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Donald Trump Beating Jeb Bush even in Florida, New 2016 Poll Finds
Sunshine State News ^ | 07/29/2015 | Kevin Derby

Posted on 07/29/2015 1:33:02 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Businessman Donald Trump has been surging in polls at the state and national levels and a new one shows him leading in Florida, the home turf of Republican primary rivals former Gov. Jeb Bush and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla.

St. Pete Polls released a survey on behalf of Saint Petersblog on Wednesday which shows Trump in the lead in the Sunshine State with 26 percent. Bush places second with 20 percent. Most polls at this early stage in the process have shown Bush with a solid lead in Florida.

Gov. Scott Walker, R-Wis., places third with 12 percent followed by Rubio with 10 percent.

The rest of the field stands in single digits. Dr. Ben Carson, who moved to South Florida after ending his celebrated medical career, pulls 5 percent. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Gov. John Kasich pull 4 percent each. U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., garners 3 percent.

Other Republican presidential hopefuls and undecided voters make up 16 percent of the total surveyed.

The poll finds Bush leading Trump with voters under the age of 30 but the businessman and reality TV star beats the former governor among all other voters.

Trump has a commanding lead over Bush in some of the key TV markets in the state, including Orlando and Tampa, but he has a smaller lead in Miami, Fort Myers, Pensacola and Jacksonville. Bush is ahead in Tallahassee and Gainesville and runs even with Trump in Panama City.

The poll of 1,902 Florida Republicans was taken from July 18-28 and had a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percent.

“The poll was conducted through a Web-based email polling system,” St. Pete Polls noted. “The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the demographics of the active Republican primary election voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting demographics used were: race, age, gender and media market. The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered voter population within the state of Florida. The random sample used was made up of a sampling of registered Republican Party voters from the state of Florida.”


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: Florida; US: New York; US: Ohio; US: Texas; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016election; abortion; arkansas; bencarson; bush; deathpanels; donaldtrump; election2016; florida; jebbush; johnkasich; marcorubio; mikehuckabee; newyork; obamacare; ohio; scottwalker; tedcruz; texas; trump; wisconsin; zerocare
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1 posted on 07/29/2015 1:33:02 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

So, Rubio and Carson should quit. Bush really needs to reflect on this if he cannot even lead in his home state of Florida. (Bet he’d do better in adopted Mexico.)


2 posted on 07/29/2015 1:36:29 PM PDT by Reno89519 (American Lives Matter! US Citizen, Veteran, Conservative, Republican. I vote. Trump 2016.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Wait a minute... according to our mass media pundits, the Republicrat Bush is leading everyone, everywhere, and will clearly be the Next President!


3 posted on 07/29/2015 1:38:09 PM PDT by Jack Hammer
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To: SeekAndFind


Reince Priebus........Jeb Bush....

Combatting those rascally insurgents like Trump
4 posted on 07/29/2015 1:40:05 PM PDT by BigEdLB (They need to target the 'Ministry of Virtue' which has nothing to do with virtue.)
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To: SeekAndFind

This poll is stunning.


5 posted on 07/29/2015 1:41:48 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance.)
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To: Jack Hammer

We have been down the primrose path of establishment Republicanism. We voted for McCain, Romney, the Republican Senate... They had their chance, and they dropped the ball. Trump is a ball buster. After eight years of Obama, the only thing acceptable is a ball buster. RINO doesn’t cut it. They HAD their chance.


6 posted on 07/29/2015 1:42:40 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: SeekAndFind
Jeb: I'm Not an Angry Conservative

We Know !!

7 posted on 07/29/2015 1:44:27 PM PDT by TexasCajun ( “A liberal is someone who thinks he knows more about your experience than you do.“)
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To: SeekAndFind

Not an exact analogy, but remember that Al Gore lost the election to George Bush because he couldn’t even carry HIS HOME STATE!!!!

Jeb Bush should be very concerned....


8 posted on 07/29/2015 1:45:24 PM PDT by Nabber
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Interesting break out for the eight respondents;

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1744 responses
Cruz: 4.4% Paul: 3.6% Rubio: 8.4% Carson: 4.5% Bush: 19.1% Trump: 26.7% Walker: 12.7% Kasich: 4.4%
Unsure or Someone Else: 16.3%

Black, Not Hispanic 12 responses
Cruz: 0% Paul: 0% Rubio: 8.3% Carson: 0% Bush: 33.3% Trump: 25.0% Walker: 8.3% Kasich: 8.3%
Unsure or Someone Else: 16.7%

Asian or Pacific Islander 15 responses
Cruz: 13.3% Paul: 0% Rubio: 0% Carson: 20.0% Bush: 20.0% Trump: 6.7% Walker: 6.7% Kasich: 6.7%
Unsure or Someone Else: 26.7%

Hispanic 105 responses
Cruz: 1.9% Paul: 2.9% Rubio: 26.7% Carson: 1.0% Bush: 33.3% Trump: 22.9% Walker: 3.8% Kasich: 1.0%
Unsure or Someone Else: 6.7%

Other or Unknown 26 responses
Cruz: 0% Paul: 0% Rubio: 19.2% Carson: 7.7% Bush: 23.1% Trump: 26.9% Walker: 11.5% Kasich: 0%
Unsure or Someone Else: 11.5%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 1177 responses
Cruz: 4.0% Paul: 4.4% Rubio: 8.2% Carson: 3.7% Bush: 20.3% Trump: 28.2% Walker: 13.1% Kasich: 4.6%
Unsure or Someone Else: 13.4%

Female 725 responses
Cruz: 4.6% Paul: 1.9% Rubio: 11.4% Carson: 5.5% Bush: 19.6% Trump: 23.2% Walker: 10.6% Kasich: 3.6%
Unsure or Someone Else: 19.6%

http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2015_StatePRI_REP_July_28_A8WJ.pdf


9 posted on 07/29/2015 1:46:51 PM PDT by deport
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To: tennmountainman

10 posted on 07/29/2015 1:52:21 PM PDT by GoneSalt
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Comment #11 Removed by Moderator

To: SeekAndFind

“The poll was conducted through a Web-based email polling system”

During the GW Bush Presidency, I was involved with a test by Zogby to see if internet polling worked okay.

It would not seem to matter, if you reached a respondent by phone or by email, everything else being the same.


12 posted on 07/29/2015 1:54:33 PM PDT by truth_seeker (come with the outlws.)
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To: SeekAndFind

What time is Jeb’s next appearance on Telemundo?


13 posted on 07/29/2015 1:54:38 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: Reno89519

So, Rubio and Carson should quit. Bush really needs to reflect on this if he cannot even lead in his home state of Florida. (Bet he’d do better in adopted Mexico.)
=========================================================== “The rest of the field stands in single digits. Dr. Ben Carson, who moved to South Florida after ending his celebrated medical career, pulls 5 percent. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Gov. John Kasich pull 4 percent each. U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., garners 3 percent.”


14 posted on 07/29/2015 1:54:47 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject")
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To: SeekAndFind

I see McCain is saying to back off bashing Trump. The establishment is scared to death.


15 posted on 07/29/2015 2:01:45 PM PDT by headstamp 2
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To: headstamp 2

the established political class is waiting for a meltdown in polls (unforced error) and circling the wagons to deny access to party assets.


16 posted on 07/29/2015 2:03:09 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: headstamp 2

Haha, they must be worried Trump may actually be president and have way more power than they do.


17 posted on 07/29/2015 2:07:30 PM PDT by dandiegirl (BO)
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To: SeekAndFind

Jeb’s Spanish language interview gaffes have pushed him completely out of the running. Looks like Jeb may never recover.

Jeb should consider doing the honorable thing and withdraw from the race.


18 posted on 07/29/2015 2:13:36 PM PDT by o2bfree (Note to GOP Establishment Liberals: No more continuing budget resolutions!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

But, but...Jeb can speak Spanish.

Doesn’t that mean anything to these crazies?!


19 posted on 07/29/2015 2:21:39 PM PDT by Paulie (America without Christianity is like a Chemistry book without the periodic table.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I still am amazed at the number of people who chatter that Trump:

1.) is not serious

2.) doesn’t really want to be president

3.) is a stalking horse for Hillary

4.) will say something that will torpedo his campaign

5.) the dumbest one of all - that people will tire of him

Americans are outraged at the gutless fools destroying the country by legal and illegal immigration and other travesties. Trump comes along, and, for the first time ever, addresses the issues directly. Americans are, supposedly, going to say, “Well he is saying what I believe”, then say, “Hell, that was fun, but we should go back to the spineless jellyfish that are destroying the country and let them finish their work.” Yes, that completely logical.


20 posted on 07/29/2015 2:22:17 PM PDT by odawg
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