[tatown]

Thoughts?

I thought Morris was suggesting a big win where worrying about OH was not necessary.

[RoseofTexas]

On Beck this morning he was interviewing some guy who is making the rounds in PA and OH area and is personally hearing from the folks there who are working the ground game and says...In PA the enthusiasm for Romney is through the roof and he predicts Romney will win that state...OH on the other hand he is hearing from ground workers and they are having a hard time advancing because of the enthusiasm gap. I’m beginning to worry that Romney won’t be able to flip this SOB stubborn state!!!

[LS]

Don't see any evidence of Ds winning OH from absentees, early votes (way down from 08, and not high enough to offset election day) and CNN report that Romney had a 5% advantage in early voting Indies.

My estimates were that Romney wins even if he splits indies at 50/50. I just don't see how he loses if he gets any I advantage at all.

BTW, county chairman said today that they very well think they can WIN Montgomery Co. Bush didn't either time, and McCain didn't. We've outregistered Ds by 5,000, which is just about our usual margin of loss.