Posted on 07/29/2015 1:33:02 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Businessman Donald Trump has been surging in polls at the state and national levels and a new one shows him leading in Florida, the home turf of Republican primary rivals former Gov. Jeb Bush and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla.
St. Pete Polls released a survey on behalf of Saint Petersblog on Wednesday which shows Trump in the lead in the Sunshine State with 26 percent. Bush places second with 20 percent. Most polls at this early stage in the process have shown Bush with a solid lead in Florida.
Gov. Scott Walker, R-Wis., places third with 12 percent followed by Rubio with 10 percent.
The rest of the field stands in single digits. Dr. Ben Carson, who moved to South Florida after ending his celebrated medical career, pulls 5 percent. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Gov. John Kasich pull 4 percent each. U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., garners 3 percent.
Other Republican presidential hopefuls and undecided voters make up 16 percent of the total surveyed.
The poll finds Bush leading Trump with voters under the age of 30 but the businessman and reality TV star beats the former governor among all other voters.
Trump has a commanding lead over Bush in some of the key TV markets in the state, including Orlando and Tampa, but he has a smaller lead in Miami, Fort Myers, Pensacola and Jacksonville. Bush is ahead in Tallahassee and Gainesville and runs even with Trump in Panama City.
The poll of 1,902 Florida Republicans was taken from July 18-28 and had a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percent.
The poll was conducted through a Web-based email polling system, St. Pete Polls noted. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the demographics of the active Republican primary election voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting demographics used were: race, age, gender and media market. The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered voter population within the state of Florida. The random sample used was made up of a sampling of registered Republican Party voters from the state of Florida.
So, Rubio and Carson should quit. Bush really needs to reflect on this if he cannot even lead in his home state of Florida. (Bet he’d do better in adopted Mexico.)
Wait a minute... according to our mass media pundits, the Republicrat Bush is leading everyone, everywhere, and will clearly be the Next President!
This poll is stunning.
We have been down the primrose path of establishment Republicanism. We voted for McCain, Romney, the Republican Senate... They had their chance, and they dropped the ball. Trump is a ball buster. After eight years of Obama, the only thing acceptable is a ball buster. RINO doesn’t cut it. They HAD their chance.
We Know !!
Not an exact analogy, but remember that Al Gore lost the election to George Bush because he couldn’t even carry HIS HOME STATE!!!!
Jeb Bush should be very concerned....
Interesting break out for the eight respondents;
Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 1744 responses
Cruz: 4.4% Paul: 3.6% Rubio: 8.4% Carson: 4.5% Bush: 19.1% Trump: 26.7% Walker: 12.7% Kasich: 4.4%
Unsure or Someone Else: 16.3%
Black, Not Hispanic 12 responses
Cruz: 0% Paul: 0% Rubio: 8.3% Carson: 0% Bush: 33.3% Trump: 25.0% Walker: 8.3% Kasich: 8.3%
Unsure or Someone Else: 16.7%
Asian or Pacific Islander 15 responses
Cruz: 13.3% Paul: 0% Rubio: 0% Carson: 20.0% Bush: 20.0% Trump: 6.7% Walker: 6.7% Kasich: 6.7%
Unsure or Someone Else: 26.7%
Hispanic 105 responses
Cruz: 1.9% Paul: 2.9% Rubio: 26.7% Carson: 1.0% Bush: 33.3% Trump: 22.9% Walker: 3.8% Kasich: 1.0%
Unsure or Someone Else: 6.7%
Other or Unknown 26 responses
Cruz: 0% Paul: 0% Rubio: 19.2% Carson: 7.7% Bush: 23.1% Trump: 26.9% Walker: 11.5% Kasich: 0%
Unsure or Someone Else: 11.5%
Gender Breakdown:
Male 1177 responses
Cruz: 4.0% Paul: 4.4% Rubio: 8.2% Carson: 3.7% Bush: 20.3% Trump: 28.2% Walker: 13.1% Kasich: 4.6%
Unsure or Someone Else: 13.4%
Female 725 responses
Cruz: 4.6% Paul: 1.9% Rubio: 11.4% Carson: 5.5% Bush: 19.6% Trump: 23.2% Walker: 10.6% Kasich: 3.6%
Unsure or Someone Else: 19.6%
http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2015_StatePRI_REP_July_28_A8WJ.pdf
“The poll was conducted through a Web-based email polling system”
During the GW Bush Presidency, I was involved with a test by Zogby to see if internet polling worked okay.
It would not seem to matter, if you reached a respondent by phone or by email, everything else being the same.
What time is Jeb’s next appearance on Telemundo?
So, Rubio and Carson should quit. Bush really needs to reflect on this if he cannot even lead in his home state of Florida. (Bet hed do better in adopted Mexico.)
=========================================================== “The rest of the field stands in single digits. Dr. Ben Carson, who moved to South Florida after ending his celebrated medical career, pulls 5 percent. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Gov. John Kasich pull 4 percent each. U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., garners 3 percent.”
I see McCain is saying to back off bashing Trump. The establishment is scared to death.
the established political class is waiting for a meltdown in polls (unforced error) and circling the wagons to deny access to party assets.
Haha, they must be worried Trump may actually be president and have way more power than they do.
Jeb’s Spanish language interview gaffes have pushed him completely out of the running. Looks like Jeb may never recover.
Jeb should consider doing the honorable thing and withdraw from the race.
But, but...Jeb can speak Spanish.
Doesn’t that mean anything to these crazies?!
I still am amazed at the number of people who chatter that Trump:
1.) is not serious
2.) doesn’t really want to be president
3.) is a stalking horse for Hillary
4.) will say something that will torpedo his campaign
5.) the dumbest one of all - that people will tire of him
Americans are outraged at the gutless fools destroying the country by legal and illegal immigration and other travesties. Trump comes along, and, for the first time ever, addresses the issues directly. Americans are, supposedly, going to say, “Well he is saying what I believe”, then say, “Hell, that was fun, but we should go back to the spineless jellyfish that are destroying the country and let them finish their work.” Yes, that completely logical.
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