Just poll independents and you will find most of them regret voting for Obama.
These numbers look accurate, maybe a little high for NC.
Our Free Republic is right now hanging by a thread, if conservatives fail to win a significant number of seats, so much so that John McCain and his ilk can’t switch parties to give the balance back to the dems, then our Free Republic is doomed.
It cannot be persevered any longer, it must be restored, and that will not happen without the shedding of blood IMO!
I think on election night...the Arkansas story will be the biggest item that they focus on. Tons of outside money brought in, and Tom Cotton somehow focused the voter on a more positive message. Pryor was given every single dollar possible and could not sell a positive campaign.
Besides the results, it’s an interesting prism into media thinking (and Silver is the darling of the media). Everything is measured by how Democrats will fare. Every story, pool, primary, etc. It’s a view of the built in bias.
What has the demo senator of NC done to help her cause? Or should it be what has the republican done to her cause? I don’t know.
If I understand it correctly, they’ve got the demo in South Carolina favored. I have a difficult time buying that one. Yeah, I don’t like Lindsey but I don’t see a demo winning SC.
I don’t think its as much the money as it is bad candidates.
In NC, *I* would be able to beat Kay Hagan. Instead, the GOPe fielded the only candidate that probably CAN’T.(I think he’s an embarrassment and probably a RINO at heart). They had to run a smear campaign to beat out the real conservative during the primary.
Here in VA we got ED GILLESPIE to run against Warner! I’m not sure that Warner was beatable, but a good conservative candidate could have fired up the base and made a good case, showing Warner to be the 0bama lapdog that he is. The GOPe obviously brought us that one too. I live here, and if I didn’t keep up with this stuff, I wouldn’t even KNOW that anyone is even running against Warner, if I were a ‘low information voter’.....
Americans need more reasons to vote GOP other than Democrats
Bad, Harry Reid evil.
There is no vision or plan coming from the GOP if power is given to
them.
Democrats bad, Harry Reid evil will not be enough.
Voter fraud factoring in.
This is how they prepare for the cheatin’. They send ole Nate out to declare it neck and neck, and then they cheat.
Thing is, what will we do about it when they are cheating?
If it is nothing, then 2016 is already over.
Too many people I work to engage are, "just too busy" or don't have time, but "will be sure to vote".
If just 15% of the people who consistently vote and vote conservative would recruit one new voter or change just one democrat voter's mind we would crush the libs and keep them down for years to come.
Republicans can’t win elections by running on the fact that they aren’t Democrats.
That is the current GOP strategy, and it will fail.
Here in NC, Thom Tillis is running the sorriest campaign I have ever seen. Kay Hagan is wisely keeping her mouth shut so she won’t reveal just how incorrigibly stupid she is, while a slew of outside groups are cutting Tillis to pieces. His response? Ubiquitous ads touting how be used to be a short-order cook and a warehouse worker. Even I am sick of seeing them.
All but impossible to get the least bit animated over the coming elections. With repulsive characters like Graham and McConnell running, and the absolutely sleazy and vile situation in Mississippi with Cochran, it’s become an election cycle that I don’t particularly see any representation of my views or ideology. Heck, and just last week, the Republican senate candidate was apparently all-out running on and endorsing fag-marriage! Good Lord!
I actually used to look forward to election seasons, and getting all wrapped up in the competitive excitement. But these days, I just look at the GOP and it makes me want to vomit.
No it’s not the money. It’s Tea Partiers who are done voting for RINOs.
Count me as one of them.
Hold all our seats (including KS)
pick-up MT, SD and WV (each one virtually conceded at this point)
NOW COMES THE HARD PART
Holding KS
Win the following states where we look to be slightly ahead: AK, AR, LA (probably going to a run-off)
THAT MAKES SIX (i.e., 51 and control of the Senate)
NOW COMES THE EASY PART because we don’t need any of the following to make it to 51.
CO, IA, MI, NC and NH
CO - purple - we always knew this was going to be a competitive situation, there are tough races for Governor AND Senator, other important down ticket races, we may be slightly behind at this point
IA - purple - this looks like a dead heat, Republican Governor looks to be re-elected in a walk, two competitive Congressional races (out of four)
MI - same as CO
NH - purple state - Democrat Governor looks to be re-elected in a walk; on the other hand, we look to win back both Congressional seats, we seem to be slightly behind at this point
NC - slightly red, we should win this one, but Thom Tillis is catching flak for Republican cuts to the state budget., we seem to be slightly behind at this point
The prognostication would seem to be +6 to 7, with the possibility of +11
The Democrats are continually readjusting their backstops. Do they pursue pick-up opportunities in GA and/or KY? Do they concede MT, SD and/or WV? Their strategy seems, at this point, be to try to keep their losses to three and be happy that an independent has messed up the computer models in Kansas.
So much for the lame “quietly run out the clock” strategy by the senate election campaign.
Vote fraud if SC goes dem.
Not necessarily. There is absolutely no unity in the Republican party. The establishment tries to undermine conservative, Tea Party candidates and puts forth uninspiring candidates on one hand. And, on the other, we have those that so intent on finding the perfect conservative candidate, they reject acceptably conservative candidates.
House divided can't stand.
So the percentages have changed nearly 10 points in two weeks based on what? The great way things are going in the Obama led disasters of foreign and domestic policy?
Nate Silver, please.