Posted on 06/10/2015 3:16:21 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Tea Party hero's roadmap to the presidency borrows from the failed presidential runs of Ron Paul and Rudy Giuliani.
Its sometimes easy to forget that Ted Cruz is running for president. While other 2016 Republican candidates are out giving big speeches and attaching themselves to causes and making trips to Europe, Cruz has stayed relatively quiet, which is strange given that his animating purpose up to this point has been to loudly remind you that Ted Cruz exists. The biggest headlines Cruz has earned for himself lately were for a dumb joke he told about Joe Biden just after the vice presidents son died (Cruz quickly apologized).
Thats not to say he hasnt been busy, though. Despite middling poll numbers and no shortage of people who despise him, Ted Cruz thinks hes got the perfect plan to win the White House. As Politico reports this morning, Ted Cruz is embracing a novel strategy for winning the nomination: Hes lowering expectations in the early states while investing in later-voting states that hardly see a candidate before March. At the same time that hes downplaying Iowa and New Hampshire, Cruz is talking in terms of a drawn-out delegate fight that will win him the nomination by virtue of attrition:
But Cruzs team is bracing for a long fight based on picking up delegates a battle they plan to stretch all the way to the convention, where, the theory goes, hell be the last conservative standing though a contested convention hasnt happened in nearly 40 years.
Politico calls this a novel strategy that defies the usual wisdom and historical precedent. But Cruzs plan isnt quite so original. Its actually a mash-up of two failed strategies from two recent failed Republican presidential candidates: Rudy Giuliani and Ron Paul.
While he exists now as a corrupt and cartoon-like political punchline, there was a brief period of time in which Rudy Giuliani was a well-regarded public figure. He was Americas Mayor or Mayor of the World, depending on who you asked. Rudy leaned on that image of post-9/11 tough-guy heroism to run for president in 2008, and quickly emerged as the popular and well-funded runaway favorite for the nomination. Then Republican voters got a close-up look at him and realized that he was relatively moderate, didnt actually care about campaigning, and was very much a weirdo.
His support in the early states plummeted, and so Giuliani started telling reporters that his strategy all along was to forget about Iowa and New Hampshire and focus on Florida, where he planned to score a big win that would slingshot him to the nomination. He lost badly in all the early states, but kept insisting that his forthcoming Florida victory would set things right. That didnt happen Rudy finished third in Florida behind John McCain and Mitt Romney, then dropped out of the race. The problem with the Giuliani strategy was that when you lose contest after contest, its tough to convince people to stick with you, especially if your response is to downplay the significance of those losses. Theyd rather be with someone whos putting up victories and has momentum, not someone whos making excuses for why more people arent supporting him.
As for the delegate fight, this was the longstanding dream of Ron Paul supporters who envisioned a guerilla campaign that would upset the establishment and tilt the nomination their way via a brokered convention. Ron Pauls 2012 campaign manager said as much during an interview in March of that year, explaining how like Ted Cruz now they were going to fight in traditionally overlooked states like Texas and California and stay in this race until hes the nominee or another candidate has 1,444 bound delegates. We see a brokered convention situation as very likely.
The problem here is the problem that bedeviled Paul: money. Running a long-slog campaign and fighting hard for every delegate is an expensive proposition. Moneybombs from Ron Pauls base of fanatical devotees kept his lean campaign operation afloat, but he just couldnt fight on the same level as other late-game candidates like Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. Cruzs own fundraising operation seems to have some punch to it now, but the trick is making it last. Its one thing to tell donors at the outset that youre fighting to the finish, and quite another to convince them to stay on board while everyone else is defecting to the frontrunners camp.
Our strategy is taking it to the convention, Cruzs political director told Politico, which is why youve seen us announcing chairmen in California and New Jersey, as well as Iowa and New Hampshire. Cruzs campaign is banking on two assumptions: that Republican voters will rally behind a candidate who doesnt win early, and that the party will forsake the convenience of coalescing behind a frontrunner in favor of a bruising delegate fight. Different candidates have tested these assumptions before and lost. Cruz seems to think the key to success is to test them both at the same time.
Just the usual boring crap from the left who are trying to take Cruz down because they know he is the only one who has balls to overturn their messiahs EO’s and radical laws he has done.
Cant read salon articles. just about the only one I cant stomach at all. but i’ll assume they tried to rip apart Cruz, which means he must be doing well.
First order of business is to get The Jebster to self destruct.
“Its sometimes easy to forget that Ted Cruz is running for president.”
Not with these left idiots attacking him several times a day!
You know how I know that Ted Cruz is gaining traction? Articles like this.
++++
Exactly. The Flak Principle certainly applies here.
You know you’re over the target ...
He does scare the crap out of them, that’s for sure.
L
Holy Crap! This isn’t writing for any publication. It hardly rises above bathroom graffiti.
So Cruz is the one to watch.
Yep. They’re scared. Keep it up Rats.
Somehow I doubt whether Simon Maloy was planning to vote for Cruz but has been put off by what he says.
Smell the fear. It smells like...victory...
.
Hey, Maloy, better watch out!
That ingenious strategy of Republican moderates chasing after phantom moderate and independent votes only to concede graciously to the Left are over. This time around, I doubt that many conservatives will hold their nose for an establishment Republican candidate.
Yeah, they’re both white guys with dark hair.
Well ignoring him obviously wasn’t working. LOL
Ted Cruz in his own words on TPP before the cockroaches start crapping all over the floor.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sznh5AjageI&feature=youtu.be&t=3127
>>First order of business is to get The Jebster to self destruct.<<
In progress with no external assistance.
$10 says Simon has never...you know...”been with” a girl
Usually these lib writers are creepy. This guy looks like he’d be OK, if someone would just unscrew his head and change the battery, or something.
I’ll see your ten and raise you $20. It’s that creepy smile.
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