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F&M PA Poll: Trump 23, Carson 22, Rubio 13, Cruz 4
Franklin and Marshall ^ | 10/29/2015 | Franklin & Marshall

Posted on 10/29/2015 10:01:56 AM PDT by LS

Trump 23, Carson, 22, Rubio 13, Kasich 6, Cruz 4.

Oct. 19-25/ The data included in this release represent the responses of 614 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 303 Democrats, 231 Republicans, and 80 Independents. MOE: 3.9%


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: carson; cruz; election; elections; polls; trump
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This is almost exactly the same as the PPP poll of 10/8-11 with Trump at 24 and Carson at 23 and Quinnipiac before that which had Trump at 23.
1 posted on 10/29/2015 10:01:56 AM PDT by LS
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To: LS

FWIW, our primary is April 26, 2016, among the last in the nation. It is possible, but not likely, that all four of those candidates will still be candidates by then.


2 posted on 10/29/2015 10:05:37 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: LS

Why the heck would they poll Democrats in a Republican Primary, I call bunk on this poll.


3 posted on 10/29/2015 10:06:16 AM PDT by JSDude1
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To: LS

Why are they polling Democrats and Independents? This is a Republican primary, Democrats don’t get a vote.


4 posted on 10/29/2015 10:07:57 AM PDT by Eva
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To: JSDude1

They only asked Republicans. They asked the Dems about the Beast, and the Bern.


5 posted on 10/29/2015 10:08:27 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: LS
This survey included more dems than 'pubs for heaven's sake. How many Carson votes were placed by those who want to make Trump look bad? And STILL he maintained a lead!

FWIW, if I got a call about the dem candidates, I'd choose Sanders. DUHHH!

6 posted on 10/29/2015 10:08:27 AM PDT by grania
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To: JSDude1

Good catch. Pennsylvania is a closed primary state. No need to poll Democrats ore even independents for that matter.


7 posted on 10/29/2015 10:08:41 AM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: LS

I guess they polled the campus and that was all the Republicans that they could find


8 posted on 10/29/2015 10:09:01 AM PDT by Eva
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To: BigEdLB

231 Republicans? What’s the MOE? 8-10%. Meaningless.


9 posted on 10/29/2015 10:09:31 AM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: JSDude1
Why the heck would they poll Democrats in a Republican Primary, I call bunk on this poll.

They polled for both the Dem and GOP primaries, so the overall sample included both. The GOP primary poll numbers reflect only the GOP voters (and likewise, the Dem primary numbers reflect only the Dem voters).

10 posted on 10/29/2015 10:10:02 AM PDT by Conscience of a Conservative
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To: LS

Kasich over Cruz ?!?


11 posted on 10/29/2015 10:10:07 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: LS

I don’t know what people see in carson that I’m not seeing. Honestly if you told me he was the neurosurgeon I would laugh if it wasn’t all over the papers and on the web. Maybe I’m wrong. + attacking people with hammers and knives at 14 is a little scary. I was kind of crazy when I was young too and I am still a little lol and I wouldn’t want me to be present. Or him


12 posted on 10/29/2015 10:10:25 AM PDT by dp0622
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To: LS

I don’t see how they can possibly have an MOE of 3.9 with only 231 Republican if they used ANY weightings at all. As I understand it, the overall MOE can only be as good as the MOE of the least numerous weighting. So if you assume 51% female and 49% male, then the n of the males has to be about 114 respondents. That would be about a 9% moe, wouldn’t it?


13 posted on 10/29/2015 10:12:06 AM PDT by xzins (HAVE YOU DONATED TO THE FREEPATHON? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: LS

Another stinking pile of crap poll.


14 posted on 10/29/2015 10:12:14 AM PDT by gwgn02
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To: JSDude1

They polled Democrats for the Democrat primary and Republicans for the Republican primary. The sample sizes are different for the 2 polls.


15 posted on 10/29/2015 10:15:14 AM PDT by Above My Pay Grade (Donald Trump: New York City Liberal)
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To: LS

16 posted on 10/29/2015 10:19:45 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: gwgn02

But if the same poll showed Trump with a 20 point lead it would be YUGE!

It does seem like a fairly small sample size and the PA primary is a long way away, so it probably doesn’t mean all that much.

But it seems in line with other PA polls, so it would tend to confirm the current status of the race for whatever that is worth.


17 posted on 10/29/2015 10:19:50 AM PDT by Above My Pay Grade (Donald Trump: New York City Liberal)
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To: LS

It’s also a pre-debate poll, correct?


18 posted on 10/29/2015 10:19:58 AM PDT by xzins (HAVE YOU DONATED TO THE FREEPATHON? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: gwgn02

Many polls are corrupt just like the MSM/DC and the Super PACs.

A real good indicator? Watch who has the most enthusiastic massive crowds.


19 posted on 10/29/2015 10:22:12 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: LS
F&M has the most liberal piece of shart polling there is. Here is the jackwad, boot licking, joe pa worshiping asswipe that runs it.
20 posted on 10/29/2015 10:22:15 AM PDT by WakeUpAndVote
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