. Some are still open from what I’m seeing.
Glad you are, but most are not and spread the infection ... they are mostly the reason I left WA State were I lived for 30 years.
When I relocated my family and business to Texas ten years ago, some Freepers actually told me to leave my ‘California values’ behind.
As if a conservative refugee would even harbor such degraded standards, ffs.
lots of military on the coast. I’m in O-side and work Coronado to O-side
Same problem here in NJ, despite Christie’s efforts to staunch the flow. Businesses and the taxpayers they employ are fleeing, leaving illegals and low-wage service workers.
Several states in that area are having the same scenario. People are tired and fed up with liberal Democrat tax and spend.
Sure; NY is dying too. It isn’t just being tired of the tax & spend, but the ripple effect of those policies; young people see little opportunity here (because employers are fleeing), so they move away. Parents that want to know their grandchildren follow as soon as they can (via retirement or switching jobs); it leaves a dearth of Americans, which the state governments “fix” (in their minds) with massive trafficking of Third Worlders.
In NJ and PA I’ve seen growing pockets of Indians, both taking jobs from Americans and subsequently filling housing abandoned by them.
I don't see how you can confidently assert that, unless you've seen actual studies or surveys of the voting habits and political leanings of those who've relocated from Cali to other states.
Since being in Texas, I've met Cali refugees from both sides of the aisle, but I'd have to say that most have been of the more conservative persuasion than not.
That's only my personal experience over the last ten years, and isn't scientific in any way, but I'm in sales, and talk to a whole lot of people every day.
Well, having been over run by those transplants and eventually forced out of my profession so they could feel good and seeing the same pattern repeated all over the west - I will say it,
Just look at the socialists in POTUS race - look at the regulations they are passing - they are everywhere as they achieved critical mass during B Clinton’s term. They are a cancer, an infestation on this country.
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