Posted on 05/09/2014 8:39:19 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT
THIS IS FOR THE MOUNTAIN WEST (Rest of the country is in separate threads and Pacific Coast coming later, see links below)
There are numerous important House Primary Races! And places where we can WIN! PLEASE contribute! And if you can't contribute money ... the least we can do is go to their pages and give them a "like" or a tweet. All of these candidates are involved in primaries that are close (or could be close) against generally more moderate or liberal Republicans. All of these districts are winnable in November.
Nevada:
NIGER INNIS, NEVADA-4, June 10th .... winner faces DEM Horsford
NIGER INNIS -- FACEBOOK -- TWITTER -- DONATE
"We cannot have a meaningful discussion about the legalization of millions of immigrants here illegally until we secure the border and that includes tightening oversight on those visiting on visas."
IDAHO:
BRYAN SMITH, IOWA-3, MAY 20th ... opposing incumbent GOP Mike Simpson
Bryan Smith -- FACEBOOK -- TWITTER -- DONATE
Endorsed by: Club for Growth PAC, FreedomWorks PAC, Citizens United, National Association for Gun Rights, Senate Conservatives Fund
Smith says: "Mike Simpson was one of three Republicans who voted in favor of ACORN funding. Simpson has repeatedly voted to raise taxes including voting with liberal Democrats in 2010 against cutting one hundred billion dollars from the federal budget."
Texas:
Francisco "Quico" Canseco, TEX-23, he is in the May 27 run-off
QUICO CANSECO -- FACEBOOK -- TWITTER -- DONATE
Has endorsement of Texas Right to Life. Former congressman has best shot to win the seat back.
"I look forward to being on the campaign trail the next 12 weeks as I seek to secure the Republican nomination. Texans deserve the best nominee to stand up against government waste and Gallego's Obamacare and I believe I am the best candidate for that."
Montana:
MATT ROSENDALE, MONTANA-at large, June 3rd .... either Rosendale or Stapleton needs to defeat Republican Zinke.
MATT ROSENDALE -- FACEBOOK -- TWITTER -- DONATE
"Montana represents the best of what we as a family believe in: God, liberty and a fundamental right to living our lives without the pressing hand of an intrusive government."
Conservatives are alarmed that moderate Zinke could win the primary. Read article here.
I’m giving him one last shot. If he can’t take the primary, that’s it. I consider him in a far different class than Oberweis. I don’t believe he’ll lose the seat in this climate in the general election. It’s still a GOP seat.
The State Treasurer (R) is retiring after one term, appearently that’s in keeping with a campaign promise to serve 1 term and work to abolish the office, weird. 2 Republicans running for that. 4 are gunning for LaFollawful.
Gotta win those downballot races.
As an aside, Lonegan already has $2.7 million. Dem Belgard only has $400k. That’s respectable for a challenger, but not when they’re being outspent by that wide a margin.
I was thinking for the AG race, maybe the Dems could bring back that powerhouse, Peggy Drunkenslaughter. She was a real treat who thought she’d be the next Governor.
He HAD that much money at the end of the 2013. Must have spent it all or something, I don’t know what happened to it but it’s gone, Senate race debt to pay off would be my guess.
The latest FEC reports
Show cash on hand as Belgard, 326K, Lonegan 172K, McArthur 1.7 Million (of his own money, he hadn’t started fundraising by the time of the report)
Oh the *itch that lost the primary, I forgot about her. Yeesh. She’d had the nerve to accuse Walker of breaking the law.
Ralph Hall is 91 years old, and faces a very tough primary run-off. I think that we can safely assume that, win or lose, this will be his final election. I don’t know enough about Ratcliffe, but his lack of a record makes me a bit wary. I think that, if I had my druthers, Hall would hold on in the run-off, serve one final term, and permit a wide-open primary process in 2016 with vetted conservatives running for the seat. One guy on which I’ve got my eye is state Representative Scott Turner, a black conservative (and former football player) who represents all of Rockwall County and part of Collin County and who was first elected in 2012. http://scottturnerfortexas.com/about/
I go by OpenSecrets on the money. One of them has to be wrong. If he has that little amount of money, there’s no way he can mount a credible race.
Hall said himself he’s just running the one last time. It’s to break the record of the oldest person to win a House race (he just broke the record of oldest serving in the House in this current term).
I use the green papers which link to the FEC reports.
Google appears to confirm that Lonegan doesn’t have much money.
http://www.politickernj.com/72594/cd3-race-lonegan-reports-172k-cash-hand
From Link 2
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
Lonegan, who was the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate last year, said he knew he wouldn’t have nearly as much money as MacArthur, but that he will win because he’s the “true, solid conservative in the race with a known background with taxpayers and the voters in that district.”
“I’m not going to buy a congressional seat,” Lonegan said. “I could put a lot more money in the race. I’m not going to because you don’t buy your seat. You earn it.”
Political forecasters predict a competitive general election in the district.
Aimee Belgard, the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination in the district, raised $227,468 in the first three months of 2014, bringing her total raised since beginning her campaign last year to $403,411. She has $325,725 in the bank.
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
Who holds that?
Correction: Hall already broke the record in 2012. There were a few individuals running in the 1920s that came close. Charles Manly Stedman (D-NC) held the prior record of oldest to serve, though he won his last term at 87, but I don’t know if when he died if he was running again (when he would’ve been 89 years and 9 months+). Isaac R. Sherwood (D-OH) also won his last term in 1922 at the age of 87, but he still ran for another term at 89 years and 2 months+ in 1924, but was defeated.
If Stedman was an active candidate in 1930, he’d have held the oldest to run, otherwise Sherwood held the title (though he was defeated, so that wouldn’t be a record). Hall was 89 years and 6 months when he won reelection in 2012. He became the first member of the House to serve past the age of 90. He’ll have the record unquestionably this year, IF he wins renomination. At the end of the next term (if he wins), he’ll be exactly 93 years and 8 months on January 3, 2017.
the Kings are gonna own some kinda record soon ...
Road wins? I hope the Hawks put a stop to that!
Poll out from Gravis
Hall 46%, Ratcliffe 38%
It’s GOOD news. The campaign must not take it for granted and should continue to work as if their behind.
Have seen a few campaigns where the staff thought the money was going to do it all, (and I admit it’s one of the top deciding factors)...and they lost.
Too funny and too true.
“But he’d be running against a local rat this time, Burlington County Freeholder Aimee Belgard.”
I’d only add that the election against Booker was a special election with very low voter which most always favors Republicans. An unlikeable outsider against a county native will not fare at all well. It is an excellent point you made, that I plan to use frequently ‘til June 3rd.
It’s just barely a GOP seat. Runyan won it by two in 2010. You can thank the people who had the savvy to back Runyan then, (and for the most part that didn’t include Lonegan’s hardcore fans) that we can, for the moment count it among our own.
Yep, it has a Cook PVI rating of R+1 and it was held by a RAT prior to Runyan (barely) taking it in the strong GOP year of 2010. It is a swing seat that was last held by a Republican, not a "Republican seat", and that's a big distinction.
Running a guy with a 0 wins - 5 losses track record of seeking higher office is exactly the kind of candidate that could snatch defeat from victory in an otherwise strong GOP year, something his fan club is oblivious too. One of the reasons we didn't win all the races we expected to in 2010 was because of nominating candidates like that (Sharron Angle, etc.)
I see Sarah Palin has endorsed Lonegan now. A bunch of freepers will love that but in my mind its another poor endorsement she made that will go nowhere. (not to say all her endorsements are bad -- most of them are actually quite good). Other than that I haven't heard much about this race lately besides Lonegan lagging behind.
I serious doubt this is Lonegan's "last campaign" though. He sworn up and down that last time, saying if voters didn't elect him that he'd go back to the private sector, and only a few months later he "changed his mind" and even relocated to a new part of the state so he could run for this open house seat. And if his fan club hasn't figure out after five straight losses for higher office to give someone else a chance, I doubt a sixth loss in 2014 will do anything to damper their enthusiasm.
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