Thoughts?
I thought Morris was suggesting a big win where worrying about OH was not necessary.
Yesterday Morris was talking landslide now he’s telling Mitt to go for Mi and Pa and not so much for Ohio as it’s very tough for him there. Ohio went GOP in ‘00 and ‘04. The do not win without Ohio. When is the last time Pa or Mi went GOP? If Morris is getting inside data then he’s using a ouija board to analyze it.
If Romney/Ryan take Wisconsin, OH isn’t necessary. I feel it in my gut that they will win Wisconsin. And for the record, I believe they will also win Ohio.
There are now a number of ways that Romney can win without Ohio, and he may well have to. It appears that the Republican brand has been badly damaged in Ohio (for what reasons, I am uncertain), but Romney has clearly not gained the traction there that he has in other states.
Well, there are plenty of media markets that cover part of PA and part of OH, and part of MI and part of OH: big ad buys, targeting Obama’s hatred of coal in the first, and the decline of U.S. manufacturing under Obama, the deformed bankruptcies of GM and Chrysler notwithstanding, in the second are plainly in order. Plus a three state bus tour by Romney or Ryan and surrogates hitting all three.
Dick is probably right in telling Romney to go for it but I predict without a doubt... that R/R will win Ohio.
LLS
I wish there was some way for Romney to win without Ohio. Damn state is holding the rest of the country hostage.
The headline on Morris’ website GOP should raise it sights. Very misleading headline troll.
A pretty smart analysis on Morris’s part, IMO.
The crux of his argument is that the usual swing states, of which Ohio is one, have been inundated by spending by both campaigns. Pouring more money into them is thus of diminishing returns (and I’d add, at some level may even backfire).
But those states that weren’t supposed to be so competitive are now close for Romney, and so spending their could impact the vote more effectively and therefore lead to wins.
For the GOP more generally, boosting the Romney vote in those ‘new’ swing states could pull another senator or two into office as well.
It’s easy to goof on him, but I think he’s one of the sharper, more originally thinking consultant-pollsters out there.
It boggles my mind that anybody pays any attention to Dick Morris at all. In fact, it makes me nervous when he says Romney is going to win. Morris’ track record is for him to be 180 degrees wrong.
I see him quoted by Conservatives all the times on sites... even Intrade; as if quoting Morris validates their opinions. How in the world did he manage to achieve relevance?
On the ground here in PA I can tell you this is the first Presidential contest in my memory where my Yellow Dog Blue Collar Union Democrat neighbors were not in my face crowing about their candidate.
What you get is the Sound of Silence. No boasting, no lectures, no yard signs. Either they are secretly planning to vote for Romney or they are staying home.
This isn’t criticism against anyone who likes Morris’ ideas (I do after all) but doesn’t anyone else still think “Toe Sucker” anytime you see him, and subsequently your skin crawls uncontrollably?
I do appreciate his thoughts, but to this day take them with a grain of salt. Is there room for forgiveness for anyone? Of course (thank God), but that doesn’t mean we have to forget.
I’ll probably never trust him. After all he was the Clinton’s right hand attack dog wasn’t he? And we all know how incredibly devious they continue to be. I still think he’s some kind of mole working in secret for the Clintons in some fashion. Maybe I’m paranoid after all this time.
But that’s my right as an Amreican; I’m allowed to be paranoid for no reason at all.
Think about this though: who does it benefit to tear Kerry (and now Obama) down? Who does it benefit to warn the DNC of a House of Representatives TEA party insurgence (even though they didn’t listen of course) in 2010?
I guess one thing that might assuage my fears is to point to any harsh criticism on Morris’ part, against the CLINTONS. I haven’t seen that. Maybe I’ve missed it.
Anyone got something like that?
When Obama called the people of PA ‘bitter clingers’ I think he hit a nerve...
I don’t trust Dick Morris as far as I can spit up-wind.
If Romney wins Michigan, which I think is possible, he’ll win Ohio as well. Demographics are too similar with more inner city areas in Michigan. Detroit along is bigger than all of Cleveland and Cincy combined, and all of it is like East Cleveland. The Republican base areas in Ohio are stronger than those in Michigan. There are a lot more places like our Ottawa and Livingston County in Ohio than in Michigan. We have five or six counties on that level. Ohio has about ten to twelve of them between the counties outside of Columbus and Cincinnati.