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Why Trump Isn't Fading Like the Establishment Expected
Washington Post via RCP ^ | 10/27/2015 | Marc Thiessen

Posted on 10/27/2015 2:26:51 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

The conventional wisdom among Donald Trump’s detractors is that his current surge in the polls won’t last because as we get closer to actual voting, Republicans excited by his political incorrectness will start factoring in “electability.” When GOP voters realize that he can’t beat Hillary Clinton, the theory goes, they will switch their support to other more electable candidates.

One problem with that theory: Right now, GOP voters believe Trump is the most electable candidate.

A new Post/ABC News poll asked GOP-leaning voters which candidate “has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2016?” The winner was Trump by a landslide. An incredible 43 percent of GOP voters say that Trump is the most electable GOP candidate. In a distant second place, Ben Carson trails Trump on electability by 27 points, while Jeb Bush — whose entire rationale for his campaign is electability — trails Trump on electability by 30 points. Since the same poll found Trump with 32 percent support, that means even GOP voters who do not support Trump still believe he is most likely to beat the Democrats in 2016. A new Associated Press-GfK poll confirms this, finding that “Seven in 10 Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters say they think Trump could win in November 2016 if he were nominated; that’s the most of any Republican candidate.”

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; donaldtrump; elections; gop; polls; trump
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To: ExTexasRedhead

I do believe the crowds tell the story.


21 posted on 10/27/2015 2:39:06 PM PDT by tioga
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To: HarleyLady27
If you think people are sick of illegal immigration now, just wait until ObaMao starts adding hundreds of thousands of Middle Eastern jihadis to the mix.

We want to be the world's boarding house even less than we want to be the world's policeman.

22 posted on 10/27/2015 2:39:15 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: tioga

Anyone know how big Hillary’s crowds are?


23 posted on 10/27/2015 2:39:47 PM PDT by tioga
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To: sparklite2

“Jeb is only hanging in because he’s ashamed to drop out.”

Nah....the guest house on the Bush Kennebunkport compound ain’t finished yet.


24 posted on 10/27/2015 2:40:03 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: Slyfox

Ya know, Rove looks every bit as evil as Harry Reid.


25 posted on 10/27/2015 2:41:09 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: SeekAndFind

Because the “establishment”, like the “progressive” Left, are in a hermetically sealed vacuum and have no clue what’s out here in the real world among REAL Americans.


26 posted on 10/27/2015 2:42:03 PM PDT by Jim W N
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To: SeekAndFind

I think Trump is farther ahead than people know. The new mission is to make it look like he isn’t to demoralize his supporters and force him to lash out at the debate.

I don’t like so many of these hokey debates. The dems hardly do any of theem so their candidates aren’t sullying each other to pieces.

FR is gettig slow as molasses today and we have those foul malware alerts. Something is going on and I hope it goes away by tomorrow.


27 posted on 10/27/2015 2:43:22 PM PDT by dforest
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To: SeekAndFind

I think Carson is leading in some nationwide polls, no?


28 posted on 10/27/2015 2:43:50 PM PDT by maineman (BC Eagles fan)
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To: SeekAndFind

Someone on CNN was saying that Carson had just risen above Trump in a National Poll. I could only read some of the closed captions. Anyone know what poll they were talking about?


29 posted on 10/27/2015 2:44:09 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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To: mlizzy

Can you not comprehend that if we lose the country to a permanent Democrat super-majority, we lose ALL the issues forever?


30 posted on 10/27/2015 2:46:18 PM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: dp0622
Could Trump get 20 percent of black vote?

I've read two different articles that state he already has 25% of Black America's vote.

Politics make strange bedfellows.

Cher: Trump a giant among 2016 GOP
The Hill  | 10/23/15 | Caitlin Yilek

Cher appears to be throwing her support behind 2016 Republican front-runner Donald Trump.

In a tweet Friday, the Grammy Award-winning singer tweeted "Never thought I'd say... Donald Trump is a Giant Among Gop front runners!!? She lambasted other GOP presidential candidates in the same tweet: "Cruz = devil. Rubio = RAGE AGAINST WOMEN. Carson = JUST TELL ME WHY?!?

Trump later thanked the singer for her support.

"So nice of @Cher --- greatly appreciated," Trump tweeted.

31 posted on 10/27/2015 2:47:01 PM PDT by VideoDoctor
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To: dp0622

Possible, especially because Tyson said Trump will run the country like a business, where if does not matter your skin color if you can do the job....paraphrasing.


32 posted on 10/27/2015 2:48:42 PM PDT by entropy12 (If you do not DEPORT ALL ILLEGALS, it is Amnesty! Only Trump dares utter the words "DEPORT ILLEGALS")
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To: SeekAndFind
"..as we get closer to actual voting, Republicans excited by his political incorrectness will start factoring in “electability.”... they will switch their support to other more electable candidates."

Such as Jebbie..

33 posted on 10/27/2015 2:50:16 PM PDT by ForYourChildren (Christian Education [ RomanRoadsMedia.com - Classical Christian Approach to Homeschool ])
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To: stephenjohnbanker

For me, Rove resembles Juan.


34 posted on 10/27/2015 2:52:14 PM PDT by Paladin2 (my non-desktop devices are no longer allowed to try to fix speling and punctuation, nor my gran-mah.)
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To: Paladin2

yep


35 posted on 10/27/2015 2:54:47 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: Irish Eyes

Trash SeeBS/NYT poll with 6% MoE. = lame


36 posted on 10/27/2015 2:59:38 PM PDT by Gasshog (DemoKKKrats: Leaders of the Free Stuff World)
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To: sparklite2

Jeb’s father is ashamed too.


37 posted on 10/27/2015 3:06:46 PM PDT by Eddie01 (Soul Finger by the Bar-Kays)
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To: SeekAndFind

WAPO is pushing a rope.


38 posted on 10/27/2015 3:18:11 PM PDT by VTenigma (The Democratic party is the party of the mathematically challenged)
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To: SeekAndFind

Today, a new New York Times/CBS national poll has Carson beating Trump, Carson at 26% and Trump at 22% with a six point margin of error.

Trump said there are numerous polls out there. So, he isn’t taking this one seriously and says he is surprised he isn’t leading in Iowa.


39 posted on 10/27/2015 3:21:48 PM PDT by Marcella (CRUZ (Prepping can save you life today.))
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump live in 36 minutes—Sioux City Iowa:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZj2S1QvrC0


40 posted on 10/27/2015 3:22:51 PM PDT by exit82 ("The Taliban is on the inside of the building" E. Nordstrom 10-10-12)
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