Posted on 02/04/2016 2:29:28 PM PST by SeekAndFind
Donald Trump continues to hold a wide lead among likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, according to a new CNN/WMUR tracking poll, with the pack vying for second place is beginning to break up.
Behind Trump's field-leading 29% support, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio climbs to second place with 18% following his strong third place finish in Iowa, followed by Ted Cruz (13%) and John Kasich (12%) in a near-tie for third. Jeb Bush holds fifth place at 10%, a hair behind Cruz and Kasich, with Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina well behind at 4% each. The fight for second place between Cruz, Rubio and Kasich remains within the survey's margin of sampling error.
The poll was conducted entirely after the Iowa caucuses.
Cruz has held steady compared with his pre-Iowa standing, while Kasich and Bush have each bumped up their share of the vote slightly, though within the margin of sampling error. Christie has lost some ground, dipping 4 points since a CNN/WMUR poll conducted before the Iowa caucuses.
The results reflect interviews conducted during the first two and a half days of a tracking poll that will ultimately wrap together three nights worth of interviews.
The poll finds that about a third of likely GOP primary voters say they're still trying to decide, just about double the share among likely Democratic voters. Those who are uncommitted to a candidate are less apt to back Trump, just 18% of those who are undecided or merely leaning toward a candidate say they favor Trump. Entrance polls in Iowa showed late-deciders there were also less apt to back Trump than their early-decider peers.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
in a rather blue state, I cannot say I’m surprised by the poll numbers.
However, it does say something about what the people taking the poll believe about the candidates, does it not?
Kasich at 12?Don’t people in New Hampshire ever talk to people in Ohio?
RE: in a rather blue state,
What ever happened to : “Live Free or Die”?
leftists moved there and destroyed the concept.
Unless of course it is the politically acceptable version of leftist-controlled anarchist movement.
That makes the fifth New Hampshire poll in a row that shows trump either stagnant or falling and showing Rubio and Cruz gaining.
Looks like its over for Teddy.
Dr. Carson attended a prayer breakfast in Washington DC today. Is he rushing to NH to campaign? If not, what about South Carolina?
RE: Looks like its over for Teddy.
Do you mean NH or the Presidential run?
At least three threads now on same poll
34% undecided
37% will not vote Trump - almost 3x Cruz’s “No way†number 13%
The freedom lovers died. The Masshole liberals escaped high taxes and corrupted NH. New motto: Live Free Until you die
.
Didn’t you say that before the Iowa Caucus?
Rubio moving up while Cruz is stagnant. Rubio has taken a few percent from Trump and a few percent from the lower tier. Kasich maybe.
Trump could fall 10 points and still be 10 points ahead of Rubio. Cruz is gaining on Kasich, that’s true.
hahahahaha
Fun times.
I expect Cruz to be stagnant in NH, for all the harping about the large number of libertarians in that state, I just don’t see it.
I guy like Sanders is extremely popular there, and that does not indicate conservative views are widely held in NH, IMO.
It depends upon which poll you use. In the latest CNN poll if Trump dropped five points and Rubio gains five points they are basically tied.
Looks like Tricky Cruz got no bump from his big win.
Pray America wakes
RE: Looks like Tricky Cruz got no bump from his big win.
Well, this news from just five hours ago shows the following:
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/02/trump-support-plummets-in-new-national-poll.html
Public Policy Polling’s latest survey shows Donald Trump tanking and Marco Rubio rising.
The Donald has fallen nine points since PPP’s December survey and now leads the Florida senator by just four points nationally, 25 to 21 percent. Rubio does share that second-place slot with Texas senator Ted Cruz, but a tie goes to Marco because:
1. Unlike Cruz, he isn’t disliked by a supermajority of the GOP who’ve met him.
2. He has more momentum, having gained eight points in support — and 28 points in favorability — since PPP’s last survey in December.
3. In a three-way race with Trump and Cruz, Rubio would be the front-runner, according to PPP.
Apparently this poll shows 37% will never vote for Trump, higher number than last.
What happened in Iowa isn’t staying in Iowa.
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