Posted on 10/19/2012 8:22:58 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
In this video commentary, I discuss how there are now new swing states that have even better prospects for Romney and Republican Senate hopefuls than the original ones.
(Excerpt) Read more at dickmorris.com ...
Thoughts?
I thought Morris was suggesting a big win where worrying about OH was not necessary.
Yesterday Morris was talking landslide now he’s telling Mitt to go for Mi and Pa and not so much for Ohio as it’s very tough for him there. Ohio went GOP in ‘00 and ‘04. The do not win without Ohio. When is the last time Pa or Mi went GOP? If Morris is getting inside data then he’s using a ouija board to analyze it.
If Romney/Ryan take Wisconsin, OH isn’t necessary. I feel it in my gut that they will win Wisconsin. And for the record, I believe they will also win Ohio.
There are now a number of ways that Romney can win without Ohio, and he may well have to. It appears that the Republican brand has been badly damaged in Ohio (for what reasons, I am uncertain), but Romney has clearly not gained the traction there that he has in other states.
Well, there are plenty of media markets that cover part of PA and part of OH, and part of MI and part of OH: big ad buys, targeting Obama’s hatred of coal in the first, and the decline of U.S. manufacturing under Obama, the deformed bankruptcies of GM and Chrysler notwithstanding, in the second are plainly in order. Plus a three state bus tour by Romney or Ryan and surrogates hitting all three.
How has the Republican brand been damaged in Ohio, Andy?
Dick is probably right in telling Romney to go for it but I predict without a doubt... that R/R will win Ohio.
LLS
On Beck this morning he was interviewing some guy who is making the rounds in PA and OH area and is personally hearing from the folks there who are working the ground game and says...In PA the enthusiasm for Romney is through the roof and he predicts Romney will win that state...OH on the other hand he is hearing from ground workers and they are having a hard time advancing because of the enthusiasm gap. I’m beginning to worry that Romney won’t be able to flip this SOB stubborn state!!!
Doesn’t Ohio have Kasich, and he’s a huge success as governor? If there is a problem it’s that the electorate has been changed with illegal immigration.
The whole problem with Ohio spooks me. If you can’t win there, are you going to win blue states where you are behind by 4 points?
Clearly most people know Obama is a problem. Maybe we are screwed and the demographics are about to drag us under anyway. We’ll see.
I wish there was some way for Romney to win without Ohio. Damn state is holding the rest of the country hostage.
The headline on Morris’ website GOP should raise it sights. Very misleading headline troll.
Have you seen the rallies in Ohio for R&R? I doubt there is an enthusiasm gap in Ohio.
I have to defer to those more expert, but
how anyone in Ohio (or PA or MI or in any of our great 57 states) could possibly consider voting for another 4 years of BHusseinO sabotaging and undermining the economy (and jobs!) is simply beyond comprehension.
If they want to be begging on the streets for their daily bread, well.... then there’s no hope for them.
Freud’s “death wish”
Could anyone answer this question for me please. When and why did Dick Morris become a Republican? I remember him as a Clinton operative.
A pretty smart analysis on Morris’s part, IMO.
The crux of his argument is that the usual swing states, of which Ohio is one, have been inundated by spending by both campaigns. Pouring more money into them is thus of diminishing returns (and I’d add, at some level may even backfire).
But those states that weren’t supposed to be so competitive are now close for Romney, and so spending their could impact the vote more effectively and therefore lead to wins.
For the GOP more generally, boosting the Romney vote in those ‘new’ swing states could pull another senator or two into office as well.
It’s easy to goof on him, but I think he’s one of the sharper, more originally thinking consultant-pollsters out there.
Now, has that message been broadcast elsewhere? Absolutely - same thing here in New Hampshire. But from what I've heard from my relatives in Ohio is that for whatever reason (a lower unemployment rate than the national average? The popularity of government bailouts for the auto industry/fear of the GOP ending such support?) the messages are sticking despite GOP efforts to counter them.
I'd be very interested in hearing from others in the state as to why Obama remains more relatively popular there than one might expect.
Very depressing tbh
I find it hard to believe there is more enthusiasm for Obama in 2012 than there was in 2008 troll.
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