Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 501-520521-540541-560 ... 2,121-2,136 next last
To: Pappy Smear
Here is a report from my precinct-Roland/Howard Township. Not many young people at the caucus, though as far as Iowa goes, I live in a younger area. It is a small town outside of Ames, home of Iowa State University. I'm guessing the median age was 50.

To start, a rep from every candidate gets a chance to speak. No one spoke for Bachmann, Huntsman, and gasps from the crowd--Romney. You are allowed to wear campaign gear, and put up signs. Mittens had none in my precinct. He tied for 2nd in my precinct last go around.

But because no one spoke for him, that doesn't mean you couldn't vote for him tho. The Newt speaker was engaging, very positive, and a good speaker. The Paul speaker read his own script, but didn't smile, and looked very nervous. The Perry speaker did a good job. And the Santorum speaker was kinda like the Paul speaker, didn't project well in a public setting.

My precinct is one of the more Republican precincts in the county. Very economic oriented, and not as much evangelical/social conservative. Thanks to my stirring speech for Steve Forbes in 2000, he won my precinct with 45% of the vote and Bush only got 25%. That kinda shows you how my precinct rolls.

Anyway, numbers were down a little, which is a bit scary. Nice night, though it is HS basketball night, and that may have kept some of the parents of HS aged kids home. I remembered a lot more sub 30 year olds last time around. Not many tonite.

Votes in my precinct: Paul 36, (my guess, for economic reasons), Santorum 35(came on strong late, and got the socon vote), Newt 18(may have been helped by the speaker for him on the uncommitted), Perry 16 (much like Newt, I'm guessing a lot of the not Romney/Paul vote), Mittens 12 (there was a gasp from the crowd when his number was called), Bachmann (toast) and Huntsman (wow!) both had 5.

521 posted on 01/03/2012 6:38:03 PM PST by Pappy Smear (Support the presidency, end the policies.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 357 | View Replies]

To: make no mistake

Funny...Karl Rove & Joe Trippi were just telling Chris Wallace that it’s Romney’s night. Then Chris says—but he’s not in the lead and it’s a three-way tie so far. They then explained that this was great because Reagan didn’t win Iowa and last time Rudy was in the lead and never went to Iowa.


522 posted on 01/03/2012 6:38:15 PM PST by Miss Didi ("After all...tomorrow is another day." Scarlett O'Hara, Gone with the Wind)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 481 | View Replies]

To: CainConservative

Have to tell you ..although Iowa is not that important..I wanted Newt to finish in the top 3. However, with Santorum UP there...he will be the new victim of the Romney multi million dollar attack machine. Santorum not vetted as well as the other candidates...he better watch out for Fox, Rove and all the rest that are in bed with Mitt. Maybe it’s the sister wives for Romney? LOL


523 posted on 01/03/2012 6:38:24 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 501 | View Replies]

To: CainConservative

Three-way tie now.

Santorum, Romney, and Paul all at 23%.


524 posted on 01/03/2012 6:38:47 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 501 | View Replies]

To: C210N; All

C210N wrote:
FB page, looking at the counties with more than 100,000 in pop...
Johnson/Linn -> myth
BlackHawk/Polk -> Paul
Woodbury -> nothing yet

You’re right, but I’m sure you know that the strength of Iowa conservatives is in the western rural counties which are slow to report. The big cities have fewer Republicans and they are less likely to turn out for caucuses. The rural voters are who dominate Republican caucusgoers in most years.


525 posted on 01/03/2012 6:38:47 PM PST by darrellmaurina
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 505 | View Replies]

To: Free Vulcan; onyx

Cox Radio reporter Jamie Dupree in Iowa at GOP caucus reports on Twitter:

@jamiedupree

Romney also beats Santorum in West Des Moines 211; Cain got one vote

11 minutes ago

@jamiedupree

Mitt Romney wins West Des Moines precinct 212 in Polk County easily
19 minutes ago

http://twitter.com/#!/jamiedupree


526 posted on 01/03/2012 6:39:17 PM PST by bd476
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ari-freedom

They can keep thinking that. 4 years from now, there will be less of them around, and more people who are opposed to the stupid expensive foreign wars.

Those people are losing the under 30 vote in Iowa in a Republican caucus 58 to 10 because of their globalist “invade the world/debt slavery to bondholders” foreign policy.

What do you think the age breakdown will be in the other primary states?


527 posted on 01/03/2012 6:39:26 PM PST by WilliamHouston
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 480 | View Replies]

To: Iowa David

GO DAVID!! I’m pulling for Santorum.


528 posted on 01/03/2012 6:39:26 PM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 483 | View Replies]

24% Reporting

 Santorum 6,067 24% 
 Romney   6,060 24% 
 Paul     6,018 24% 
 Gingrich 3,502 14% 
 Perry    2,733 11% 
 Bachmann 1,553 6% 
 Huntsman   165 <1% 
 Cain        10 <1% 
 
 

529 posted on 01/03/2012 6:40:08 PM PST by deport
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 437 | View Replies]

To: BillyBoy

You really trying to compare the Keyes fill in at the last minute carpetbagger candidate to Newt? Really?

Pray for America


530 posted on 01/03/2012 6:40:15 PM PST by bray (Romney is the Establishment)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 497 | View Replies]

To: Theodore R.

I thought Simpson was fun on wheels for a very long time, but I grew up and he grew senile, period.


531 posted on 01/03/2012 6:40:39 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 482 | View Replies]


532 posted on 01/03/2012 6:40:52 PM PST by RedMDer (Forward With Confidence!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Theodore R.

Ron Paul is the major player covering Mittens backside....unless of course he’s pulling a McCain for Obama...might be both...either way Ron PAul isn’t in it to win..he’s in it to play the game he loves.


533 posted on 01/03/2012 6:40:52 PM PST by caww
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 451 | View Replies]

To: LibsRJerks

I know one thing — FOX News is in the tank for Romney. Their coverage is nauseating.


534 posted on 01/03/2012 6:40:55 PM PST by LibsRJerks
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 511 | View Replies]

To: Twinkie

My kids never complain about taking care of the missus and myself when we get near death. Mind you, we are both mid fifties and will probably work til we die.

But my parents had it good, those long retirements that allowed them to retire after all the wars they fought.

Most of us boomers were pretty spoiled, but today’s kids are ultra spoiled.


535 posted on 01/03/2012 6:41:08 PM PST by Luke21
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 408 | View Replies]

To: WilliamHouston

Dude, read some history of the US and Muslims and get a clue.


536 posted on 01/03/2012 6:41:17 PM PST by DB
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 506 | View Replies]

To: Pravious

Santorum , Rick GOP 6,067 23%
Romney , Mitt GOP 6,060 23%
Paul , Ron GOP 6,018 23%

three within 100 votes?
537 posted on 01/03/2012 6:41:21 PM PST by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 514 | View Replies]

To: deport

Santorum has moved into first place with 25% of the vote counted!


538 posted on 01/03/2012 6:41:24 PM PST by SamAdams76 (I am 34 days away from outliving Marty Feldman)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 529 | View Replies]

To: parksstp

I’m getting the “upset” feeling... not in the stomach sense, no, in the Santorum sense!

Santorum has leads in 22 counties; Paul 13; mythy 13; newt/michelle both 1.

Over 100k counties: 2 for paul; 2 for mithy.


539 posted on 01/03/2012 6:41:48 PM PST by C210N (Dems: "We must tax you so that we can buy your votes")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 518 | View Replies]

To: Free Vulcan; All

21 percent of precincts in and it’s clearly going to be a blowout for Paul, Romney, and Santorum, each with about a quarter of the caucusgoers. Everybody else is dividing the remaining quarter of the caucusgoers.


540 posted on 01/03/2012 6:41:58 PM PST by darrellmaurina
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 525 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 501-520521-540541-560 ... 2,121-2,136 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson