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Hold all our seats (including KS)

pick-up MT, SD and WV (each one virtually conceded at this point)

NOW COMES THE HARD PART

Holding KS

Win the following states where we look to be slightly ahead: AK, AR, LA (probably going to a run-off)

THAT MAKES SIX (i.e., 51 and control of the Senate)

NOW COMES THE EASY PART because we don’t need any of the following to make it to 51.

CO, IA, MI, NC and NH

CO - purple - we always knew this was going to be a competitive situation, there are tough races for Governor AND Senator, other important down ticket races, we may be slightly behind at this point

IA - purple - this looks like a dead heat, Republican Governor looks to be re-elected in a walk, two competitive Congressional races (out of four)

MI - same as CO

NH - purple state - Democrat Governor looks to be re-elected in a walk; on the other hand, we look to win back both Congressional seats, we seem to be slightly behind at this point

NC - slightly red, we should win this one, but Thom Tillis is catching flak for Republican cuts to the state budget., we seem to be slightly behind at this point

The prognostication would seem to be +6 to 7, with the possibility of +11

The Democrats are continually readjusting their backstops. Do they pursue pick-up opportunities in GA and/or KY? Do they concede MT, SD and/or WV? Their strategy seems, at this point, be to try to keep their losses to three and be happy that an independent has messed up the computer models in Kansas.